In advance of its global publication on 16 September, How Progress Ends by @carlbfrey.bsky.social has been reviewed in @financialtimes.com by Tej Parikh, who says, “The present moment underscores the relevance of Frey’s writing… How Progress Ends is, therefore, 𝐚𝐧 𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐧𝐞𝐰 𝐞𝐫𝐚.”

The underperformance of investments isn’t proof that AI is hype, explains @carlbfrey.bsky.social in a new PS Say More. It’s evidence that investments have preceded resilience. Read more at the link. bit.ly/4m69A1b

According to the OII's @carlbfrey.bsky.social, a shift toward centralization and concentration could snuff out technology’s productive potential. Read his full piece for the IMF here: www.imf.org/en/Publicati...

Book news! Great to see Professor @carlbfrey.bsky.social @oii.ox.ac.uk @oxmartinschool.bsky.social's upcoming book #HowProgressEnds named in the @financialtimes.com and Schroders Business Book of the Year 2025 long list. 1/2

Congratulations to @carlbfrey.bsky.social, whose forthcoming book, How Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations (Sept. 16), has been longlisted for the 2025 Financial Times and Schroders Business Book of the Year Award! Read more: press.princeton.edu/news/ft-schr... #BBYA25

Through a rich narrative that weaves together history, economics, technology, How Progress Ends reveals that managing the future requires us to draw the right lessons from the past. This important book is out 16 September: press.princeton.edu/books/ebook/... @carlbfrey.bsky.social

"A.I. is still imperfect... but it does not have to replace workers entirely to have a big effect; it only has to drive down wages or make knowledge work easier and cheaper somewhere else," writes @carlbfrey.bsky.social in the @nytimes.com. Read more: www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/o...

A remarkable & fascinating journey across the globe, spanning the past 1,000 years, to explain why some societies flourish & others fail in the wake of rapid technological change. How Progress Ends by @carlbfrey.bsky.social arrives 16 September! Preorder yours: press.princeton.edu/books/ebook/...

We are delighted to share Publishers Weekly's review of Carl Frey's forthcoming How Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations. “incisive and stimulating” - Publishers Weekly www.publishersweekly.com/9780691233079 @publisherswkly.bsky.social @carlbfrey.bsky.social

Every third car in Norway is now an electric car.

Great early review in @publisherswkly.bsky.social "His broad yet deep survey of technology ranges across many nations and centuries, and pokes insightfully into myriad subjects, from Carolingian feudalism to patent law. The result is an incisive and stimulating consideration of a critical issue."

Arrived in the post today. Holding it in your hands for the first time is always very special. Thank you @princetonupress.bsky.social !

Through a rich narrative that weaves together history, economics, & technology, How Progress Ends reveals that managing the future requires us to draw the right lessons from the past. This important book is out September 16. Preorder yours: press.princeton.edu/books/ebook/... @carlbfrey.bsky.social

We're about to examine 🤖 AI and 🏡 home working with: - Prof Efpraxia Zamani @efpraxiaz.bsky.social‬, Durham University Business School - Prof Carl Frey @carlbfrey.bsky.social‬, @ox.ac.uk‬ Internet Institute Watch LIVE: parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/...

Happening today! Hear from Prof @carlbfrey.bsky.social, @oii.ox.ac.uk, @oxmartinschool.bsky.social speaking about the impact of AI on remote working with the Home-based Working Committee, Monday 30 June, 14.15 BST. Watch the session here: Parliamentlive.tv - Home-based Working Committee

How 1,000 years of global history show why technological and economic progress is often followed by stagnation and even collapse. How Progress Ends by @carlbfrey.bsky.social publishes September 16! Preorder your copy of this fascinating book: press.princeton.edu/books/ebook/... #econsky

My latest in the @financialtimes.com

Available September 16, @carlbfrey.bsky.social's How Progress Ends explains how 1,000 years of global history show why technological and economic progress is often followed by stagnation and even collapse. Pre-order the #audiobook, read by Richard Lyddon: press.princeton.edu/books/audio/...

Remember that "47% of jobs will disappear" prediction from 2013? Yeah, that was my mate @carlbfrey.bsky.social and me 😅 We recently did an interview breaking down what actually happened vs what we thought would happen. Spoiler: AI + work = it's complicated

In advance of his new book Why Progress Ends (Global publication 16 September 2025), @carlbfrey.bsky.social has written an essay for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social ‘Trump Is Destroying America’s Technological Lead.' Read it here (£): www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/t...

My 5 cents against a popular myth: Integration with China wasn’t the cause of America’s manufacturing decline—it was the response. The U.S. was already losing the manufacturing race to Japan. Chimerica neutralised Japan's production advantage. In @theeconomistevents.bsky.social

Interesting piece by @financialtimes.com on the US economy, tariffs and AI with new commentary from @carlbfrey.bsky.social @oii.ox.ac.uk @oxmartinschool.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk. Read the full article: on.ft.com/3Snvqkl

Donald Trump is actively dismantling the underpinnings of America’s technological dominance, warn @carlbfrey.bsky.social and William H. Janeway in a new PS Big Picture. As @mazzucatom.bsky.social, Sergei Guriev, and others explain, this has implications for the rest of the world. bit.ly/3ZE6Xve

‘Want to destroy American business? Protect it’, writes @carlbfrey.bsky.social for @economist.com ‘By Invitation.’ Read his oped here and look out for his new book ‘Why Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations’ coming in September 2025! www.economist.com/by-invitatio...

Industry concentration in America is rising, fewer startups are launching, and productivity growth is sluggish. As if these trends weren’t bad enough, Donald Trump's tariff wall will accelerate the slide, @carlbfrey.bsky.social warns. bit.ly/4kD7J3A

American technological leadership rests on five pillars, and Trump’s policies are undermining all of them. My latest for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social

New! Latest comment piece from @carlbfrey.bsky.social writing for @economist.com. He suggests that America's technological resurgence was driven by strategic openness, leveraging global supply chains, to focus on software and research-driven innovation. Read here: www.economist.com/by-invitatio...

New book from @carlbfrey.bsky.social incoming in September! Details of a launch event @oxmartinschool.bsky.social to follow in the near future #EconSky

Why does progress stall—and what can we do about it? Thrilled to announce that my new book, How Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations, will be published with @princetonupress.bsky.social on September 16, 2025. Pre-order it here: hubs.ly/Q03hjRMr0

H-1B holders are widely spread across high-value tech and service sectors.

The IMF estimates internal EU barriers create costs equal to tariffs of about 110% on services—higher than Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs on China—due to the EU adding regulations atop national rules.

New research across 7,000+ knowledge workers shows generative AI boosted solo-task efficiency but left collaborative work untouched: heavy users cut weekly email time by 3.6 hours (-31 %) and wrote documents a bit faster, while meeting hours stayed flat.

@carlbfrey.bsky.social @iangoldin.bsky.social

Political ties stifle innovation. Firms in China that unexpectedly lost political patrons during anti-corruption purges (1999-2015) subsequently filed significantly more patents than similar firms that retained their connections

In the medium-term, tariffs may prompt U.S. firms to automate more. But they are also making it more expensive to import robots which are largely made in China and Japan.

Vor ein paar Monaten schien die Künstliche Intelligenz noch an Grenzen zu stoßen. Jetzt macht sie plötzlich riesige Fortschritte. Was, wenn sie bald mehr kann als wir?

Do CEOs' political views shape business decisions? As geopolitical tensions rise, US firms are increasingly “friendshoring”—redirecting imports toward ideologically aligned countries. This effect is most pronounced in firms led by CEOs politically aligned with the sitting US administration.

Brilliant piece by the great @adamposen.bsky.social on why the US will lose the trade war with China. 1/ China, as a surplus country, can more easily adapt by shifting sales domestically or elsewhere if trade with the U.S. declines.

NEW: TIME magazine covers the impact of Trump’s tariffs on AI automation, citing the OII’s @carlbfrey.bsky.social. “There’s no reason whatsoever to believe that this is going to bring back a lot of jobs,” he says. Read more here: time.com/7276087/trum...

We all know about the rising segregation by education in our cities. The same trend is unfolding at work as well. The college educated are becoming ever more detached from the realities of the rest.

AI's impact on jobs isn't always where you think. A new @financialtimes.com column cites @carlbfrey.bsky.social's research, showing increased machine translation usage in the US led to an estimated loss of 28,000 potential translator jobs (2010-2023). Read more here: www.ft.com/content/0434...

As robots proliferate and jobs disappear, property crime rises (but not violent crime). This study estimates $322 million additional national crime costs (2024 dollars) linked to robotics-induced job losses among low-skilled manufacturing workers.

If everyone who wanted to migrate to pursue better work opportunities could do so, the resulting economic benefit would total $16.5 trillion. Yet with new technologies, leaving one's country is no longer always necessary, notes @carlbfrey.bsky.social in PS Quarterly: Work and Fate. bit.ly/42auxQO

It’s publication day! press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

New study highlights China's state-led economy as strategic asset in trade war: Chinese state-owned firms cut US imports by extra 4% beyond tariffs—especially targeting agriculture & GOP regions. Tariff losses partially offset elsewhere; SOE cuts weren't.

This is the central dilemma facing many businesses today: while AI enables firms to cut junior staff and boost efficiency, it simultaneously jeopardizes their talent pipeline. If you're a law firm, you want a steady stream of potential future partners to chose from.

New @nberpubs: "Political Ideology and U.S. Electric Vehicle Adoption" www.nber.org/papers/w33591 "from 2012-2023, about half of all new EV registrations in the U.S. went to the 10% most Democratic counties."

As open-source AI gains momentum, reducing the competitive advantage of foundational model providers, value creation increasingly migrates toward specialized applications built on top of these models.

The "China shock" has come to China "Labour-intensive manufacturing is vanishing and millions of jobs could be lost, with repercussions for stability and growth"