I prefer to be working while all others are on holiday (no requests, emails) over being on holiday while other are not (sending emails).

Trillionaireness is meaningless just as the new year's eve or birthdays

1/ Can AI help researchers check whether published social science results actually reproduce? In our new PNAS paper, we tested this directly in the AI Replication Games: 288 researchers, 103 teams, and real replication packages from quantitative social science.

Do journals reject more or fewer papers since reviewers started to use AI?

You have nothing to lose but the system prompts. www.washingtonpost.com/technology/i...

OSF is operated nonprofit and overseen by scientists, no? I find some of the recent talk about it a bit off the tone. This one is witty, fine but, some others I have seen are a bit too harsh.

Reminds me of the pistachio prices going through the roof with the arrival of Dubai chocolate thing.

Is AI like this? youtu.be/nTgeLEWr614

Transitions are the fun zones

Claude Code tell-tale in a workshop presentation (K Healy style via Paul G-P) yesterday.

"i have two Microsoft Outlooks, and neither one of those are working." The Astronauts truly representing us all up there.

Inside the German state trying to break free from Microsoft Schleswig-Holstein’s radical tech overhaul offers Europe a live experiment in ending dependence on US Big Tech giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

Wealthier countries tend to invest more in private adaptation measures over public solutions, increasing inequality and leaving less-resourced nations more vulnerable to collective risks. doi.org/hbtbvm

New paper out in PNAS from a collective effort of many labs, where we find that private solutions undermine the provision of public solutions www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Betteridge's Law

I have a Bayes Theorem joke but what are the chances that you laugh if I tell it?

Seven journals you say?

Wake me up when this liquid glass thing disappears from Apple OSs.

Extrapolating from master thesis supervision, will the citations for papers available online benefit from LLM use? You may have access to papers behind the paywall via your university, but does your LLM have the same access?

A neighbor seized the opportunity. Only in Vienna.

Which economy is more productive - Germany or the US? It seems the answer would be clear, but it's not. The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:

The Radetzky March from 2009 to 2025 at the Vienna Philharmonic New Year's Concert www.youtube.com/watch?v=l-Xi...

Say learning without saying curve. You can do it.

Well. on.ft.com/4hXqA9B

If you're so impressed by the correction, imagine what the corrected article could do to you.

Well played @theguardian.com

Constantly harrassed by Microsoft 365.

Social choice theorists to the fore: Von der Leyen: "It is time to break free from the shackles of unanimity." www.politico.eu/article/what...

Well \beta = 0.387 ==> exp(\beta)-1 = 0.473, so it is 47.3% not 38.7% pubsonline.informs.org/doi/full/10....

I received a review request from a Frontiers journal. The mail included only accept and reject buttons for taking up the review, without any deadline information, or the manuscript itself (just abstract). When I clicked accept, it assumed accept (although revertible), due in 10 days. Never again.

What if you offer £1.50 to look the other way?

How likely it is that you upload your paper to some LLM as if you are reviewer for it to get suggestions, you implement them to anticipate, and the actual reviewer down the line uploads it on their side to some LLM and makes the suggestion to reverse back to original?

This ayran (yogurt drink) brand with a slogan that sounds like the title of a 1920s QJE article: Globalisation of Food Production

We're convening later today for the final panel for the drafting of the first EU General-Purpose AI Code of Practice. Meanwhile: European CEOs urge Brussels to halt landmark AI Act - on.ft.com/40toLtu via @FT

It turns out "delve" is used more since ChatGPT indeed. How much of it is strategic use? www.theverge.com/openai/68674...

What do you think the chances are that the link in this abstract from 2001 actually takes you anywhere?

Wim Wenders' The Grand Pudapest Hotel

One should not feel offended when asked about data and analysis details. Better: put everything up timely so you will not be asked.

Are you also doing air curly quotes when you speak? bsky.app/profile/ozke...

I hear some of you using more "delve into" when you speak so as to defend its use in your texts. Cheaper than actually AI-cleaning your texts ex-post I suppose.

Conclave : le vote itéré en action par Jérôme Lang decol.hypotheses.org/191

“Data is not available upon request”: the latest paper finding, of articles stating that data were available upon request, only 17%…shared data upon request. 😐 Seriously stop doing this. Put it in a repository while it’s fresh; it will only get *less* convenient to share as time goes on, not more.

every one of these deregulated markets guys is a regulated market guy who hasn’t been punched in the face yet

Economists failed to predict yet another economic disaster.

"Most of the people who are successful are doing x" is not an argument for x, however frequent Harvard Business Review and the likes would repeat. You need to know the outcome of the alternatives to x. This is a statistical issue. Then there is "most of the CEOs are male" kind of issues.

I learned about the Startpage search engine on this website and it's pretty good. european-alternatives.eu

Deleted the twitter app. I was checking both apps until now, so it's a relief.

At AI Action Summit Conference all they do is talk economics (and game theory). Program: aiconference.ip-paris.fr/program

New research alert! Our study investigates the effectiveness of human-only, AI-assisted, and AI-led teams in assessing the reproducibility of quantitative social science research. We've got some surprising findings!

On Turkish TV channel Haberturk tonight with R Sanver and U Ozdemir (@ugurozdemir.bsky.social) to talk about game theory and experimental economics. x.com/HaberturkTV/...