1 August 2025 - Resistance Day!

Happy to launch the second wave of #defenseAI country studies with Umaima Ali‘s paper on #Pakistan 👇🏻👇🏻

Grateful for the opportunity to talk about the role of #AI on the battlefield in this interview 👇🏻

Tariffs are the new Viagra

What Does a #European Way of #Warfighting Need? #Performance, Performance, and Performance

"Securing Artificial Intelligence for Battlefield Effective Robustness (SABER) aims to build an exemplar #AI #redteam equipped with the necessary counter-AI techniques, tools, and technical competency to operationally assess AI-enabled battlefield system." For more, see www.darpa.mil/research/pro...

US imports of cars & machinery would be among most affected by tariffs on Canada and Mexico • Trade between US and its neighbours is virtually tariff-free under USMCA free-trade agreement • Tariffs would act as tax on Americans, incl. for food given US big imports of foodstuff from USMCA partners

Every day is a #reading day. Enjoy today’s selection. #AcademicReading

"Distrust and verify:" US Marines launch new instruction on #generative #AI. For more, see breakingdefense.com/2025/01/dist...

"An upcoming executive order soon to be signed by President Joe Biden will include language around using #AI for #cyberdefense." For more, see www.politico.com/news/2025/01...

The US Army "is constructing an #AI and #ML ecosystem that will provide a trusted, safe environment where Army program managers and elements can bring in AI models and #test them against curated and trusted data." For more, see www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/202... #AI #DefenseAI

1/3 Territories acquired by the United States through purchase and cession, with year and size: - Louisiana (1803) - 827,987 sq mi - British Cession (1818) - 45,417 sq mi - Florida (1819) - 72,101 sq mi - Texas (1845) - 389,166 sq mi - Mexican Cession (1848) - 529,189 sq mi

Nice illustration of how national security exceptions at the WTO have ballooned, reaching an all-time high of 95 in 2024, via @bennsteil.bsky.social, Elisabeth Harding, @cfr.org Since 2017: 🇺🇸: 30 🇲🇽: 14 🇨🇭: 12 🇧🇷: 10 🇸🇦: 8 www.cfr.org/blog/soaring...

When is an ally not a partner? This blistering @japantimes.co.jp editorial on the U.S. Steel / Nippon Steel debacle is worth reading in full. www.japantimes.co.jp/editorials/2...

CDAO-sponsored #redteaming efforts identifies "over 800 findings of potential vulnerabilities and biases" related to the use of #LLM for #clinical note summarization & #medical advisory chatbot. #AI #DefenseAI cc @aisupremacy.bsky.social See: www.defense.gov/News/Release...

From "big is beautiful" to "small is smarter" - one element of #geoeconomic #hedging

ICYMI: #Aselsan has reportedly integrated the #S400 #airdefense system into its #HAKIM 100 #AirC2 system, which can also integrate #NATO assets. For more, see turdef.com/article/s-40...

We end 2024 on a high note as "The Very Long Game" has made it on the 2024 list of notable defense tech books by RAINCLOUD, the #defense #AI platform. Thank you and Happy New Year

2025 #defense deal surge?

#DefenseAI in #China: "(China faces) several organizational and political hurdles that could keep it from taking full advantage of AI-enabled military technologies in tomorrow’s conflicts." By @sambresnick.bsky.social for @foreignaffairs.com www.foreignaffairs.com/china/obstac...

For more on the role of training in advancing #interoperability and #innovation, read "Adaptive Portfolio: Catalysing NATO's Performance Through Innovation", written by @heikoborchert.bsky.social @schuetzt.bsky.social @warkhorse.bsky.social for GLOBSEC: www.globsec.org/what-we-do/p...

"Training is the chamber where #innovation is brought in," says Adm Pierre Vandier, NATO's SACT, in an interview with Elisabeth Gosselin-Malon for @c4isrnet.bsky.social www.defensenews.com/global/europ...

As of today the Defense AI Observatory (DAIO) is also active on @bsky.app. If you are interested in the use of #AI by armed forces around the globe kindly follow @defenseaio.bsky.social

🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄🎁🎄 What a great Xmas surprise: 5 months after releasing "The Very Long Game: 25 Case Studies on the Global State of Defense AI" our open access book has hit more than 150k accesses on @springernature.bsky.social. Thank you very much!! Links to the book and all chapters below

Recommended reading in #geoeconomic fragmentation and #supplychains

"As damaging as Western restrictions have been, the tightening controls have also spurred Chinese technological advances that otherwise would not have occurred," writes Scott Kennedy for @foreignaffairs.com www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... #Geoeconomics #China #Technology

#EDF: Bye Bye Buy EU-Demand 👇

Econ policies like tariffs, export controls, & investment reviews often have exception procedures that can easily be corrupting. Public disclosure is crucial.

Understanding #BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model. By Iman Bastanifar, Kashif Khan and Halil Koch for the Journal of Innovation by @elseveir.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Will a US investor buy #NordStream2 pipeline? This is the story of Stephen P. Lynch, a US financier, who wants to bid for the pipeline "if it comes up for auction in a Swiss bankruptcy proceeding." By Christopher M. Matthews for @wsj.com www.wsj.com/business/ene... #Geoeconomics #FlowControl

"Vietnam has now edged out Germany to become the third largest global contributor to the US #tradedeficit. On this measure alone, the chances of being hit by tariffs are much higher under Trump 2.0 than before." See: asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/A-ro... #Geoeconomics #Reshoring

With the shadow of Trump (and #tariffs) looming over #SEAsia, "governments are already taking steps to reduce their #overreliance on either the #US or #China by deepening relationships with other countries and regions, and stressing their #neutrality." #GeoeconomicCocooning

Welcome to my new account. I work as a senior advisor on national security and corporate geoeconomics and write about strategic affairs with a specific focus on geoeconomics, defense innovation, defense AI and more. Below you find a short selection of my recent publications to start with.