Ukraine's economy will boom. Europe's economy will boom. Greenland's economic growth will be like a gold rush.

Europe has no choice but to push the Euro to be a settlement choice in all European trades, alternative to or replacing the US dollar.

India will be the only super power to contain China. No one has realised this yet, including India.

Wars are fought on logistics. Logistics require energy. The UK and US expeditionary forces are intertwined. Between the two of us there is always an airbase and a port where ever you need one. This is our special relationship. The UK actually has more in common with France 🇫🇷

Russia and China are natural enemies. Taiwan's survival depends on Ukraine breaking Russia and Manchuria looking more appealing a target. Taiwan's survival also depends on Ukraine's asymmetrical warfare technology.

Europe's economy will collapse from risk if invaded. Europe's army is inadequate (but not by much). It needs one more big army. Ukraines army will collapse without an economy and its economy is inadequate. Europe and Ukraine are already joined and neither can now collapse. Joining EU is inevitable

The European political optimum for voter support on action for Ukraine is to have Ukraine close to failure but not to fail. Russia sees the wobble and escalates. Europe steps in. Not a trap as Russia can just go home

Because Europe won't let Ukraine fall, it will always do the absolute minimum to prevent it. Russia's only move is to try and attempt to over power a wobbling Ukraine so Europe will always escalate. Europe has the escalating minimum to not let Ukraine fall and is now starting to push for the win.

Russia can't win the war. It's fighting Europe. Europe is bigger and stronger, has places Russian doesn't dare bomb and Europe also has Ukraine in it. Young fit and deadly. Ukraine is Europes baby. The older parents won't let it fall.

Trump, like Putin, is so corrupt, the only way to survive the system is to break it. All of MAGA is built on hate. All of MAGA hate each other. They will destroy themselves if you push them.

China wants Taiwan the most, Manchuria would be nice. The West wants Russia and China to fight but doesn't want China taking Manchuria giving it a coast off Japan and potentially the Arctic coast. Russia needs to live for this but we also want Russia dead. Also doesn't want Taiwan to fall.

Putin felt he had no choice to invade #Ukraine 🇺🇦 and still feels no choice but to destroy it. A nation full of naive Russian speaks who know the whole Russian system, succeeding as a democracy, heading to Europe. Russia as a dictatorship wouldn't survive that Putin knows one will destroy the other

Things move around the planet and take energy to do so. Energy costs define economies US has lots of oil but little earths. Is anti-green. Oil is dying China has less oil than need but plenty of rare earths. 1 of 2 massive reserves on the planet in fact. China is pushing green 2nd is in Greenland

The more connections you make, the more obvious things become. What follows are things that are obvious once you know.

Russia: Yes, we'll stop for peace. #Ukraine just has to give us those forts. Ukraine: So you want to temporarily stop your invasion with an invasion before again invading. Fuck off. Trump: Ukraine is getting in the way of my payoff! Trumps Mouth Piece: He said Peace Plan!

I will remind my fellow Europeans that blaming America for not showing up for Iran is blaming the parent that previously showed up. The fact Europe is so incapable of an expeditionary response that it never crossed our collective minds is infuriating. #Zelenskiy is right!

To the people of Iran. It looks the regime keeps ChatGPT up for propaganda generation and it is possible to use it for unsecure messaging between protesters. Cyber people. Do what you can to help.

There is an old expression that you can't have your cake and eat it. America's influence comes from having a giant cake and sharing bits of it. America, Trump is telling everyone they can't have cake and he's also eating it. Don't be surprised in the future when people don't listen anymore.

To understand risk, know that TACOing on Greenland policy does not reverse the damage. It is a volatility spike in the historical analysis. It’s done. Trump has began the end of the US hegemony of NATO and economy. Europe has the strength to ask why they should follow the US. Pacific feels alone.

The TACO cycle: Markets want to price in TACO. But TACO only works if Trump sees stocks tank. So we get a loop: Trump does things → nothing happens (markets already priced in TACO) → that emboldens him to do more → until markets start to think he might not TACO → stocks fall → TACO is restored.

Honestly, at Davos, Trump vs Carney, Trump looks weak.

A few suggestions:

Ukraine Delivers the Worst News for Russia in 2026 youtu.be/1BXlcaURzmo?...

I love America and Americans. I do. I also love the UK, Europe, Canada Japan and the rest of the free world. Europe is rising and I am celebrating the beginning of the end of an unhealthy relationship with the US but also the start of a good one that will follow. www.youtube.com/live/YWFz70Lwsog

By not dealing with racism, slowly American sensibility has been lost and with the the peak idiot, confidence. Western democracies will now grow. American tech will deflate and Europe will boom. We have witnessed the beginning of the end of centralised USA power. www.youtube.com/live/UF1eumA...

This is nearly as bad as when Obama wore a tan suit.

European dependence on US tech stems from the history of a post WWII trashed Europe and the idea of a ‘peace dividend’. This wasn’t actually a peace dividend but the trade of military dependence for market access. Generations worked to keep this spinning plate, but once it’s smashed, no going back.

Cartoon by Bill Bramhall

I feel like we're due another surprising victory by Ukraine. They do seem to happen fairly regularly.

NATO can track intercontinental ballistic missiles. It can track fighter jets, drones and even artillery shells. To think that Russia can hide its shadow fleet with paperwork is laughable. NATO simply has to want to find them… and now it does.

Yes Moscow's Russia is in Europe. Europe famously not imperial… Being in Europe means nothing. MLK it. The content of your character. Russia can fuck off.

So unused to a women being in charge is our society, people are confusing Peace Prize winner and democracy advocate María Corina Machado with Deputy Dictator Delcy Rodríguez. No judgement if this was you but please educate yourself.

The only outcome to the war in Ukraine is Ukrainian victory. Europe is involved, Russia is weaker than this European alliance. Post war, the European economy is going to boom. As will #Ukriane. America won't understand it. Trump has given up the accident of history that put America on top by a lot.

Drones require electricity, generators and tanks required petroleum. Russia is invading. Russia's power infrastructure is a legitimate war target. As Russia is invading, nothing in Ukraine is a legitimate target. Red Cross and media equivalence of the two is bought propaganda.

The irony of Russia hitting infrastructure to make Ukrainians give up is that Ukrainians know this is done by Russia and so gives more reason and will to not be governed by Russia.

Revolutions happen when the middle class fears death by the regime less than death by other means. Typical other means are death by thirst, death by famine and death by disease. This applies to everyone and those closest to it are Iran and Russia.

Historically, invading Russia armies have gone home when troops feared for their families at home. Famine isn't just related to food production. It also requires a working state and economy for distribution. Russian famine might end this war. This will be a credit to #Ukraine.

Okay, wait, but someone told Grok to put a bikini on the Bluesky logo... and Bluesky folks... made it their pfp. And then... the bio:

Big love out to free Iranians. Your skies are clear of commercial planes, near US air bases are being evacuated and air tankers have been moved. OSINT indicates US strikes are on their way. We can but hope your 12,500 protesters massacred are soon to be avenged. Hong Kongers, share your mesh tips

Putin no longer needs to worry about the look of troops coming home injured, as Ukrainian lethality is so good. The Russian casualty rate on paper is little changed but in reality Russians are not getting patched up and sent back.

Trump on Greenland: If we don't invade you you'll be invaded! We don't want a border with Russia so Greenland should be USA, protecting us by being USA with a border with Russia… like Alaska's North and West.

The most sensible answer to the #Greenland question. 🇬🇱 The end of NATO and billions of dollars of the best US equipment for free for NATO allies as they confiscate it. Logistics is why it probably won't happen. European 🇪🇺 growth is because it might. youtu.be/TW_IqPcBdlk

Yes, the EU should talk to Russia about #Ukraine. In fact I have it prepared. Here it is: "FUCK OFF!"

“Amateur hour is OVER!” Finally! The senate has had enough of Trump’s Greenland fantasies. The risk of losing NATO became the breaking point, and Republican Senator Tom Tillis tells Trump in no uncertain terms that attacking Greenland is off the table. 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥

The city administration of Copenhagen will no longer be posting on X.

The ICE Incident Was Real—The Online Outrage Was Engineered youtu.be/x_crFFBfnJo

I think we've reach Madyar's Point. The point at which #Ukraine, with the aid of drones, is killing more Russian invaders than Russia can invade with. From now on, the Russian troop levels will diminish. The goal set by Madyar. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_... #MadyarsPoi#MadyarsPoint

Trump is such an idiot. The point of NATO is that more is more. That includes if the US gets in a fight with China.

Google the video & see for yourself. This is not law enforcement. This is murder. Sickening.

People are overthinking Trump. Everything is personal with him. He grabbed Maduro to win the negotiation by over powering. The easiest option for Trump who just says 'GO'. Success. End. Everything else, including oil, is a projection of your greater understanding of society.