www.cambridge.org/core/journal... Great to see the first paper from this side project out in PS. I’m grateful to have had the chance to work with Franziska and Jos.

Heartfelt thanks to the Korea Democracy Foundation (KDF) for an inspiring program in Seoul this September. Reuniting with Jai Kwan and Staffan—and meeting Sook Jong, Chanho, co-panelists, and fellow participants for the first time—made it especially meaningful.

A new working paper with Daiki Kishishita and Yuki Takagi! Are you torn between studies saying concessions calm vs. inflame protests? We develop a two-period model of protest cascades that identifies transparent conditions under which concessions demobilize versus backfire.

It’s a real honor to speak at such a high-profile forum alongside an exceptional lineup of speakers. I’ve already learned so much from the first day and am eager for the discussions in the coming two days.

Echoing Ilaria—what a way to kick off the weekend! Our project just won a three-year grant from Norges forskningsråd the Research Council of Norway 🎉 (I was told only ~8–10% of proposals got funded. What a tough competition!).

It's really a great pleasure to co-organize the ESOC RPC 2025 with Renard this time around in Taipei. Many thanks to ESOC's board members and all the paper presenters/discussants. Looking forward to attending the annual meeting this October in DC!

While I am not a financial economist, I still find it pretty rewarding to have a chance to listen to Myron's talk today and get to know how he thinks about AI and its implications for understanding uncertainties in finance and beyond.

Ethnic Coalitions and Media Freedom in African Autocracies | The Journal of Politics www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

I was so fortunate to have such a great opportunity to visit the department of political science at the University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social for three weeks this January. Many thanks to Carl @chknutsen.bsky.social for the invitation and the University of Oslo for sponsoring it.

Due in one week!

esoc.princeton.edu/events/2025/... Re-upping the CFP for the ESOC next year: proposals due in about three weeks!

📢 #HPE

#politicalscientists who study #democracy, #Constitution and #justice, please read and sign in support: t.co/5Vd1VXcsp8

ISQ just published a new paper by Arthur Goldsmith on self-coups. Timely stuff! academic.oup.com/isq/article-...

When you combine Bill Hurst’s in-depth knowledge of China’s regions and my knowledge of local debt, you do get a pretty rich conversation about the local fiscal situation in China www.youtube.com/embed/AQreq6...

This is taking the authoritarianism literature to another level…

Lots of discussion here and elsewhere about the weight that (would-be) autocrats place on loyalty vs. competence. So, yeah, but there’s so much more to say. @szakonyi.bsky.social has a nice discussion in this Oxford Handbook chapter on authoritarian bureaucracy, just coming online.

“Chinese state media has sunk considerable resources into Twitter, via unlabeled state-sponsored influencers, huge bot networks, the famous 50 cent army, … The Twitter bird, they thought, had finally been caged.”Then comes Bluesky. toosimple.substack.com/p/bluesky-ta...

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... Many thanks to Bereket for inviting me to contribute to the Encyclopedia of Experimental Social Science with this short essay where I had a chance to review the recent experimental studies on protests in economics and political science.

Dear friends: The ESOC (Empirical Studies of Conflict) is coming to Taipei next June! Renard and I are helping organize the conference this time around, and there will be “lots of” cool people (no spoilers!) attending it and presenting their newest research on conflict.

UK based folks, I will have a couple of talks at @universityofoxford.bsky.social and @camhistory.bsky.social next week. Here is the Oxford talk talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/acc...

talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/acc... Oxford-based friends, on Nov. 21, Victor will give another talk at Oxford about our recent collaborative project.

What a fantastic week at Waseda and Chuo! Many thanks to Tetsuro and Koji for their invitations. Truly enjoyed the conversations and the reunions with friends in Tokyo.

www.soas.ac.uk/about/event/... London-based friends, if you are interested, please join Victor at SOAS next Monday to hear his presentation about our recent collaborative project.

Great to talk with Dan and his team from LinkedIn this Wednesday. Academics have made several failed attempts to leave X. One thing I told Dan was it’s time to engage more actively with us!

Great to have Renard talk at the CSS about his earlier project in the Philippines.

What a shock. We just met this June for a potential collaboration. While I only knew James recently, I totally felt his passion for crossing the disciplinary boundaries and kindness to mentor younger colleagues. RIP, James!

Hi @polcomm.bsky.social community. We seek nominations for the David Swanson Award. It recognizes those with outstanding contributions to ICA’s PolComm Division. As division leader, journal editor, committee chair and other roles. More here: politicalcommunication.org/ica-division.... Until March 1

Guilty as charged. I used to submit a manuscript about 160 pages long. In the world of peer review, this kind of arms race of robustness tests and methodological whatnot seems to be just inevitable.

What happens when a formal modeler and a political psychologist walk into a room? …Very excited that my paper with @keithschnak.bsky.social, Anger and Political Conflict Dynamics, has been accepted at APSR! 1/7

Breaking news: The Supreme Court said Friday it will decide whether former President Donald Trump’s name can appear on primary-election ballots, a case that ensures the justices will play a central role in shaping this year’s presidential election.

Our article "Tell me the truth? Dictatorship and the commitment to media freedom," published earlier this year in JTP, now has a volume and issue number! t.co/kSWUS3qPZr

Received Christina’s book today. Thank you, Christina!

politicalcommunication.org/article/awar... Many thanks to the APSA and ICA Political Communication section/division for a short interview with us. It's now out in the Fall issue of the Political Communication Report.

I learned a great deal from this workshop. Truly appreciate to have the opportunity to help put it together. A workshop on U.S. and Taiwan semiconductor policy exploring key issues in technology, industry, and security www.stimson.org/2023/summary...

As promised. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Our new paper on the dictator's commitment problem and media freedom under dictatorships is out in the Journal of Theoretical Politics! doi.org/10.1177/0951...

It's remarkable how well the poster matches the model. Full paper coming soon, come see the talk in the meantime to learn why!

New working paper! It's absolutely a pleasure to have this opportunity to work with Victor and Keng-Chi on this project.