Washington Irving
@irvingwashington22.bsky.social
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respect sampling variability
This is amazing and I hippo it gets used widely.
add a skeleton here at some point
2 days ago
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I mean, every stats text too, tbh.
add a skeleton here at some point
2 days ago
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I feel seen.
add a skeleton here at some point
6 days ago
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The internet is awash with hidden landminesābeware. I have stepped on this one and I think Iām on a list.
add a skeleton here at some point
9 days ago
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Holy cow, this is *amazing* and I highly recommend it to anyone who works with environmental exposure data!
add a skeleton here at some point
15 days ago
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Iām sure Iām not the first to say this, but academic publishersāmonths to years from writing to acceptance, and the submission related work. And then: return this proof in 2 days (sent on Friday evening, btw). š¤¬
18 days ago
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Anybody have a resource they like for for fitting frailty models in
#brms
? Seems like there are some differences in sampling from posteriors. Looking to jumpstart my learning.
#rstats
21 days ago
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Holy flirking schnitt. Endurance sports nutrition is OUT OF CONTROL. The number of absurd claims and dollars per calorie are inconceivable.
27 days ago
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reposted by
Washington Irving
c t
28 days ago
can't argue with this.
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Stern Lecture Statistical Consultants. āI told you not to do thatā
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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I thought I was the only one!
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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Every few months i discover that tidyverse has built-in functions to do things I was already doing, just with more steps. I recently discovered value_fill = in pivot_wider. this used to frustrate me, but Iāve come to love it. The breadth of knowledge and expertise out there is š.
#rstats
about 2 months ago
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I was today years old when I first received this error message: āno more error handlers available (recursive errors?).
#rstats
about 2 months ago
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Itās both amazing, terrifying, and a little sad that I learned so much regex, got pretty good at it, and now appear to have basically dumped it almost completely from my brain
#rstats
about 2 months ago
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I mean, what are we even doing here.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41661604/
about 2 months ago
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Itās funny cause itās true.
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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These are my people.
add a skeleton here at some point
2 months ago
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Massive deadline approaching, way behind on analysis. Perfect time to update my version of R and RStudio. Duh.
#rstats
2 months ago
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Iāve had to resort to eating black licorice as itās the only candy my locust-like children do not devour immediately upon locating in our house.
3 months ago
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#brms
people. in a random intercept model, prior = c( prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept"), prior(exponential(1), class = "sd")) is equivalent to Aj(mu, tau), mu ~ normal(0,1), tau ~ exponential(1)
3 months ago
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Agree with all 3 points. And *hard* agree with #3.
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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The more I read about Bayesian modeling, the more it seemsā¦almost wrong to *not* do it. Especially as samplers, computing power, etc. and especially when one follows a principled workflow as promulgated by
@rmcelreath.bsky.social
and
@avehtari.bsky.social
#rstats
#bayes
3 months ago
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reposted by
Washington Irving
Darren Dahly
3 months ago
šÆSo many important points packed into this editorial. ht
@maartenvsmeden.bsky.social
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Show us the evidence for the value of medical AI - Nature Medicine
Claims that medical AI is improving care must be backed by appropriate evidence.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-026-04389-4
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Omg yes. I need bread and circus.
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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reposted by
Washington Irving
Stephen Wild
3 months ago
Big shout out and thank you to those of you who maintain free teaching materials/lectures/books/etc. online.
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reposted by
Washington Irving
Julia M. Rohrer
3 months ago
Good news everyone š„³ Our (w
@vincentab.bsky.social
) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!>
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026
Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model...
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/25152459261424825
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What are peopleās favorite statistics, methods, data science podcasts? Things like
@quantitude.bsky.social
,
@casualinfer.bsky.social
, in the interim, etc?
#rstats
#stasky
#episky
3 months ago
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See also, Cauchy? Which, bizarrely, is sometimes pronounced āLorentzā.
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Washington Irving
Frank Harrell
4 months ago
Celebrating the draft FDA Bayesian guidance document with our perspective in
@jama.com
. Honored to co-author w/Jack Lee (MD Anderson), Lisa LaVange (past director of Office of Biostatistics FDA CDER&president of ASA),& my Bayesian inspiration Sir David Spiegelhalter
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Embracing Bayesian Methods in Clinical Trials
This Perspective discusses the importance of the US Food and Drug Administrationās draft guidance on the use of bayesian methods in clinical trials because it underscores its commitment to modernizing...
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2847011
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Is worksmaxxing a thing? Like working at all possible times, even in unreasonable times, locations, etc. and also potentially to the detriment of relationships, hobbies, etc.
4 months ago
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as far as exchangeability (Pr [Ya = 1|A= 1] = Pr [Ya = 1|A= 0]), the equality is before treatment/exposure, right? that's really the only thing that makes sense...but man, stating that explicitly would save a lot of confusion. i like that "what it" states this so clearly.
#causalinferance
4 months ago
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Iām in a Markov chain rabbit hole. Send help.
#bayes
4 months ago
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This is, of course, fabulous and should be followed. By my arch enemy is out there somewhere reading this and will now do the exact opposite.
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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This peak niche humor. š„
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Washington Irving
Chris Pounds
4 months ago
This is going to be a very long chain
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Lousy smarch weather.
4 months ago
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I fall in love with
@gt-package.bsky.social
every time I use it. I remember back in my early days when Iād manually make tables by looking at values in SAS outputs. Glad that is behind me.
#rstats
#statsky
4 months ago
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Truncated count models should come with a bright, flashing warning light (and maybe some sort of horn) alerting users to the complexities of coefficient interpretation. Or maybe raw coefficient interpretation should just be outlawed?
#rstats
#statsky
4 months ago
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Love it! And Iāve already simply attached this paper as my peer review on more than 1 manuscript. š¬
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Washington Irving
Hadley Wickham
4 months ago
These captchas just keep getting harder
#rstats
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Another example of how high-impact journals seem to be click bait for scientists.
add a skeleton here at some point
5 months ago
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if i get asked one more time to join a "biostat made simple" speaker panel at a clinical medicine conference i am going to fuc!*ing lose my mind.
5 months ago
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thank you, journal staff, for ensuring this paper has 5 key words (not 4!) and that they are listed after the abstract, but not (*oh, never*) on the same page as the introduction. as a peer reviewer, i would have been LOST without such safeguards.
5 months ago
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The velomobile is my favorite mobile.
add a skeleton here at some point
5 months ago
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Everything I love and hold dear is slowly getting taken away from me.
add a skeleton here at some point
5 months ago
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In 2026, does anyone actually need/want/respond to unsolicited marketing emails? I get all sorts of stuff about basic science equipment. I find it hard to believe there is anyone out there just pounding their head against a wall wondering where they can get microscopy supplies.
5 months ago
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I was today years old when I learned about prediction intervals in meta analysis. Seems great. Does the hive mind have thoughts, pro or con?
introduction-to-meta-analysis.com/download/c17...
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https://introduction-to-meta-analysis.com/download/c17.pdf
5 months ago
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This is one of those conceptual knowledge bombs (delivered as a wonderful casual aside) that can make you question everything you thought you knew about statistics.
add a skeleton here at some point
5 months ago
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I tossed and turned all night thinking about the sample size calculation for this paper I am reviewing. Does this happen to other people?
5 months ago
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