🤔 ici.radio-canada.ca/rci/en/news/...

6 in 10 Americans now believe the military operation in Iran hasn’t been worth it, a 10-point increase since April. (Navigator Research) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260708

“ahem, there was a third host country,” said every Canadian in the comments

I love this app.

Really appreciating the sports to politics ratio on here. Both appear to be delivering chaos.

Today in "hey, what's going on with prediction platforms?" "Across 118 of those videos, creators touted nearly $900,000 in fabricated winnings on positions that would have lost more than $166,000 in live markets." www.techspot.com/news/112856-...

Misinfo is not dangerous at all, they say. "Rising number of cancer patients are skipping chemo and opting for ivermectin instead, analysis finds. Scientists are pointing to the Joe Rogan Experience has spreading dangerous misinformation about cancer drugs" www.independent.co.uk/news/health/...

When utilized in literature review, LLMs consistently 1. fail to mention female authors in female-led literatures, 2. insist that men are more influential or more heavily cited when this is contradicted by objective citation counts, and 3. attribute women’s work to hallucinated male scholars.

Great piece! “Opt-in” delivery means bureaucrats carry hidden costs as well. Their roles are necessary, yet they keep getting cut to “save money,” even as every bureaucratic hurdle adds to their workload. Done right, automation could be good for citizens and front-line workers alike.

The more time I spend at conferences, the more I want to start a podcast (I know, I know, not everyone needs one) but the world is so big and there are so many interesting people to talk to! Anyway, posting this is just me telling on myself so I actually do it…

I could be a trillionaire too, if I wanted to, I just choose to focus on other things

SpaceX goes public today. There’s been a lot of chatter about the largest IPO in stock market history that will likely make Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire. Here's what I think you should know about it... 🧵

In which we document how one part of Alberta has warmed up to the Federation in recent years while the other part hasn’t moved one bit.

“It’s the economy, stupid!” This includes tariffs. Tariffs on Canadian goods hit swing states hard. Michigan imports over $40B worth of goods from Canada. Iowa faces retaliation on ag exports. PA & NC are both exposed too. No wonder voters in these states are feeling the effects.

“With the rise of generative AI, we are now seeing regular predictions that human mathematical power is at last on the verge of being outstripped, whether or not anyone likes it.” Mathematician Michael Harris on the race to automate mathematics, and the fate of human understanding in the age of AI:

There was a time when scandals were a death knell for political careers. But today, they're far from being career enders.

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PMRC2026 was amazing. So many great conversations and presentations! So glad I got the opportunity to go! My flight home is delayed so I've upgraded from haunted Airbnb to my new short-term stay: the Dunkin' in Reagan National.

If you see me at PMRC2026 I promise I’m usually not this weird. It’s just that yesterday I woke up in Vancouver, got delayed in Toronto, arrived in Washington at midnight, and my accommodations are what I can only describe as “kinda haunted.”

Just gonna drop this here: "Two-thirds of Canadians now view the U.S. negatively, while support for closer cooperation with Europe and NATO continue to grow..." www.ctvnews.ca/video/2026/0...

Come on CBC 😊 Turn the comments on 😊 www.cbc.ca/news/politic...

At this point, Congress has introduced 10+ bills trying to regulate prediction markets. But, most are targeted fixes for specific scandals (the Maduro bet, campaign staff trading on internal polling) rather than a coherent framework /1 🧵

Today I’m mourning the loss of someone who referred to himself and my supervisor as my “academic parents.” Although he wasn’t on my committee, he always showed up for me with encouragement, generosity, and warmth. I’m so grateful to have met you, Ran. Our community will miss you immensely.

“A Canada consumed by a separatist crisis in its wealthiest province is a Canada less capable of acting as an independent North Atlantic Treaty Organization member. It is a Canada with diminished capacity to resist economic coercion from the south.” Well. Yeah. thewalrus.ca/alberta-sepa...

Reworking my "AI is awesome and you should unquestionably embrace it" graduation speech after some feedback

Geopolitical prediction markets "incentivize treason and fraud, create constituencies that benefit from escalation, and give structural advantages to unconstrained actors."

Platform rules against insider trading & proposed legislation like the PREDICT Act are both scoped narrowly: elected officials, appointees, direct employees. But privileged information flows through networks (e.g. friends). The circle of potential insiders is wider than these frameworks acknowledge.

Some polling organizations are now using “silicon sampling” – that is, asking AI what the public thinks instead of asking people themselves. In this Q&A, Courtney Kennedy, our vice president of methods and innovation, explains why Pew Research Center does not use this approach. 🧵

The coercive federalism of it all. ICE is paying local police salaries, bonuses, vehicles, and equipment to join the 287(g) program. The ACLU calls it “unprecedented.” But the fiscal relationship between the feds and local jails on immigration isn’t new /1🧵

👀 "In order to prevent the improper sharing of voter lists, Election Alberta “seeds” voter lists w/fake names, & the body was able to confirm that the Centurion Project list had originally been provided legally to the Republican party of Alberta, a fringe rightwing party, & then improperly shared."

Hm, ok. So, Russia and the Trump administration are pulling in the same direction. Different motives, overlapping effects. 🧵 /1

Alberto was recruited in Mexico. He now works more than 10 hours a day for about $300 a week.  Sofia came from Honduras to work as a live-in caregiver.  She works 19-hour days for just $540 a month. Marcus was recruited from Mexico for a cleaning company. More than half his wages went unpaid.

“According to a Nature survey of about 5,000 researchers […] scientists are split on the ethics of AI use in academia. More than 90% of respondents felt it was acceptable to use AI for editing or translating their own text, but fewer were open to the idea of using it to generate text directly.”

Americans voice broad bipartisan support for age caps in Congress — NPR/PBS News/Marist Poll. (@elenamoore.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260507-top...

*emerging from grading fog* so, what did I miss?! oh…

A WSJ analysis found 67% of Polymarket profits goes to just 0.1% of accounts, while most traders are in the red. Most Kalshi users also lose money.

oh. um. no. futurism.com/future-socie...

omg jumpscare (me before a hair cut)! I'm late to seeing this but thank you for engaging with my piece. Since that piece was published, courts have given us a clearer answer on who governs the prediction markets: the feds! www.reuters.com/world/new-je...

So, this happened on Friday. The entire National Science Board was removed. Through mechanisms like staggered six-year terms, the NSB was designed to be insulated from any single administration. Terminating all 22 members is what circumventing that design looks like. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

The CFTC's plan for overseeing the recent prediction market boom: let traditional finance, crypto, Polymarket, and Kalshi advise on innovation. Also, lay off 24% of its own staff (cuts that began last year). Regulated today, regulator tomorrow. No lobbying needed... www.cnn.com/2026/04/26/p...

Even more prediction market news. This time in the form of criminal charges. A U.S. Army Special Forces soldier has been indicted by the Justice Department for allegedly making $400,000 on military secrets. www.npr.org/2026/04/26/n...

No, seriously, you have no idea what's going on at the DC Hilton, and neither do I. Neither do many of the people that are there. And unless you're part of the law enforcement effort, you don't really need to figure this out in the next ten minutes.

Question for academics/professional ppl outside Canada: Do you use a "two finger" to signal you have a direct response to someone? As in, you raise two fingers and someone will literally say aloud "so-and-so has a two-finger." Or is this just a Canadian thing? This is absolutely a real question.

something something institutional mechanisms that override gridlock and usher in policy with minimal negotiation… hm…

Beyond disagreeing with results, it’s about how evidence gets filtered before it informs public health policy. It’s an evidence pipeline problem: when research isn’t published, it distorts the inputs shaping policy design, evaluation, and implementation.

IF YOU’RE IN LINE TO GET CONTROL OF THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, STAY IN LINE

A reminder that the state can reduce administrative burdens when it wants to 🫤 apnews.com/article/hegs...