felt like I haven’t had my best writing fastball for a minute. It’s back. On Pete Alonso for @baseballprospectus.com www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...

AA isn’t for Alex Anthopoulos it’s for AARP

Kill your pookies. -David Stearns

My advice to Coby Mayo: download Zillow and start browsing in Miami

Gotta say I find it a bit odd the org that churns out Jack Dreyers and Anthony Bandas for fun every year has suddenly decided to invest heavily in what is famously the most volatile free agent demographic.

Ken Rosenthal with the groundbreaking news that the Reds like Schwarber but probably won’t offer him as much as the Phillies. What would we do without such insight

Teams just pay for Ks. It’s the most predictable, reliable way to prevent runs and being able to miss bats with spin is something that ages better than nearly anything else—velo can wane but wicked break can last forever.

Been thinking about this and the other words to describe his tenure/ethos that come to my mind are “dogmatic” & “rote”. The job demands a creative element to set it apart from just hitting “accept” on every +EV decision in a model. Has he run the O’s any differently than a naive BTV model would?

probably didn’t take much to convince Brandon Nimmo to move from NYC to Texas

His medicals must turn you to stone after looking at them there’s no other reason to do this

he looks like he’s about to tell Dave Dombrowski that time is a flat circle

The year is 2072. Darkness blots out the sun. It’s November and a crisp 92 degrees in NYC. José Ramirez just place 3rd in the AL MVP race, extending his record to 29 third place finishes.

You could argue Sánchez had a better season than Skenes straight up, so the unanimous vote is kinda puzzling to me.

teaching myself python for professional reasons (always used R) and thought the best way would be recreating my previous work and somehow I ended up accidentally making a version of SEAGER less biased by hitters’ intrinsic raw power? lmao

Can’t lie, I kinda love that Snell did that.

Just a 99th percentile dawg in him season from Taijuan Walker.

The twins have been placed in an incredibly strong position to grab a ton of talent by dealing one or both of their hi lev arms now.

One blank check is not enough. Give him the whole checkbook

Woke up thinking about Cris Sánchez’s changeup

Will Benson reminds me so much of what Jo Adell was ~2ish seasons ago.

McGreevy was so close to pure zero true outcome greatness

Pretty funny how the schedule lineup up to give Dave Dombrowski an up close look at all the available outfielders 2 weeks before the deadline. Adell/Ward/Duran already had their turn and Luis Robert will get his shot next week.

stating the obvious here but whew, the Phillies are such a different team when Bryce (and Schwarber) is hitting them out rather than hitting singles or gap doubles

Taylor Ward and Jo Adell destroying baseballs but it’s against my local 9. I’ve won but at what cost

I miss the all star break

The Marlins are going to be next season’s “I think they could make a surprise WC run” pick like the A’s were this year, aren’t they

Is this enough to put Cal Raleigh on the Mt Rushmore of donks? J-Lo, Big Dumper, Charles Barkley, Eden Hazard. The 4 Horsemen of the Asspocalypse

Mike Elias’ steadfast refusal to use any kind of resources on pitchers is a good bit at this point.

@cdgoldstein.baseballprospectus.com how do I make a nomination over here

coming soon to a player card (and leaderboard) near you

[mysterious old lady flips tarot card revealing a bobblehead that looks exactly like Bryson Stott sheared off at the ankles neck and wrists] Me: is that good for the upcoming season

A heist movie where the staff of BP works furiously to plant @notthebobbyorr.bsky.social into the House of Representatives to teach Hakeem Jefferies the intricacies of SEAGER

I’m happy that they’re still trying to make the most of the Bo+Vlad era, but this Jays offseason is all just a little too Arte Moreno for me

and somehow they’ll still end up starting Michael Grove in a must win game of the NLCS

(I think I think the Marlins will be worse than the White Sox this year)

Good deal for him. He’s obviously a very gifted bat so you’d think he could do better but he’s a) already 30 and just getting to arb and b) already facing questions about playing in the field This player type has very little to fall back on if they have a bad season at the plate for w/e reason.

Eric Wagaman’s peripherals really stood out across his time in AAA/MLB this year. Shrewd pickup by Peter Bendix.

I liked Kepler a lot as a sneaky pickup this offseason but I kinda expected it to be the Yankees doing it. Solid COF glove with a pulled fly focused approach who lost his way at the dish a bit last year. The OF version of the Jordan Romano signing, basically.

Phillies have an agreement with Max Kepler, as @toddzolecki.bsky.social and @feinsand.bsky.social first reported. It is, on the surface, a puzzling one. Kepler has never played an inning of LF in majors and hasn't reached 500 PA since 2019. More on the fit: www.nytimes.com/athletic/600...

Haven’t written in awhile so got back into it the only way I know how: with a thousand words about Pavin Smith and Jerar Encarnacion. @baseballprospectus.com www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...

Hi, We’re the Replacements by Robert Orr (@notthebobbyorr.bsky.social)

The Brewers definitely needed another lefty swingman and fast middle infielder

Today, we explore an overlooked area: how to model average maximum athletic effort, skills at which athletes repeatedly try their hardest, resulting in a heavily left-skewed distribution. Hitting a baseball, throwing a football deep, a first serve in tennis ... examples are everywhere. 1/3

All this time I thought I was the biggest Pavin Smith & Jerar Encarnacion fan on the planet... and then Robert went ahead and wrote an entire piece on them lol.

Haven’t written in awhile so got back into it the only way I know how: with a thousand words about Pavin Smith and Jerar Encarnacion. @baseballprospectus.com www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...

Alex Bregman Max Kepler Nathan Eovaldi

validated by the smartest org in baseball

Claylor Meholmes gonna pitch a smooth 220 innings of a 3.4

I miss Dave Roberts blabbing about meeting with Ohtani when it was supposed to be a secret. A far more enjoyable brand of leak than the constant whispers of an imminent Soto decision we’ve had for the past 2 weeks.

Suzuki would be the 3rd or 4th best bat available if he was a free agent right now