Meer dan 2% GDP aan defensie is 'ondraagbaar' voor het land (BEL) zeggen politici die het beleid mee bepalen. de Vlaemsche identiteit van het Hallerbos promoten via een subsidie, is ongetwijfeld meer cruciaal voor de veiligheid van onze burgers. #MoetErNogZandZijn ?

Whilst we 🇧🇪 are quarreling about budgets for defence, about derelict military infrastructure and critical transport routes ... AND NOTHING MAJOR HAPPENS, 🇷🇺 is building new railroads at lightening speed. They are all military transport routes. GLOCs: Ground Lines of Communication 1/

zo simpel is de boodschap.

We had a window of opportunity to provide massive support to UKR enabling them to have a VICTORY over RUS. We did not. That window is now closed. RUS has turned its entire economy in war mode (present and future) and reached 'sustainability' level. Dangerous times ahead.

Engagement ranges of current allied stand-off ASM (Air-to-Surface missiles). The black dots are the launching point (already within reach of RUS air defence). It clearly illustrates the necessity to base FRA, BEL, ... combat aircraft on FOB/DOB ... forward operating bases. 1/

@demorgen.be brengt Civil Protection Shelters in beeld ... een beetje laat, op mijn X staan de analyses daarrond al, wat?, 2 jaar online? Protective Shelter speelt een rol voor de bevolking maar vooral ook voor Continuity of Governement (bescherming overheid) en Continuity of Society 1/

Interesting twist in history: Official 🇷🇺 news agency: 21-MAY-2025 USSR (Soviet Union) still exists, ergo - Ukraine is not a country - there is no war but a domestic internal conflict SAUER et al. are advised to use this new line, it sounds kind of sexy ... 🤣

The elephant in the room. Moeilijk met een verkeerd geconcipieerde financieringswet en een regionalistische premier en grootste regeringspartij. Maar helemaal juist. Context is nochtans duidelijk: UN&EU Mensenrechtenverdrag: overheid heeft maar 1 kerntaak = protection of life.

Someone in a not so far past said that nuclear weapons were a RED line. Apparently the lighter shades of red are in fact something like eggshell ... "off white". But KAHN would certainly raise an eyebrow !

In 🇳🇱 is men nu gestart met de berekeningen hoeveel MEER DAN 5% GDP zal nodig zijn, om Europa te verdedigen als USA effort vermindert of wegvalt. BESTUUR heet zoiets, ondertussen zoekt 🇧🇪 naar landen voor een 'Coalition of the Unwilling' om te protesteren tegen de verwachte nieuwe 3.5% norm.

Geneva conventions. What ? .... what do you mean ? a convention ... to protect PoW ? 🇷🇺: hmm, not for us.

Stroom onafhankelijk een gezin of samenleving draaiende houden, cash betalen, ... het zijn écht geen zotte ambities. Onze overheid zou beter op een matuur niveau de risico's uitleggen en hun plannen -als die er zijn- koppelen aan de gevraagde inspanning van de bevolking. Andere landen doen het wel.

De Belgische Krijgsmacht meldt eerst doorheen alle eenheden voertuigen te moeten gaan zoeken om een detachement te kunnen sturen naar Roemenië De Belgische Krijgsmacht probeert dan met sneeuwkettingen ongeschikte voertuigen op het terrein te krijgen, maar geeft de poging op 1/

🤯👁️👁️ ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️ It rained. Belgian Army stays in barracks.

You must have a strange twist. Governments and intelligence services of the major European countries, repeatedly warn for 🇷🇺 expansionary ambitions in 2 to 3 years, and 🇧🇪 minister of foreign affairs says "we will increase our defence spending in a 10 to 15 years time frame". 🤯🤯🤯

YES, when rebuilding 🇧🇪 Armed Forces there should be no "heilige huisjes". Our reconstruction is so fundamental, that it is a unique opportunity to rebuild 'for the future', not necessarily a continuation of the past. When U.S. officials admit pulling back on F35 missions ... 1/

To put it a bit intellectually ... 🇧🇪 MoD & BELDEF should benchmark a new strategy text v-à-v Classical, Adaptive, Resource-Based, and Processual assessments of future states, adding a topping of AI would of course make it fully contemporary... Great article on the subject, via ResearchGate

This too is interesting. In the same newspaper article. 🇧🇪 sergeant, deployed to 🇷🇴 (ROM): "with our wheeled armour we get stuck, even here. We will not even get to 🇺🇦." 🇧🇪 general: "we need more wheeled armour (Jaguar CaMo)." 🤯

😟

🇧🇪 is searching to get economic return, innovation and employment in the defence or dual purpose industry ... think NICHES, like developing Audio Enclave secure communication systems. 1/

Alsof CaMo en 🇧🇪 BELDEF nog niet genoeg imagoproblemen hebben, ... verschijnt nu een OFFICIEEL filmpje van het eerste nieuwe materieel CaMo ... Pink is the new Khaki, moet men gedacht hebben - om de nieuwe afschrikking te symboliseren. En ja, dit zijn nog te vervangen onderdelen ... MAAR 1/

... petite suggestion ... mochten we (🇧🇪) nu al die inzichten eens opnemen in een future oriented strategic concept, en geen administratieve zoektocht om op basis van oude doctrine & concepten toch zeker tegen de zomer voldoende "bestelbons" te hebben voor de 2% NATO pledge.

Tijdens WO-2 streden Belgische strijdkrachten 18 dagen. Van 1940 tot 1945 streden tienduizenden Belgische burgers verder tegen de bezetting, via gewapend verzet, hulp aan geallieerde piloten, sabotage, informatieverzameling, ... Hun namen moeten gekend zijn, > de missie van "Helden v/h Verzet" 1/

Cyber - geo-political conflicts - extreme weather - epidemiological threats. We are sailing willingly, (ignorantly ?) right towards the perfect storm.

For those who still centre on developing (new) units based on dismounted troops ... watch this video, and ask yourself to which level you have modified the classic concept of Fus teams, to provide omnipresent and strong C-UAS. Traditional dismounted troops are indeed ready for being slaughtered.

An extremely interesting 40 minutes 'docu' on the French SCORPION doctrine/concept/technology ... core of the CaMo programme. youtube.com/watch?v=L_Ji... There is also a very well sourced RAND report. BLUF1: - just watch the entire video 1/

Daar gaan we weer: 🇰🇷 Z-KOR. Another country finding high tech with short delivery times in 🇰🇷, and with the 🇰🇷 willingness to create jobs and transfer technology to 🇪🇺. Will 🇧🇪 have a piece of the cake, or will we be too late again ...

So, in case you were wondering ... the leader of a country (🇷🇺) that invaded a souvereign other country (🇺🇦), 'hopes' he will not start a nuclear war. Fans of 🇷🇺, please enlighten us with the no doubt rational, humane, and international-law/treaties reasoning behind this.

Whilst Western defence planners & industry plan years for new systems, let them go thr tedious testing & validation programmes and field them long after they were surpassed by technology,... 🇺🇦, 🇷🇺, 🇮🇱, ... launch new weapon systems sometimes just 2 weeks after "having an idea" innovation = every day

🇺🇸 ✝️💪 --- 😇

🇩🇪 💪 🤩 @germany.diplo.de

For those not familiar with unit size names, A Division (Div) = typically comprised of 4 Brigades, and has a strength between 10,000 and 20,000. So 'changing a name' means you have the intent of quadrupling the size of the unit.

Some countries have a clear view and impressive ambition. 🇩🇰Denmark (5.9 mln) (for info: 🇧🇪 population 15.5 mln) (source: marineschepen.nl)

... en waar NIET ... in 🇧🇪 natuurlijk. Is die richtlijn Muyters nu al weggestemd ? of doen we dat als alle grote defensiegroepen al een nieuwe vestiging in het buitenland hebben ??

Sommige landen zijn uit de startblokken, andere nog niet.

Little 🇪🇪 Estonia willing to send ground troops to 🇺🇦 DMZ in case of truce. 🇬🇧 and others consider ground troops "too perilous". What a strange world.

⚠️You may read this with a cynical eye, and of course 'kill points' is cynics, however ... it is a clear illustration of the universal application of "innovation" in warfare. A successful unit will have greater output per unit of input. 1/

Look what happens, when you keep working with ancient - long lead incremental - Defence Plannnig based project management (methodologies). The present is AGILE, defence planners => make the turn !

HAS/PAS (Hardened Aircraft Shelter) in gewapend beton in Syria. Met de deuren dicht beschermt men zo vliegtuigen tegen bombardementen en drones. 🇧🇪 gaat de nieuwe F35s op een rijtje in nieuwe "garages" zetten. Geen bomb-proof constructie in gewapend beton, simpele rolpoorten. 🤔

I didn't receive my "instructions to the population" yet from the 🇧🇪 authorities. Nor any realistic of energising concept about Resilience, 72hr independence, or anything else related to Continuity of Society. Of course, we are not 🇫🇷, 🇪🇸 or 🇵🇹 - luckily we are immune.

Viktoria HONCHARUK... en mochten we nu in 🇧🇪 eens al de politieke zever stoppen, en het stuurloos zijn van BELDEF en er voor zorgen dat onze jongeren dit verhaal NIET moeten vertellen. Nationale veiligheid is een bijzonder grote verantwoordelijkheid. Military & politics, stop the games. Work it !

It is called War Attrition. There are various way to win a war.

Bericht aan het Kremlin: "het is genoeg geweest". Binnenkort komt er misschien nog een persbericht: "Aan het weer, stop met stormen en overstromingen; meer dan 0,13% geven we niet aan de Civiele Bescherming. Het volstaat." Alsof het over budgetten gaat, nee, it's about safety and security.

In 🇺🇦 the length of the (military) innovation cycle currently is between 2 weeks and 3 months. That means, between thinking of a new weapons systems and having is in operational use on the battlefield, between 14 and 90 DAYS. Continual both incremental and leap-style innovations are crucial 1/

A quick reminder of what was told 2 months ago, and is more valid than ever. The full spectrum of defensive / deterring capabilities & capacity is 🇪🇺 responsibility, and a reorientation of the concept of military mobility (who from where to where).

🇫🇷 The French President’s Office: Europe will insist on full respect for Ukraine’s territorial integrity in any peace agreement. No compromises on sovereignty.

Of course you will have heard of "NAFO" ... but perhaps not of the 🇧🇪 "69th Sniffing Brigade". It is a project regrouping 🇧🇪 fundraising initiatives, mainly to purchase pick-up trucks that are used for CASEVAC/MEDEVAC. YOU too can support the 69th, through direct donations ... 1/

One of today’s Russian papers reports: Russian history text books will feature Donald Trump’s “extraordinary peace efforts…and the remarkable changes in American domestic politics.” (so says one of the authors) #ReadingRussia

"Everything happens underground" ... at -1, -5 under hotels, other buildings, etc. Remember my repeated suggestions to - at low cost - start modifying our hundreds of underground parkings to make them "population shelter" infrastructure... minimum cost & just minor changes in urbanism rules needed