I thought it might take another week, but, there are plenty of emerging signs that continued warfare is hours away.

WSJ: President Donald Trump and his advisers are considering resuming limited military strikes on Iran alongside a U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in an effort to break the stalemate in peace talks. www.wsj.com/world/middle...

Not sure how this doesn't lead to continued warfare and a de facto blockade of the entire strait.

Polls are open in Hungary. Most of North America should expect a result tomorrow afternoon with polls closing at 1PM ET. One of the most consequential elections of our time for the EU, NATO. It's easy to overlook with everything else going on.

Up to 2,000 troops from the 82nd Airborne will arrive in the Middle East within days, the WSJ reports. Sounds like that ground invasion is still bubbling through Trump’s mind.

It pays to have good allies.

Now he needs an ON RAMP?

Saudi Arabia hinting that they continue to take hits to their oil transit, production, refining and petrochemical facilities. Grain of salt, of course. "The continuation of these targeting incidents leads to shortages in supplies and slows the pace of their recovery[...]"

No reports yet on origin of attack

Large explosion in Tehran reported.

Oh shit. Something is coming out

Iran’s deputy foreign minister says Iran was on the verge of responding to the ceasefire violation last night, but Pakistan intervened. Any peace in the region must include Lebanon, and the coming hours are very critical. – Fars News

Ceasefire about to end in earnest.

If he leaves NATO it's tantamount to treason and he should promptly be removed from office.

whiplash.

My take is the U.S. will take the next two weeks to prepare for a ground incursion to take the Strait. It makes complete sense with the logistics that are ongoing and prior to today. If the US orders the USS Boxer to turn around then I would change my assessment.

Pretty much endless alerts across the Gulf since the ceasefire was announced.

Missile alerts across Israel.

Head of the IRGC leans to Trump and says, You don't have the cards.

U.S. official: The ceasefire will begin this evening (U.S. time), but we assess that it will take time for the orders to reach field-level units in the Revolutionary Guards.-Axios

Lol, White House just called a lid...

Remember this is the same 10-point plan that Trump said is "a workable basis on which to negotiate," despite the fact that the demands are nearly identical to Iran's past demands. They also include giving Iran de facto control of the Strait of Hormuz.

By accepting Iran's conditions for ending the war, Trump announced that a two-week ceasefire will be established"-IRIB News Agency IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News: "Trump has retreated"

Red Alerts for Jerusalem.

Really wonder who is talking to who, and why he just can’t get that no one respects him anymore.

so, he should still be removed from office as soon as humanly possible

Al Jazeera journalist:

WHITE HOUSE: "Iran's decades of terrorism won't continue under President Trump."

❗️🇵🇰🇮🇷🇺🇸 A regional source says “some good news” may come soon, with a deal possibly closing tonight, driven directly by Pakistan’s Army Chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, - CNN

Iranian Foreign Ministry: Iran has received new proposals on how to end the war; these are currently under review, and we will provide our response soon.

Yedioth Ahronoth: Estimates in Israel indicate a high likelihood of reaching a ceasefire.

Multiple explosions reported across Baghdad.

U.S. and Arab officials say talks are now centering around getting a deadline extension, not a deal. That could change as about four hours remain for a potential breakthrough, the officials noted.-WSJ

"Gunfire" reported in the Baghdad Green Zone. That may be a mistranslation, but if there is small arms fire in the Green Zone, that would be significant.

Jacqui Heinrich of FOX: "He declined to weigh in on Pakistan’s 2 week deadline extension request – saying he’s about to be briefed fully on it - but said: “I can say this - that I know him very well. He's a highly respected man, all over”

Markets close in 5 minutes, any news right now is dubious. Which I think was Shipwreck's point.

IDF: "there may be an increase in [launches] towards the territory of the State of Israel in the coming hours."

Iran APPEARS to be targeting the Sheikh Zayed Bridge at this time. Waiting for confirmation.

Sirens reported in Bahrain, UAE and Kuwait.

Pakistan PM Shehbaz Sharif has requested President Trump to extend the Iran deadline by two weeks, amid ongoing mediation efforts.

An Iranian official said that exchange of messages with U.S. via mediators is still going on.-Reuters

UPDATE: King Fahd Causeway Authority in Saudi Arabia: "Traffic on the bridge is suspended as a precautionary measure."

Again. Just now.

Iran's Tasnim News Agency: "Iran will add oil facilities of Aramco and Saudi's Yanbu and UAE's Fujairah Pipeline to its targets if Trump attacks the country's power plants."

Iran designates several bridges in the Gulf region as "Closed Military Zones" starting at 3:30 PM ET time. Bridges include: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia - Riyadh-Jeddah Land Bridge Route United Arab Emirates - Sheikh Zayed Bridge Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Bahrain - King Fahd Causeway

Iranian Armed Forces: To the citizens and residents of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain, and to our Palestinian brothers and sisters living in occupied Jaffa (Tel Aviv): An urgent warning will be issued soon. Stay tuned.

There it is—Dated Brent (i.e., spot) crude hits $144.46/bbl, a new all-time high.