Recent analysis suggests that increasing export restrictions has far larger potential impacts on fertilizer prices than an expansion of fertilizer subsidies. Learn more in this #blog: https://on.cgiar.org/4f2Hqo6 @cgiar.org#blog

Here's my blog review of How To Win a Trade War, by @soumayakeynes.ft.com & @chadpbown.com: ielp.worldtradelaw.net/2026/05/trad... In it you'll get: - some hot takes on "populism" - my usual spiel about trade deficits and WTO DS - a Brangelina-style nickname for Soumaya and Chad

Prices for urea have nearly doubled, and phosphate prices have also risen. Some govts have introduced export restrictions on fertilizers, while others have lowered import barriers. More details: 👇

The @fao.org Food Price Index averaged 130.7 points in April, up 1.6% from March - third consecutive monthly increase. Vegetable oil prices rose 5.9%, reaching their highest level since July 2022, amid elevated energy costs & #StraitOfHormuz disruptions. https://lnkd.in/dAXS23Rp #FoodPriceIndex

"The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz at the end of February 2026 marked an inflection point, with urea prices roughly doubling since the disruption began," says @amisoutlook.bsky.social, in a special feature article on fertilizer markets.

ICYMI, US Court of International Trade ruling concerning the temporary import surcharge of 10 percent announced by the Administration on 20 February.

How can renewable power fuel Africa's food systems? Join our webinar: "Clean energy to nourish a continent" with GAIN, SNV & Partners in Food Solutions 🗓️ Wed, 20 May 2026 🕑 14:00 - 15:00 CEST 💻 Virtual via Zoom Register now: 📱 Scan the QR code below👇 @snv.org

The modernised Generalised System of Preferences #GSP was approved in the #EPlenary today! ✅

The rise of extreme weather and natural disasters is already making life more expensive. Could this kind of "climateflation" be turning into something more lasting? Economists, climate scientists and central bankers are trying to piece it together. Latest for @bloomberg.com:

AMIS Weekly Market News Summary - Week 17 - April 2026 Key updates on #wheat, #maize, #rice and policy trends this week. 👉Read it here: www.amis-outlook.org/list-details... #TradeLogistics #Fertilizer #Vegoil #PolicyDevelopment #OOAT

A foreword by UN SG António Guterres says "the recent escalation of conflict in the Middle East is disrupting trade routes, driving up food and fuel prices, and destabilizing populations, potentially exacerbating hunger."

🔔 #HappeningNow: "A Narrow Strait, Global Consequences: Hormuz Strait and Fertilizer Markets "🔔 📺 Watch #ifpriLIVE: 🎫 bit.ly/NarrowStrait 🤝 bit.ly/NarrowStraitFB 💼 bit.ly/NarrowStraitLI @cgiar.org#HappeningNow

🌡️ Extreme heat is already affecting crops, livestock, forests, fisheries & the people who produce our food. New @fao.org-@wmo-global.bsky.social report on #ExtremeHeat & Agriculture shows the impacts & #ClimateAction needed to respond to this growing threat. 🔗 https://bit.ly/4cXmmOe #EarthDay

Energy and fertilizer shocks are pushing governments toward subsidies. But subsidies often favor wealthier households, who consume more. Cash transfers reach those who need them most, helping smallholders stay in production and stabilizing rural economies. doi.org/10.4060/cd93...

📣 Save the date: 📌 A Narrow Strait, Global Consequences: Hormuz Strait and Fertilizer Markets 🤝 Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) 📆 April 23, 2026, 9:30 – 11:00 am EDT 🎟️ https://bit.ly/NarrowStrait @cgiar.org

"I'm actually worried about fertilizer, and the ability to get fertilizer shipments through," said WTO DG @noiweala.bsky.social in remarks yesterday at @csis.org.

📢 We’re looking for a writer to join our team at Our World in Data! What we’re looking for is quite unique: someone who writes excellent narrative articles on large global problems, finds memorable framings to make hard ideas easier to understand, while being genuinely obsessed w/ technical details

🆕 #Blog Will the Iran crisis lead to another round of food price spikes? 🖊️ By Shawn Arita and Joseph Glauber. 🖱️ Learn more here: https://on.cgiar.org/4tuJKrT @cgiar.org#Blog

🆕 #Blog The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production 🖊️ By Charlotte Hebebrand, Joseph Glauber, Rob Vos, and Brendan Rice. 🖱️ Read more here: on.cgiar.org/4bZFE3M @cgiar.org

I welcome @UN efforts to facilitate trade through the Strait of Hormuz. As I have said before, with global food security at risk, a mechanism to facilitate trade in fertilizers through the Strait could be a very valuable step to wider diplomatic dialogue. www.un.org/sg/en/conten...

Smallholders in Africa already underuse fertilizer due to high costs. Even small price increases can cut application, lower yields and raise food insecurity. Example: Kenya is exposed w/ high import bills and 40% reliance on Gulf fertilizer. Nations and farmers need urgent support.

ICYMI, WTO MC14 background brief on agriculture online here: www.wto.org/english/thew...

Challenges facing ministers include providing guidance on delivering negotiated solutions on agricultural trade post-MC14. (1/3)

Strait of Hormuz: the Chair of AMIS (@amisoutlook.bsky.social) issued a statement following yesterday's meeting of the Rapid Response Forum: www.amis-outlook.org/list-details...

United Kingdom donates CHF 1.56 million to WTO development programmes #STDF

ICYMI - statement from @tessforum.bsky.social.

AMIS Weekly Market News Summary - Week 12 - March 2026 Key updates on #wheat, #maize, #rice and policy trends this week. Subscribe for email alerts: ✉️https://www.amis-outlook.org/subscription/subscription #TradeLogistics #Fertilizer #Vegoil #PolicyDevelopment #OOAT

Arbitrator to set level of trade suspension in Indonesia–EU palm oil biofuels dispute #TradeDisputes

"Sustained increases in energy prices could increase risks for global trade, with potential spillovers for food security and cost pressures on consumers and businesses," said WTO DG @noiweala.bsky.social.

Canada launches safeguard investigation on certain vegetable goods #WTOAg

The Chair of the @wto.org ag negotiations has shared a revised draft text, ahead of the organisation's 14th ministerial conference in Yaoundé, Cameroon, in 9 days' time. More: 👇

🔴 New information note on the potential impacts of the escalating conflict in the Middle East on global agrifood systems. 📄 Download👉 https://bit.ly/4153VjZ 🎧 Watch the full interview with @maximotorero.bsky.social, @fao.org Chief Economist, & David Laborde for more: https://bit.ly/47y8jf0

Energy, fertilizer and food markets are tightly connected. Disruptions in #StraitOfHormuz are pushing up oil and fertilizer prices, raising farming costs and risks for global food security. Diplomacy to reopen the strait is key to stabilizing global markets. tinyurl.com/yc74d688

ICYMI.

US Ambassador Greer launched Section 301 investigations into acts, policies, and practices of 60 economies to determine whether foreign governments have taken sufficient steps to prohibit the importation of goods produced with forced labor. ustr.gov/about/policy...

Insights from @jmbauer.bsky.social at @wfp.org:

More ... chocolate ... 🤞

⚡️Just in on our #crisis blog: The Iran war: Potential food security impacts. Joseph Glauber discusses how the problems in the Strait of Hormuz reverberate globally. @jwglauber.bsky.social @cgiar.org#crisis#FoodSecurity https://on.cgiar.org/4ldjpMf

With a link to the revised draft text

#AMISMarketMonitor March edition is out! #Wheat prices firmed on weather and logistics risks, while #maize and #rice stayed stable and #soybean prices rose. The issue includes FAO’s 2026 #wheat production forecast, pointing to lower output from reduced sowings. 👉 www.amis-outlook.org/market-monitor

Now also with a link to the draft text circulated by the Chair of the agriculture negotiating body, online here: docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages...

Agriculture talks Chair circulates draft text ahead of MC14 building on member submissions #WTOAg

US CBP guidance on which tariffs exactly they'll stop collecting on Feb 24 because of the Scotus judgment content.govdelivery.com/bulletins/gd...

In the last three decades, the world has made progress against extreme poverty faster than ever before. But as we explain in a recent article, unless the poorest economies start growing, this period of progress against the worst form of poverty is over: ourworldindata.org/end-progress...

IEEPA tariff decision is out: "Held: IEEPA does not authorize the President to impose tariffs. The judgment in No. 24–1287 is vacated, and the case is remanded with instructions to dismiss for lack of jurisdiction; the judgment in No. 25–250 is affirmed." www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25p...

Food + ag products are among those covered by the EU-India deal, including beverages, spices, fruit + veg, processed foods; also vegetable oils, sheep meat, sausages. More details: bit.ly/4tPcZa3. 👇

Honoured to join colleagues at The Peterson Institute today for a discussion on #WTO reform. Please join me at 9.00 EST/14.00 GMT, with Petros Mavroidis, Victor do Prado and our moderator, Cecilia Malmstrom. www.piie.com/events/2026/...

📢TMRW @ 9:30 AM EST Join IFPRI & Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) for this seminar: 📌 Navigating Risk: Challenges in Agricultural Commodity Shipping and Insurance Markets 🎟️ bit.ly/AgriRisk @cgiar.org

The Executive Order for this is here: www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

ICYMI. This month's edition also includes a features article looking at how global food commodity markets have maintained their resilience despite recent uncertainty.