Tylenol is a dangerous drug, causing over half of all liver failure in the United States. It wouldn’t be approved—especially OTC—today for that reason alone. It does not cause autism.

Russian air defences are active around Moscow. Hopefully #explodey

Ukrainian drones are now heading into Tatarstan, where the Shahed drone factory complex lives. I’m sure there’s an oil refinery there or two, as well.

Moscow Oblast this evening. 😍 (I’m expecting an attack on some oil/rail/electrical infrastructure in that area as these drones might be identifying air defense positions).

🍿 EVERYTHING IS BAD! A Russian economic blogger in occupied Crimea writes: “Sometimes there are times when there is nothing to write about. There are no bright, attractive, attention-demanding news. But lately, I simply haven't had time to cover all the desired topics.”

The surplus/deficit of the Russian federal budget by year.

Remember that train sabotage in Leningrad last week? The Russians have cleaned it all up! Note the camouflage to hide it from satellite imagery.

Yay!! An interactive map of fuel shortages of Russia… in English! Based on data from @delfoo.bsky.social and @evgen-istrebin.bsky.social. The noose around Moscow tightens. datawrapper.dwcdn.net/X8u4j/40/

Lines for gasoline in Nizhny Novgorod, which is going through some things.

“There is no gasoline and there will be no harvest: They are trying to sow panic among the residents of Kuban [Russia], again.” m.bloknot-novorossiysk.ru/news/net-ben...

Kyrgyzstan gets 90% of its gasoline from Russia. And prices are skyrocketing there. rus.azattyq.org/a/33527412.h...

I am really curious what—and whom—Ukraine struck at the Foros Hall function in Crimea. The restaurant and event spaced was closed for a “special event.”

👀 I doubt we see diesel shortages, but if we did… Russia is in even worse shape than I thought.

Things are looking down for Russia’s coal industry!

Shaping operations in Crimea continue.

💥🚁Once again “Prymary” unit targeting valuable Russian military equipment deep in Russian rear. New video shows an attack on Russian helicopter base and radar station in Crimea. Three Russian Mi-8 military helicopters as well as 55Zh6U “Nebo-U” radar were targeted this time.

Gas shortages and price spikes are getting closer and closer to the imperial center—Moscow.

Which refineries will be hit tonight in Russia?

If Israel invades Egypt, where will Russians get their potatoes from?

‼️ Wow! Gazpromneft is out of AI-92 gas in Astrakhan. Notable because Gazpromneft isn’t an independent gas station.

Most analysts are predicting a glut of oil on the market, which will cause Brent to fall into the $50s. Why hasn’t this appeared yet? China. China has increased its storage capacity, and is filling it. It’s unknown how much longer until capacity is full. Then, the price *should* drop.

Novokuybyshevsk Oil Refinery’s ELOU-AVT-11 distillation unit was filled with oil. Then a Ukrainian drone hit it.

Ukraine also reportedly blew up a pumping station on a Transneft oil pipeline in Samara (Самара).

Why is Europe being bullied like this by a Poundshop Sparta with the GDP of Benelux? Because we choose to be, of course.

Russian economist Vlad Zhukovsky yesterday stated that Russia’s civilian economy is declining between 6-8% per annum at the current rate. It should accelerate.

🔴 Russian forces launched a massive attack against Ukraine, mainly targeting Dnipro, Mykolaiv, Pavlohrad, and Donetsk region. Preliminary estimates suggests at least 500 drones and two dozen missiles were deployed.

Novokuybyshevsk Oil Refinery, Samara, Russia. A distillation unit is under attack again by Ukrainian drones.

This is so very Russian. Let inefficient companies die!

The Saratov Oil Refinery in Russia is going through some things this evening.

The US has blown up another boat near Venezuela.

✈️ Tu-95MS strategic bombers are in the air over Russian airspace. Cruise missiles are expected in Ukrainian airspace in the morning.

⚡️Russia is targeting Ukraine’s older homes to cause maximum deaths and destruction, emergency officials warn.

🚨 Air alert happening in Saratov, along with something fiery. There’s an oil refinery in Saratov.

The volume of transactions on new homes in Russia increased 34% y/y in August. Kommersant suggests this is due to deferred demand, mortgage subsidies, and lowered interest rates. I think it was due to the expectation that interest rates would be lowered faster, creating a temporary bump in sales.

For the first time since it began measurements, independent research agency ROMIR found that the fraction of disposable income of Russians fell to just 14.8% in August 2025. This is the share of income that’s available to spend on non-necessary goods.

HAHAHA! The Duma is going to implement a one-time tax on bank profits for 2025. The tax is expected to raise 200 billion rubles, according to Izvestia. State owned banks already turn over their profit to the treasury and NWF in the form of dividends, so this is more Ponzi scheming.

Ultra right wing Tsargrad calls for Nabiullina’s head on a platter for ruining the economy. It’s the central bank’s fault that there’s a budget deficit, you see. dzen.ru/a/aMxsa-fL8V...

‼️ I believe I’ve found what the Russian state is going to do by the end of the month to address the budget deficit! A paper was published in the obscure Journal of the Ministry of Finance that outlined the likely approach. Here is what the economists suggest:

Russia increased the “recycling fee” (a tax) on imported cars by up to 1,000 times. Yes, 100,000%. The increase was announced abruptly this week and will take effect November 1. Here’s one reaction from a Russian:

The volume of gasoline sold on the St Petersburg Mercantile Exchange has dropped by 25% (❗️) since last month.

President Zelenskyy signed a law concealing information that could help journalists identify corrupt officials. -Center for Countering Corruption

No one has seen or heard from Margarita Simonyan since she announced she had breast cancer. Sad!

Namaste 🙏

I kid you not, this is how it translated for me.

🙌 A Russian tourist came to Florida and needed an emergency appendectomy. She now owes the hospital $199,000. Rare American healthcare win. 🙌

It’s been 16 hours since the last refinery strikes on Russia. I’m going through withdrawals. 😩

The Senate is fast-tracking a bill that will designate Russia a state sponsor of terror, unless, within 60 days of passage, Russia returns all kidnapped Ukrainian children as certified by the U.S. Secretary of State. It has been placed on the Senate calendar. www.kyivpost.com/post/60342

📰!!! Georgia non-recognition has made it into at least the omnibus. Haven’t been following Congress closely enough to see whether this is the CR or the full budget.

Tsunami Advisory issued for parts of Alaska after a 7.8 magnitude earthquake hits Russia’s Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky region.