"About Those Trump Tariffs...." danieldrezner.substack.com/p/about-thos...

Not sure when +50K jobs has ever been described as "solid gain" outside of maybe a post recession recovery.

Nothing, I thought, could demolish my ego like graduate school. Then I became a parent, where the longer your string of successes the bigger the sense of failure when things go even just a little awry.

Me at 16 years old: Hey, I better read John Locke, Thomas Paine, Thomas Hobbes, Jean Rousseau, Henry Thoreau.... because understanding the philosophical underpinnings and nuances of the new American democracy will be very important in the future! Society in 2025: Get bent, NERD!

This headline is wild. Such passivity despite the words describing several constitutional and international crises.

You can tell the people who haven't had to deal with daycare pickup/drop-off by their response to the videos. "Why wouldn't they LET HIM IN?!" Bro, they don't even let parents inside the building without at least 24 hr prior authorization.

Watching my 5 year old eat a bowl full of raw carrot, a match light in our existential darkness.

I put in 8 years, and 2 years on am still recovering.

I spend a year plotting a mystery novel and then this happens.

Let them fight.

The mortgage fraud claim against Lisa Cook is false, per documents obtained by Reuters. Bill Pulte's accusation, the sole pretext Trump used to fire her from the Fed, was that she claimed two homes as primary residence. These docs show she did not. www.reuters.com/world/us/fed...

Co-signed.

Go Vols!

I grew up in TN, I just counted from a simple scroll down my feed. 11 out of the first 25 were complaining about the rebrand on FB, most calling it woke.

I was born in 1985. I like to describe this experience as, "born in the 80s but remember the 70s." I cannot fully explain it, but that description feels perfect. Black and white TVs, rotary phones, beta-max, drunk driving as socially acceptable behavior.

Happy Friday youtube.com/watch?v=pcEJ...

I saw this headline, and thought, "god, I hope they gave this to Katie." Not thinking in a million years it was her! Always in the thick of it, @katiehonan.bsky.social

I *finally* found my ASMR sound: the quiet rattling of a child silently putting away their toys.

I needed an economic catharsis or otherwise the current era was going to drive me insane. I also will always and forever be completely devoted to educating anybody willing to listen to basic economics. So, here I am discussing Monetary Policy and Fed Independence: youtube.com/watch?v=ZEer...

I cannot imagine the degradation of content over there now. When I kicked off over a year ago it was already reading like an old Ebaum's World thread, with even more racism and misogyny.

you truly could not pay me to rejoin Twitter on any regular basis

Puff Daddy was so uncool he made Suge Knight (also a monster) seem palatable.

Watching all these Northeast liberal academic powers fold like cheap suits to Trump reaffirms my strong belief we need far more southerners getting PhDs.

Mark my words, Trump will rip the football away again very soon and Columbia will give more and Trump will move it again. Does nobody at Columbia understand game theory?

One of the things I was not prepared for was extent simply holding to account a president over decorum would be considered silly political correctness, so much that a so-called hostile press seems to largely turn a blind eye. POTUS called the Fed Bank Chairman "stupid." And it wasn't even a story.

It's my love language, so I'm told.

Every year goes by and my self-delusion of enjoying the beach, despite almost never really doing so when there, is bitterly eroded. It's self-care.

I'm slowing realizing the only way people will ever accept replacing human customer service with AI is to get them so used to terrible service they will willfully accept the high propensity of error in AI service functions (e.g. insurance denials) because it will seem no worse.

I was there for MK from the jump. It was culturally significant in ways I cannot explain. I had 3 xmases of MK, MKII, MKIII Ultimate for the SNES as THE gifts I wanted. Passing notes of fatalities, blood codes, Reptile, Smoke, "Toasty!" Cinematically this might be manure, but I'll love it still.

Keeping phone calls to family outside your zip code short due to high long-distance fees.

Andreessen is a literal billionaire. I just recently and barely became net positive in assets at the age of 40. For my entire adult life I've felt nothing but stupefying and unearned privilege despite being from a broken home absent any college degrees. What the hell is Andreessen whining about?!

Yip yip yip yip!

While many people seem to verbally acknowledge the difficulties of being a parent, my personal experience is that non-parents don't seem to have a clue the time it takes to have a kid and a lot of parents don't seem to extend much grace to other parents. It's more isolating than I expected.

The report looks strong. The Powell attack was disconnected. +147K jobs gained last month (mid-May to mid-June). +16K jobs in revisions of prior 2 months The big picture

The overarching idea most consistently in my head while watching The Bear, other than how much I love it, is: Is every aspect of your job-process, philosophy, personality, quality, quantity, delivery, and wage rate- meticulously scrutinized and criticized publicly? Welcome to being a professor.

I'd certainly love to dissect and debate the merits of Mamdani's proposals, including which I disagree with. But as long as elected officials are floating denaturalization, what is the point of even trying? At this point, I want him to win mayor just to spite that level of insanity we're seeing.

It is pretty wild how all the dudes I went to HS with who didn't read more than one page of text the entire time get the exact same level of electoral influence on economic policy as me. That doesn't bother me at all, certainly has never kept me up at night wondering what the hell it was all worth!

Derek Thompson @dkthomp.bsky.social) has an interesting new Substack blog that echoes the trendy pundit finding that unemployment rates for new college grads are at record highs relative to the overall employment rate. open.substack.com/pub/derektho...

The clear subtext here is they expect a contraction. Otherwise, you don't get inflation and a need to cut rate targets.

Since becoming President, Trump has imposed the largest tariff hike in modern American history and is continually threatening further escalations That trade war is costing the US billions—and breaking the country's trade flows in important ways🧵 www.apricitas.io/p/how-tariff...

When Trump said that immigrants were bringing drugs into the country, I didn't realize he was talking about Elon Musk.

That's pretty on brand. In my 8 years in NYC I had a landlord who slashed my bike tires, sent threatening texts, and eventually stood outside our window one night, belligerently drunk, and yelled at my wife about how he was going to kick us out. And we had a hole in our roof the entire time.

Show us your writing process in a gif:

NEW: Dark money spending in the 2024 federal elections hit $1.9 billion — nearly double the previous record. This is an unprecedented surge in secret political spending. Here’s the full @brennancenter.bsky.social report with all of the details: www.brennancenter.org/our-work/res...

It's an interesting worldview for a billionaire to have. In his mind, his avarice is smart, genetic, deserved. He repeatedly admits this. But now you see he feels completely comfortable limiting the material benefit to others, and in this case children.

I wonder if folks will ever be open to the conversation about how there are huge swathes of people who functionally don't sleep well and are in a ubiquitous haze from lack of sleep, and arguably are exerting even more effort to accomplish the same goals as "good sleepers."

This is just so good. Huge nostalgia bomb for me.

Could really use a "delete all accidental screenshots when trying to turn the music volume up" option when trying to make room on my iPhone.

Recently been thinking about and dreading the day I have to explain to my son that I moved him from Brooklyn to Indiana. Starting to see the benefits of brainwashing.