Seeing all the typical geopolitical moves you would see directly before strikes in Iran. Not a foregone conclusion, but strikes could happen as soon as this afternoon/evening.

The 9 KC-46As that went to Ben Gurion. All came direct from the eastern U.S.

Refreshing read. This is a well organized, succinct rebuttal of virtually every one of the Trump admins stated reasons for striking Iran. For me this doesn't move the needle on whether strikes will happen, but it's important nonetheless. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/26/u...

Again. I ask...

According to the report, internal deliberations are focused not on whether a strike would occur but on its scope and potential targets. Options under discussion include nuclear facilities, missile sites, state institutions and infrastructure, the officials said, according to Israel Hayom.

19/

Faytuks Network reporting "All Persian-language news and political channels on the Yahsat satellite have gone offline...The reason for the outage is not yet clear."

Trump reportedly meeting with Senate Republicans right now. I'm guessing this is the argument they are making to him.

"Another important point is that the plans and programs of the ground forces are not confined to traditional past measures focused solely within Iran’s geography. In line with the concept of offensive defense, these forces also keep an eye on offensive ideas" english.khamenei.ir/news/12102/I...

US-Iran Talks: Talks in Geneva are done. "Technical" discussions are scheduled to take place in Vienna next week. Reactions from today's round of talks are generally positive, optimistic, including from the U.S. side. Still waiting to hear from Trump himself though.

CNN: Senator Lindsey Graham spotted at the White House complex as Iran talks conclude for the day.

Thune today: “In my view, if you’re going to do something there, you better well make it about getting new leadership and regime change[...]" www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/senate/...

The Iranian Delegation will stay in Geneva until an agreement is reached. - BBC

Some quick hits RE: IRAN TALKS from Al Jazeera: Senior Iranian official to Al Jazeera: The principle of permanently zeroing out enrichment, dismantling nuclear facilities, and transferring the uranium stockpile is completely rejected.

Trump's schedule for Thursday, February 26th:

We are way too tolerant of everything the Trump administration is doing and we're going to regret it

Just read this from Politico and my jaw dropped. This article doesn't do much to sugar coat it, Trump admin officials want Americans to die to improve U.S. domestic support for this pointless war. This holds two implications which I think are more frightening... www.politico.com/news/2026/02...

The U.S. intelligence community is “concerned and monitoring” potential asymmetric retaliation by Iran on U.S. facilities and personnel in the Middle East and Europe. - Politico

Kushner and Witkoff are now en route to Geneva for negotiations with the Iranian Delegation led by Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi. If this is like last round (Feb. 17th) I expect the Iran talks will start around 9AM CET/3AM EST tomorrow. Give or take. (I don't know for sure)

This is wild. What did India agree to, to convince Bibi to say, "...we consider Hibatullah [the leader of Afghanistan and the Taliban] as a partner of Israel. Afghanistan is doing it's best to fight terrorism inside South Asia and requires all the support possible."

“A U.S. official said the firefight involved a U.S. civilian boat that was part of flotilla to get relatives out of Cuba, adding that the vessel was not U.S. Naval or Coast Guard boat.” The speedboat reportedly had ten on board and opened fire when approached by Cuban border guard, injuring one.

Full text of the Cuban statement, which claims the boat fired on Cuban coast guard first (I'm not saying reality was different, I have no idea, but as always with these kinds of stories we should not take anything as hard fact in real time).

Statement from the Cuban Ministry of the Interior of the event: "Note from the Ministry of the Interior: On the morning of February 25, 2026, a violating speedboat was detected within Cuban territorial waters. The vessel, registered in Florida, United States..."

uuhhhhhhh not good *FOUR US SPEEDBOAT PASSENGERS SHOT DEAD BY CUBAN COAST GUARD:AFP

I would think the refusal to move enriched stockpiles out of the country would be a non-starter for the U.S. But, you never know when the TACO will turn up.

-Enrichment up to 3.6% -Any other enrichment will be halted for 7 years -The pile of enriched Uranium currently held (more than 60% enriched), Iran refuses to move it out of the country, but will agree to reduce it.

Made it out there eventually.

Trump claims Iran will not say “those secret words: we will never have a nuclear weapon.” The Iranian FM earlier today: “Iran will under no circumstances ever develop a nuclear weapon”

After a few minutes of the State of the Union my wife said, "this is too fucked up, I'm gonna listen to my podcast." She's listening to a true crime podcast.

NewsNation posts GOP talking point for tonight's SOTU set from 1hr and 15m from now. "The Peace President" lol. "No more funding radical leftist news organizations."

Faytuks Network reporting two flights have been diverted from landing at Baghdad International Airport. Follow them on X: @FaytuksNetwork

For awareness, seen this doing the rounds on some OSINT sites. I have my doubts. While it is possible, I don’t see him being so overt and will cause serious constitutional issues.

Very, very soon…. When the Ford goes to sea on Thursday, strikes will likely be imminent.

Trump may declare war on Iran this evening during his State of the Union address to Congress. - Israeli media citing a senior U.S official

Okay, here is the clip from Schumer POST-Gang of 8 briefing today. Schumer: "This is serious, and the administration has to make it's case to the American people." Essentially what he said before the briefing.

Eyewitness social media reports of Fighter Jets along the Jordan and Syria border. It's unclear what direction these are headed in.

Details of Iranian message are starting to emerge, will post in this thread.

Can't help but think this is some kind of consolation to Israel for not striking Iran for the time being, but, I could be very wrong. It's difficult to interpret this. Probably won't be a very popular move stateside.

Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi will land in Tel Aviv tomorrow (Feb. 25th) for a 2-day State visit. Very unlikely U.S. strikes would go ahead while Modi was in Israel.

Occasional reminder: POTUS lacks domestic legal authority to attack Iran. Any such action would be a usurpation of Congress’s war powers. POTUS is prohibited by the UN Charter—both as a matter of int’l law and (b/c of the Take Care Clause) domestic law—from attacking Iran.

N12 News reporting that: "The US will station fighter jets, including F-22s, on Israeli soil" Very unusual.

Turkey is making preparations for a possible US-led strike against Iran. Turkey is also considering entering Iranian territory in the case of a power vacuum to "stop refugees from crossing into Turkey."- Bloomberg

Ali Larijani, the supreme National Security Council Chief of Iran, is still expected to deliver a letter today to the Foreign Minister of Oman, in Muscat. The "revised compromise proposal" was demanded by the US as a precondition to meeting in Geneva on Thursday.

Bayraktar's keeping an eye on the Turkish coast nearest Crete.

It is with the Gang of Eight. Shannon Kate Kingston (State Dept. Reporter) on X x.com/abckingston/...

Secretary of State Marco Rubio will brief House and Senate leaders at the White House tomorrow at 3 PM. - Asharq

Interesting... U.S. C-5M direct from Scotland not committing to land at Al-Udeid air base, for now...

From @Aviation_Intel on X (Tyler Rogoway of The War Zone @twz.com ): Bleak Assessment of the state of U.S. Air Defense ammunition.

The USS Gerald Ford had to request an emergency dock in Greece