On geopolitics around Iran, I trust no one's opinion more than I do Trita's

This is what Israel has wrought in Tehran.

"The reserve currently contains 415m bbl of oil, or ~ 20 days of US consumption, well below its 714m-bbl capacity. Drawing down too much of the oil too quickly could damage the salt caverns holding it. It would cost more than $20bn to refill." www.ft.com/content/d546...

The presumed upcoming El Nino will help cement and quantify global warming acceleration, showing that 2C global warming is likely to be reached in the 2030s, not at midcentury. See Another El Nino Already? mailchi.mp/caa/another-... Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/another-el...

While strategic petroleum reserves can cushion against immediate impacts of the US/Israeli war against Iran, people really have not prepared for fertiliser shortages and what that may mean for food cycles in the coming year: (Source: Bloomberg newsletter 6 March)

As the Kurds who had depended on US support, were betrayed and massacred in their thousands in the 70s, Kissinger famously dismissed the deaths: "covert action should not be confused with missionary work."

"On Sunday, the Israeli Broadcasting Authority reported that an Iranian drone struck an apartment inhabited by Israelis in Abu Dhabi near the Israeli embassy." i.e. intel personnel. www.dropsitenews.com/p/iran-war-t...

Old enough to know that all wars start with wildly fanciful claims of quick success. Including the US civil war (I’m not *that* old but I do read history)

The Pentagon is putting the responsibility on Trump.

Really concerned to hear the Defence Secretary refuse to rule out UK's involvement in future strikes on Iran. Iraq lessons must be learned. Further escalation in the Middle East makes us all less safe. Starmer must rule out UK involvement immediately.

One of the key problems with the coexistence of billionaires and a subservient media is that the ravings of mentally ill men are presented as headline news.

Preventable deaths in a warming world: how politics shapes who lives and who dies @thierryaaron.bsky.social argues vulnerability to climate change isn’t fate - it's a political choice. theconversation.com/preventable-...

Climate displacement in Wales as Council spends over £2.5million to protect residents #Rhondda #ClimateChange #Wales climatewithbrian.com/2026/02/02/w...

"The results also indicate that current #climate models underestimate the magnitude of the observed changes. This is caused most likely by a too simplistic representation of deep mixing processes in the ocean in numerical models" #AMOC #FasterThanExpected

ICE detained a 5-year-old Minnesota boy coming home from school + took him and his dad to Texas, school officials say. The family has an active asylum case + entered the US at a port of entry. "They’re taking children. They're not violent criminals. They're little kids," the superintendent told me.

"Every summer in Europe, now, is getting unbearably hotter...If you are using excess deaths as a tool for measuring heat mortality, you are looking back 3yrs to get your avg... what happens when those No.'s are elevated every yr? Excess deaths are baked into the background data &the baseline shifts”

Forced face scanning of a U.S. citizen with zero cause, just bald racial profiling. This is tech fascism.

Week by week - Laura Kuenssberg is interviewing the party leaders. When I agreed to come on the show, I was told Nigel Farage was also doing it. He's now pulled out - and they've sent the deputy instead. The same Nigel Farage who's refusing to debate me. A pattern emerging...

From Palestine to Venezuela: We call for unity in the struggle for self-determination and for collective solidarity against the genocidal US-Israel axis. Read our full statement: loom.ly/0PcQonE

hey remember climate change? didn't it have something to do with... oil? I'm sure it can wait.

Three million people live in Caracas, five million in the metro area. It's one of the densest cities in South America. Remember this in the morning when they try to spin this as anything other than a cold-blooded attack on a major civilian center.

A defining moment for Europe. If it endorses/fails to condemn this flagrant breach of international law, it will have surrendered its core justification for opposing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

The UK has 160 black professors (25% are women) out of a total of 22,885. UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) offers funding opportunities, 81% of awards go to white applicants, 1% to black. The statistics are likely to discourage black scholars from pursuing academic/science careers. Need action.

Group of soldiers announce the removal of President Patrice Talon and all state institutions.

So much for the years attempting to ‘decolonise the curriculum’ . With more and more people ‘sold’ to one of the biggest epistemological flops of all time, I wonder if this‘decolonise’ wasn’t but another white saviour mid-life crisis. This long read is a must.

Climate action is now mostly national implementation rather than international negotiations. The upcoming climate negotiations at least got China to put forward a new pledge (NDC); now let's see them implement. Can Brazil crowd in $ for forest conservation? We shall see.

The Vietnamese Bach Ma Mountain Peak station recorded one-day rainfall of 1,739 mm - close to the global one-day record and perhaps a new record for the northern hemisphere. It is part of a deluge Viet Nam has seen in October, shattering 35 precip records. e.vnexpress.net/news/news/en...

🌊 The Arctic is melting fast. A cargo ship just sailed from China to the UK via the Arctic for the first time, taking half the usual time. Of course, what looks like a shortcut is really a warning: climate change is redrawing our planet’s map. observer.co.uk/news/nationa...

I’d say this is a must read by @rahmstorf.bsky.social - and ends with a warning that this is not purely “an academic discussion without major consequences.” Completely agree.

It's weird - but now in Oslo, there's so many EVs that you notice the noise and the smell from individual ICE cars, and you realise how much we've been normalising it for ever. You can smell them half a street away. And inside parking lots are just *quiet*.

Sickening how the #BBC is giving live coverage to that Kirk guy death! Don’t be surprised if in a couple of years UK will become a fully fledged fascist government.

#Pakistan could then start to formally acknowledge the 1971 genocide during the war of independence. Likely not to happen, of course.

Following the double attack on a hospital killing the sick, medics, rescuers and journalists amongst others and as people starve in Gaza, when will governments move beyond hollow condemnation?

All correct.

"What if the real doomer scenario is that we pollute the internet and the planet, reorient our economy and leverage ourselves, outsource big chunks of our minds, realign our geopolitics and culture, and fight endlessly over a technology that never comes close to delivering on its grandest promises?"

Serbia signs $1.63bn arms deal with Israeli company Elbit Systems - https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/serbia-signs-163bn-arms-deal-israeli-company-elbit-systems

This must be such a good book. On the list!