Congrats to John Ewing for winning the election for Mayor of Omaha, Nebraska, last night, by 11,000 points. We're proud to have partnered with you, and it's always doubly rewarding when our polling is accurate and our client wins!

What Moms REALLY Need (Hint: It’s Not Flowers) 💐 Our nationwide poll provides some challenging numbers. The perception of motherhood today = more stress, less support. (1/3) shorturl.at/pCfCs

New data analysis shows Harris didn't lose because Democrats stayed home. Even with 100% turnout of 2020 Biden voters, she would have lost. One key factor? New 2024 voters broke heavily for Trump. Get the story here: shorturl.at/4Ys0E

Happening today at Noon!

Some *very* useful new polling data on Democrats from @changeresearch.com: "Our new nationwide poll suggests that ideology is less important to primary voters than willingness to fight." 90% of Ds prefer a "moderate fighter" to a "quiet progressive." changeresearch.substack.com/p/the-new-ce...

📊 NJ VOTER RESEARCH 75% rate the economy as "not good/poor" Universal concern about affordability 54% say the Trump administration is effective 53% feel Trump’s second term is underperforming his first Join our May 2 briefing Just for Jersey, for exclusive findings. Register now: shorturl.at/94aso

We asked 631 Democrats how they feel about their elected Democrats. Here's what we found:

📊 SURGE IN CONCERN: Since Nov. 2024, the share of voters who say corruption is their most important political issue has grown by 21 points. ➕ 30 pts among Democrats ➕ 3 pts among Republicans 42% say corruption is their top political concern

Results from a recent @changeresearch.com poll in North Carolina. Thom Tillis has a real fight to keep his Senate seat if Roy Cooper runs. carolinaforward.org/blog/april-2...

Today!

📈 Join us Friday 4/18 9am CT/12pm ET BRIEF: New research on perceptions of the economy (69% feel income falling behind costs) and on attitudes towards Abundance. Get the data! Register: shorturl.at/Tag1p

New Poll: 90% prefer a moderate fighter over a quiet progressive 95% prefer a progressive fighter over a quiet moderate Our Lead Analyst, Ben Greenfield argues that the new central axis in Dem primaries isn't left vs. center—it's fight vs. flight. Read more on Touch Grass: shorturl.at/WDucQ

📈 Join us Friday 4/18 9am CT/12pm ET BRIEF: New research on perceptions of the economy (69% feel income falling behind costs) and on attitudes towards Abundance. Get the data! Register: shorturl.at/Tag1p

The recent deportation of a Maryland father with no criminal record brings this debate from abstract policy to real human impact. The partisan gap is enormous - let's dig into the numbers 🧵

📊 NEW RESEARCH: Should the government deport Venezuelan immigrants without criminal records under the Alien Enemies Act? Americans are divided, but the majority (50%) say no - it "goes against American values and due process."

I got to talk to @lauren-goldstein.bsky.social of @changeresearch.com about a recent post she wrote on her personal substack about getting past identity labels to understand people's real values and beliefs about abortion. Find out more here: www.crosstabspodcast.com/p/the-gap-be...

📊 NEW RESEARCH FINDINGS 📊 While 93% of Americans have no regrets about their 2024 presidential vote, our new survey reveals interesting patterns among those who do. Third-party voters are nearly 4x more likely to express regret (19%) compared to major party voters. Thread 🧵

📊 Our new internal survey shows overwhelming support for increasing funding to Social Security (+59% net support), Medicare (+52%), and food assistance (+45%), while voters favor cuts to DEI programs, foreign aid, and student loans.

Great post from @farrahbostic.bsky.social (citing some of our @changeresearch.com data) on how pols can use public opinion data to champion ethical policy on immigration, rather than concede to a false narrative about majority support for deportations. www.crosstabspodcast.com/p/people-don...

The Elon Effect is real. Our new polling shows Americans deeply divided on Musk, with 41% viewing him favorably vs 53% unfavorably. The partisan gap? A staggering 78-point difference: Republicans: 81% favorable Democrats: 2% favorable Thread 🧵👇

📊 NEW RESEARCH: Should the government deport Venezuelan immigrants without criminal records under the Alien Enemies Act? Americans are divided, but the majority (50%) say no - it "goes against American values and due process."

🤝 While Americans disagree on DEI solutions, we found surprising agreement on what creates advantages: 99% agree wealth provides advantages, 88% recognize advantages of being white, and 70% see disadvantages in being Black. We agree on barriers but clash on fixes. #DEISurvey shorturl.at/8jnV6

Our latest Substack reveals that many Americans are concerned about barriers for: ✓ People who can't afford document fees (48%) ✓ Married people who changed names (47%) ✓ Elderly people (45%) ✓ Students away at college (41%) Read the full article: changeresearch.substack.com/p/locked-out...

PI(E) DAY POLL DROP! 🥧 We asked Americans what Elon Musk is more concerned with: 53% said "helping himself & his businesses" 43% said "helping make government efficient & saving taxpayer money" Elon Musk’s bank accounts may have lots of digits, but they can't compete with π! #PiDay2025

Thread 🧵 - Our latest national poll reveals a more nuanced picture of American attitudes toward immigration policy than recent headlines suggest.

We're also welcoming back our favorite (and only!) alum from our DKE days, @mattbooker.bsky.social! Matt, now a pollster at @changeresearch.com, updates us on the state of polling & explains why the data the public sees is just the tip of the iceberg. We also pour one out for the late, great 538.

📢 NEW POLL: Americans feeling the economic squeeze under Trump administration. 67% say income isn't keeping up with cost of living 52% stressed about grocery prices 50% strong on border security Get the full analysis on March 14th at our briefing: shorturl.at/praWW

Thread🧵(1/4) Americans don't trust the news! 📰❌ Recent polling shows that none of the tested news sources are trusted by a majority of voters. Most trusted? NPR & Wall Street Journal (both 46%)— less than half! 60% distrust FOX News. #MediaTrust

Thread🧵: Just-Released Trump Administration Polling (1/4)📊 Our nationwide survey of 2,732 voters shows President Trump facing early headwinds just weeks into his second term. 51% disapprove of his job performance.

[NEW DATA] Americans divided on Ukraine, revealing stark partisan split 🧵 (1/4) Most Americans (63%) hope Ukraine wins the war, but there's a massive partisan gap: 93% of Democrats support a Ukrainian victory, compared to 35% of Republicans.

Americans fear news outlets are "hiding truth" 🧵 (1/4) 79% of voters are "very concerned" media companies hide the truth, while 72% indicated that they worry about “billionaire owner influence”.

61% of "active news consumers" are actually avoiding news post-election. Even more interesting? 41% now primarily get news from social media. Join our webinar to discover where people really get information, who they trust, and why they're tuning out. 🗓️ Feb 14 ⏰ 9AM PT/12PM ET Register here:

Many Americans watch the Super Bowl for the game–of course (38%). But, a decent number of folks watch the big game purely for the vibes, the snacks, and the party (30%). We’re watching for The Birds 🦅

📊 BREAKING: Americans Split on New Tariffs Poll shows 49% think that tariffs on imported goods will hurt the US economy, while 35% see benefits. us17.campaign-archive.com?u=a587937cdc...

✅ Conduct hundreds of 2024 electoral polls, on everything from obscure ballot props to Harris vs. Trump ✅ Analyze our accuracy on every single one of those polls, to ensure we are constantly improving ✅ Publish our accuracy report, in service of transparency changeresearch.com/2024-accurac...

🧵 (1/9) Big changes might be coming to the Supreme Court. Senators Welch (D-VT) & Manchin (I-WV) are pushing a constitutional amendment for 18-year term limits for justices. Bold move? Yes. But do Americans actually support this? Let’s look at the data. 👇

Is the narrative of young men turning conservative the full story? Change Research shows young men today are actually more left-leaning than previous generations. Meanwhile, young women’s progressive views are at historic highs, with 51% identifying as liberal/progressive.

When given choices, 65% of Americans prefer a pathway to citizenship over deportation. Even among Republicans, only 55% support deportation, while 38% favor legal residence pathways. #DataMatters shorturl.at/7Ohhn

🗳️ We define 13% of voters as moveable – undecided, leaning third-party, or unsure about Harris’s performance. These voters prioritize inflation, housing, & healthcare over other issues and could make or break the race. us17.campaign-archive.com?e=__test_ema...

🧵 (1/2) Latino voters are set to shape the 2024 election, with top issues like abortion, the economy, and immigration driving their concerns. Latina women are worried about Trump’s impact on women’s rights, while Latino men show more ideological diversity, prioritizing economic issues.

New @changepolls.bsky.social poll shows independent Dan Osborn up 46-43 in the Nebraska Senate race. With MT, FL and TX looking not-so-great, this is the best hope of keeping the Senate out of Republican hands.

Heading into #Election2024, JD Vance has a -14% net favorability, struggling with Dems (-86%) & younger voters. Tim Walz holds a balanced +4%, with strong Dem support (+82%) but low GOP (-80%). Party, age & demographics will shape this race! #PublicOpinion #vpdebate2024 #VP #TimWalz #JDVance

Voter opinions on Harris are split as the 2024 election nears. 📊 58% think media coverage is biased by race, 55% say public support is influenced by it, and 46% fear political violence. Harris’s candidacy sparks debate on race & merit. #Election2024 #KamalaHarris #RaceInPolitics

CR Swifties said it first ✨ www.billboard.com/music/pop/ta...