The Iran war has shattered Asia’s long-held assumptions about energy security. What will those shattered assumptions mean going forward? My latest for @CFR_org www.cfr.org/articles/the...

The White House is playing a dangerous game in Asia. Its defense demands combined with Asian insecurity about US commitments is creating potentially serious instability. My latest for @cfr.org hxxps://www,cfr,org/articles/trumps-defense-demands-are-pushing-asian-allies-toward-china

Transnational repression is skyrocketing worldwide, and democracies are moving too slowly to fight it. My latest for CFR_org www.cfr.org/articles/dem...

Tulisan terbaru saya untuk @WPReview tentang kembalinya militer ke panggung utama politik di Indonesia dan dampak-dampak berbahayanya. @CFR_org Di Bawah Prabowo, Militer Indonesia Kembali ke Panggung Utam www.worldpoliticsreview.com/indonesia-pr...

“For Indonesia, future neutrality pressures may not begin with requests for military bases or troop deployments. They may begin with more ordinary forms of cooperation such as maintenance arrangements, logistics support, or technical infrastructure.” www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre...

The summit in Beijing produced modest substance, but it did not damage Southeast Asian exporters by a China- U.S. bilateral trade deal, Yet most Southeast Asian and South Asian states remained disappointed with the results of the Xi-Trump meeting. @CFR_org www.cfr.org/articles/the...

My latest for @WPReview about the return of the military to center stage of politics in Indonesia and its dangerous impacts. @CFR_org Under Prabowo, Indonesia’s Military Is Returning to Center Stage www.worldpoliticsreview.com/indonesia-pr...

My interview today with @politico on how the ASEAN summmit failed to address Asia's vital energy crisis: Asia's other summit falls short politi.co/3Plee1g via @politico

After Hormuz, the possibility of countries using maritime chokepoints to raise money has massively increased. The most valuable? The Strait of Malacca. See my latest for @CFR_org www.cfr.org/articles/aft...

We haven’t even begun to understand the Pandora’s Box that this war has opened. @cfr.org www.cfr.org/articles/aft...

In Nepal, Gen Z finally turns protest into ballot box victory, after disappointments in Thailand and Bangladesh my latest for @CFR_org www.cfr.org/articles/in-...

My latest for @CFR_org : Gen Z helped topple Sheikh Hasina but got nowhere at the ballot box www.cfr.org/articles/gen...

My latest for @CFR_org on the Indonesian protests and how the bloodshed could get much worse. www.cfr.org/blog/amidst-...

Have a listen to my interview on where Thai-Cambodia relations go now with @JamesMLindsay for The President's Inbox at on.cfr.org/4lX9U3f via @CFR_org

"Despite ceding power to his son in 2023, Cambodia's former prime minister Hun Sen has continued to dominate the country's domestic and foreign policy. The most recent border conflict with Thailand has helped revive his power once again," writes @joshkurlantzick.bsky.social.

Displaced residents and migrant workers appeal for peace amid the Cambodia-Thailand border conflict, my latest piece for @globalvoices.org globalvoices.org/2025/07/31/d...

Why are Thailand and Cambodia really fighting? Its not necessarily what you think - for @CFR_org www.cfr.org/blog/real-re...

rump wants Asian partners to help isolate China, but most just won't. With Annabel Richter, our assessment for @CFR_org of Trump's plan to wall of China Will Southeast Asia Help Trump Build a Wall Against Chinese Exports? on.cfr.org/4eOui3H via @CFR_org

Josh Kurlantzick of @cfr.org warns a coup may be coming in Thailand. www.cfr.org/article/coup...

Title is pretty much explanatory in my latest piece: Is a Coup Coming Soon in Thailand? on.cfr.org/4ejBp3W via @CFR_org

What Next for the Trump Effect on Foreign Policy and Foreign Elections? on.cfr.org/3S6Q2gQ via @CFR_org

Is ASEAN Leaving the U.S. Behind on Trade? A chat with my colleagues @Brad_Setser and Rebecca Patterson on.cfr.org/4k1PQv3 via @CFR_org

Is ASEAN Leaving the U.S. Behind on Trade? A chat with my colleagues @Brad_Setser and Rebecca Patterson on.cfr.org/4k1PQv3 via @CFR_org

Why has Trump focused on several East Asian countries wit his tariff battle? Read this Digital project (thanks to Digital) : Why East Asia Is a Target of Trump’s Tariff War, in Six Charts on.cfr.org/3YMmVTV via @CFR_org

My latest for @CFR_org on the results in Singapore and Australia and the massive Trump effect: A Tale of Two Elections: Trump Casts Shadow Over Australia and Singapore on.cfr.org/4d0MTsF via @CFR_org

Happened again, this time in Australia: The ‘Trump Effect’ on Elections Is Just Beginning, Including in Japan on.cfr.org/4jwFcfZ via @CFR_org

How will the chaotic trade environment impact Singaore, whre the opposition is making real gains. Singapore Holds an Election Amidst a World at (Trade) War on.cfr.org/3Gmov8q via @CFR_org

My latest on Trump impacting elections all over the world, but not in ways he want. (Singapore section being updated.) The 'Trump effect' on elections is just beginning, including in Japan www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...

How will the chaotic trade environment impact Singaore, whre the opposition is making real gains. Singapore Holds an Election Amidst a World at (Trade) War on.cfr.org/3Gmov8q via @CFR_org

My analysis of the upcoming Australian election and how Trump is undermining the conservatives. Australia’s Upcoming Elections and the Trump Factor on.cfr.org/4cvwMmw via @CFR_org

Vietnam is the big Asian economy with few defenses against tariffs. They hate being pushed to the wall or feeling like a colony again. But they have no choice here. My latest for @CFR_org Vietnam Scrambles in a Tariff Bind on.cfr.org/3FYE1Y5 via @CFR_org

Vietnam is the big Asian economy with few defenses against tariffs. They hate being pushed to the wall or feeling like a colony again. But they have no choice here. My latest for @CFR_org Vietnam Scrambles in a Tariff Bind on.cfr.org/3FYE1Y5 via @CFR_org

My latest on the possible broader ramifications of the Myanmar earthquake for @CFR_org Will the Earthquake Affect Politics and War in Myanmar? on.cfr.org/445PdvJ via @CFR_org

My latest for @CFR_org on the Myanmar earthquake and its enormous power in a country already a failed state Just When Things Couldn’t Possibly Get Worse in Myanmar, They Do on.cfr.org/3FIMjD4 via @CFR_org

My latest for @CFR_org on the Myanmar earthquake and its enormous power in a country already a failed state: Just When Things Couldn’t Possibly Get Worse in Myanmar, They Do on.cfr.org/3FIMjD4 via @CFR_org

Autocratic leaders "are taking their most authoritarian actions yet against opposition, media, and civil society, knowing the United States does not care." Yes, this is a crucial observation in 'the new world order'. A must read piece by @joshkurlantzick.bsky.social for @cfr.org #DefendDemocracy

Given his previously untouchable status, the arrest and potential prosecution of former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte by the International Criminal Court is a surprising development, writes @joshkurlantzick.bsky.social.

"The drastic drawdown of National Endowment for Democracy grants and other democracy promotion support has already had major implications in Southeast Asia and other regions," writes my colleague @joshkurlantzick.bsky.social for @cfr.org: www.cfr.org/blog/trumps-...

Trump’s Cuts to Democracy Promotion Like the NED Already Hit Asian Organizations Hard on.cfr.org/4bpdZbU via @CFR_org

Trump’s Cuts to Democracy Promotion Like the NED Already Hit Asian Organizations Hard on.cfr.org/4bpdZbU via @CFR_org

In Southeast Asia and many other developing regions, it is China’s time now, writes @joshkurlantzick.bsky.social.

U.S. Soft Power Is Spiraling in Asia, With China Filling the Void on.cfr.org/4gZlEit via @CFR_org

My latest for @japantimes on how many of Trump's decisions thus far play right into the hands of Beijing Trump’s initial moves will benefit China: www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...

How US aid cuts could push Bangladesh toward Chinam actually hurting the US www.cfr.org/article/bang...

My latest, with Abi McGowan, about the real problems the PAP faces ahead of elections in Singapore later this year: www.worldpoliticsreview.com/singapore-el...

What Trump’s appointments tell us about his Asia policy - what can we tell so far read my latest for @japantimes

Vietnam, which has the third largest trade surplus with the U.S., is trying to figure out Trump 2.0 Vietnam Struggles to Avoid the Trump Administration’s Glare on.cfr.org/3Pr1Xos via @CFR_org

Might the Myanmar junta, which controls now about 20 percent of the country and is losing large numbers of defectors and key battles, suffer the fate of Bashar al-Assad? Read my latest for CFR_org on.cfr.org/4gqyirc via @CFR_org

My latest for @WPReview with Abigail McGowan Marcos’ All-In Bet on the U.S. Could Leave the Philippines Out in the Cold www.worldpoliticsreview.com/philippines-...

A Big Year for Asian Elections, but Not Necessarily for Democracy on.cfr.org/4gvKLcR via @CFR_org