"We need a twin approach of providing more help to find work and creating the conditions for employers to create jobs." ✍️ L&W Chief Executive @stephenevans.bsky.social responds to the labour market statistics released by ONS today.

Some worry signs in the labour market. Payroll jobs & employment heading down, with relatively large falls for retail & hospitality. Unemployment at its highest since the pandemic, partly reflecting more people looking for work (inactivity down) but suggesting they're struggling to find jobs.

"With four out of five of the workers of 2035 already in the workplace today, we cannot rely on schools, colleges and universities to provide the Gammas, Deltas and Epsilons of the Brave New World we are entering in this latest technological shift." www.ft.com/content/460b...

I missed the leak when I went to get a sandwich. Does this mean I still have to watch the speech?

This sums up the fundamental tension in the "impact" agenda for me. The route to policy impact is to accept the premise of what policy-makers want to achieve, and help them achieve it. My whole academic training taught me to question/disrupt/reject policy-makers' premises.

Elizabeth understands what it takes to make these kinds of changes. She’s pushed me into a slightly more positive position about today’s review - but we’re all concerned that none of the change it promises will come to fruit quickly.

"Employers need to do more to help people stay in work and return to work, and we know that when employers get it right, it benefits everybody." L&W Deputy Director @elizabethgerard.bsky.social responds to the Keep Britain Working Review. ✍️

Feat. me hard at work improving my line management skills using a genuinely (and I must admit surprisingly, to me) useful AI tool…

In celebration of Get The Nation Learning Week, we’ve put together a blog about five famous lifelong learners whose passion for learning has inspired millions to continuously explore and seek new knowledge: bit.ly/4974xLt #GetTheNationLearning @learnworkuk.bsky.social

As someone who has worked outside Gvt trying to create employer change, I don’t see anything here that harnesses the unique power of Gvt to actually do things. So it all reads as sensible - it’s sort of what I would do - but I am not The Government!

Today’s Keep Britain Working Review essentially recommends Government takes a “What Works” approach to work and health. My headline: really sorry to say this is a missed opportunity for the goodwill and legitimacy Sir Charlie has generated over the course of this review to deliver actual change.

It's Get the Nation Learning week! We need learning to help us thrive and grow - as individuals and as an economy. It should be an engine of progress, but right now it's deepening inequalities. People with the most money do the most learning; people with less do the least. That holds us all back.

New target for 2/3 young people to do HE or an apprenticeship is probably broadly sensible (abolishing 50% HE target that doesn’t exist is about headlines). But is it ambitious? 25% of YP already do apprenticeships. 50% do HE. Some overlap & likely app drop since this data. But just describing now?

Is it churlish of me to immediately start wondering what level apprenticeships will count?

Running the leaflet gauntlet at political conferences is always a challenge, but I don’t remember ever being confronted with leafletting CHILDREN before. How are you supposed to stone-facedly walk past a 10-year old trying to hand you a leaflet about child poverty…

Pleased to see the Government funding work placements for long-term NEETs, like Future Jobs Fund. As I say in Times, q’s on detail re eligibility (should be open on voluntary basis to young UC health claimants) & placements (how long, which employers, what support). www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

This is of course great news. But worth noting limited eligibility: UC claimants out of work for 18 months. As our recent research showed, only 1 in 3 unemployed NEETs actually claim UC. To really tackle youth unemployment, we need to reach the rest. learningandwork.org.uk/resources/re...

A great thread - and one that is more relevant to labour market policy than you might think. The concern about economic inactivity has renewed interest in engaging people in employment support outside JCP. But in order to do that, you have to rebuild some of the missing community infrastructure…

In @thetimes.com, L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social welcomes the Government's plans to increase job support for people on sickness benefits. Stephen said this would refocus support to people who get little help today, but called for a broader plan to engage people and offer a range of help.

It’s journalism’s obesogenic environment problem. Everyone knows you’re meant to eat your greens (speak to domain experts, double-check), but social media has created a sea of cheap and convenient (open an app), hyper-palatable (sensationalised, alarmist), nutrient-poor (dubious veracity) options.

NEET rates are soaring. This is well known by Gvt, who rightly fear a generation of young people unable to get out of the starting blocks. BUT new @learnworkuk.bsky.social research today reveals only 1 in 4 are getting supported to find work via the benefits system. www.ft.com/content/f04d...

And, perhaps more consequentially, Jacqui Smith isn’t leaving DfE - she’s becoming a joint DWP/DfE skills minister. Which presumably means that she will have more influence in DWP, but I imagine not much of the policy work/people will move? Not necessarily a bad thing - certainly less disruptive.

Just clocked that Alison McGovern has been moved out of the Employment brief. I’m sad about this. She seemed a proper employment nerd. DWP reform agenda has felt a little disjointed over the last year - but the energy & ideas were all there, with lots of scope to learn and move forward positively.

1. Looks like skills is moving to DWP. What might this mean? I assume it's 19+ funding, which these days is the Adult Skills Fund (£1.5bn, 2/3 devolved to mayors) & apprenticeships (£3bn, inc small numbers of 16-19s). All Govt structures create silos. You need to pick least bad & work around them.

4. There's an opportunity too: half of people with low literacy or numeracy are out of work. How about an essential skills guarantee for everyone on benefits, giving them a chance to gain these fundamental skills? Or making the Youth Guarantee truly joined up? Or more ambitious devo in England?

Adult skills has been unloved at DfE, which has always felt like the department for children, schools and families at heart. Alison McGovern has called DWP as 'the HR department for the growth mission'. This change could/should bring that closer to reality.

Welcome back (by the sounds of it) the DfES! We looked at shifting 19+ skills funding to DWP when I worked in govt. Ultimately decided the location of the policy area wasn't the key thing that had held it back. But will be interesting to see if this leads to a genuine change of approach.

🧵@learnworkuk.bsky.social is leading a pilot of community-led employment support programme, JobsPlus, which is making a real impact. 📈 Over 700 people engaged 💼 150 already in work ❤️ Many heartwarming stories of lives changed You can find more info in our PR here: www.fenews.co.uk/education/mo...

I have found my people: people who look at the labour market data, then also look at the chatter on the UK employment subreddits, and go "huh?" I'm so interested in research that is working out how to use this kind of posting data as a potential leading indicator of labour market change.

Reminder that functional skills already allowed, it’s not GCSE over & over. Condition of funding means so many more have gained skills they need. Will stripped down functional skills be credible with employers? www.thetimes.com/uk/education...

Hear unique insights from the early stages of the JobsPlus pilot programme in England... 💡 ...at our webinar on Tuesday 16 September! L&W is leading the JobsPlus pilot programme with support from Communities that Work, @employmentstudies.bsky.social and Youth Futures Foundation. Register now. ⬇️

Really enjoyed today's webinar on this topic. My question: If there's going to be more flex to spend the levy on different forms of provision... ❓Do suitable courses/accreditations already exist? ❓Where they don't, how can we support the provider market to develop and deliver them?

Blaming entire Labour market slowdown on decisions made at Budget 24 doesn't stack up. It's a complicated picture, of course, but a lot of the reporting on this is too narrowly focussed on those specific policy decisions. Falsely simplifying the issue will delay proper solutions from arising.

1. Labour market continues to cool. Payroll employment trending down & vacancies falling for 37th month in a row. Not going off a cliff, but definite downward trend. Average pay growth easing. But at 5% (ex bonuses) still above level consistent with inflation target, given weak productivity growth.

It’s labour market stats day tomorrow 🎉. Here’s what I’ll be trying to fathom 👀. 1. Are employers hiring/firing? The big Q: what impact is NICs/minimum wage/tariffs/global uncertainty etc etc having on labour demand. Tomorrow morning we’ll get new data on vacancies, and redundancy notices.

Through Universal Credit, DWP (after failure, challenge & change) created in-house expertise to successfully deliver a complex digital service. A shame that experience has dissipated to the extent that this kind of work is getting outsourced. Seems at odds with this Gvt's wider ambitions.

Advanced Manufacturing firms can't get apprentices in key roles, because funding bands make them financially unviable for providers to deliver. Exactly the kind of issue Skills England needs to unpick. Recommend watching the whole of this enlightening session here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtIN...

Second week in a new job, so I have of course taken the afternoon off to see the Oval Invincibles get demolished at Lords. Following in the footsteps of some great policy leaders I’m sure (@jillongovt.bsky.social springs to mind…)

I’ve looking for some (robust) balance to doomish threads on the impact of AI. This German study finds robots are not taking jobs away from theoretically vulnerable workers in highly-robiticised firms - nor are they driving wage inequality in those orgs. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Skipping into work this morning on day 3 of the new job, ready for another day of expanding my labour market policy and research brain to the rest of the life course. Thanks to the @learnworkuk.bsky.social team for a lovely welcome!

Malnutrition with use of GLP-1 agonists is an underestimated real world harm www.bmj.com/content/390/... Surprise!!! Things you won't get breathless headlines in the newspapers about (Or see in the lovely leaflets the rep left at reception)

1. New data shows employers investing 36% less in training per employee than in 2005 in real terms. This is both a cause and consequence of low economic growth & policy instability. It comes alongside a £1bn (20%) real terms cut in Government investment in adult skills in England compared to 2010.

My former IfG colleagues have written this excellent blog on lessons from the Turner Commission for the new Pensions Commission. Let’s apply their top tips to another current “review”: the Mayfield Review into getting employers more active on health and work. How does that measure up? 🧵

In this month’s edition of “what on earth is going on in the labour market at the moment?”…

*reading this @samfr.bsky.social post, nodding* Public sector procurement rules are ridiculously obstructive *reading this FT article on Reform DOGE’s data access woes* I love rules on.ft.com/4eRsE1p

To counter-act the mass wincing, can we share some papers that we think avoid these pitfalls? Eg. this @centreforcities.bsky.social paper does, because it makes the choices clear, and shows why some should be plumped for over others www.centreforcities.org/publication/...

NEW: Commissioned by @local.gov.uk, L&W has produced‬ top tips to support local government to develop a high quality Connect to Work service. These top tips cover the benefits of Connect to Work, how it can be best used, and how it can be aligned to other council and external work.

Cc @gavinfreeguard.bsky.social

Geoff Mulgan rails against the lack of political and press interest in "how" to get stuff done in Govt. There are Gov-specific issues here, but it also mirrors the lack of interest and investment in leadership and management skills across our economy. geoffmulgan.substack.com/p/in-praise-...

"The costs and hardship for people will come out somewhere unless you deal with the underlying issues." Great to see L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social quoted in this @financialtimes.com article on the need for systemic reform of the welfare system. 📰