People saying stuff like this are cranks, and almost as far outside the scientific mainstream as climate deniers Under the SSP2-4.5 "middle road" scenario (which imo is a bit pessimistic) we expect warming of 1.4-3 deg C by 2100 (IPCC AR6) Corresponding sea level rise of less than a meter

With the news cycle focused on ABC's suspension of Jimmy Kimmel, a journalist with a valid US work permit and pending green card application is about to be deported for the crime of reporting www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

Rucho still is one of the stupidest Supreme Court decisions of my lifetime, and it is impossible to watch Texas and California’s ruthless redistricting arms race without remembering John Roberts being like, “Well, how could we, humble jurists, ever KNOW know if gerrymanders go Too Far To Be Legal??”

Democratic theory and experiment have come a long way in the last 250 years. Single-member districts are terminally flawed and undermine the fundamental democratic notion of "one person, one vote" (states and municipalities can implement w/o constitutional amendments, even congressional districts!)

The statement "Jews lived through the Holocaust, and therefore they (we) have a special obligation to fight the genocide of other communities" is a statement that is at best problematic, if not outright antisemitic, when said by non-Jews, but is also foundational to my own sense of Jewish ethics.

Given this campaign has way less demagoguery about antisemitism, this feels a little more awkward than “Jews for Zohran” Just has a bit of “White Guys for Kamala” energy

The final installment of my series on my April precinct caucus. What can go wrong when a former Park Board President hijacks the delegate selection process to avoid walking subcaucuses? What lessons can we take away about proportional representation?

There's a bizarre fusion in my head between "We Love Minneapolis" and "No Kings" that makes me think and say "We Love Kings" day whenever I'm trying to discuss the protest

I feel like such a boiled frog. My first reaction to this is "well, it looks they won't be doing much" and that's probably true! Feels insane how "federal troops are occupying DC" would be end times 10yrs ago, but now `\_(:/)_/`. Obviously not the straw that breaks the camel's back.

Critical support to anyone doing data-driven modeling and analysis of local Minneapolis elections 🫡

thrive mpls a zoom meeting for their supporters a few days ago and we were inside. i've added the full slideshow to my blog post, but wanted to highlight a few things - taylordahlin.com/f/new-pac-in...

Fascinating data illiteracy While abolishing Affirmative Action and ignoring demographics certainly reduces representation of underserved groups, this graph shows the exact opposite of headline's claim of GPA and test score bias: much of the bias in admissions comes *when holding test scores equal*

If you understand the problems with the way the state of Israel rhetorically wields the memory of the Holocaust, then you understand the danger in exceptionalizing any one atrocity in human history, no matter how horrible, as the “worst ever.”

I wrote about the overwhelming feelings of despair that permeate this Tisha B'Av for me. What does it mean to share the guilt of enabling Israel with my community, even as many do not recognize the reality of genocide in Gaza?

I went from sobbing at the most recent RadioLab to crying laughing at this. @taylr.bsky.social's deadpan commentary and John's recycling of Plowy McPlowface one-liners as the police trucks advanced was hysterical. I'm particularly emotionally labile today as I'm fasting for Tisha B'Av, so ymmv.

I'm on the road, making a huge nation-circling trip before heading off to grad school at @caltech.edu this fall. If you want to follow my travels, I'm writing about them here:

ward 7 CM katie cashman has filed! fittingly, she was the 7th candidate to file!! adam schneider also filed for parks at large @katiecashman.bsky.social @adamformplsparks.bsky.social

During Pride I was very concerned about the impending simultaneous outbreak of clear weather, storms, and a heat wave

Katie Cashman: what do everyday people out and about on the street think about the 2026 city budget? Elizabeth Shaffer: what do my friends Tom Hoch and Mike Erlandson think about slashing services so I can give them a tax cut?

Results for @mplsdfl.org endorsement of candidates for Park Board At-Large. Congratulations to our endorsed candidates!

Frey’s team fucked themselves—they needed 33% to block rules changes, 40% to block an endorsement, and chose a 50% quote standard instead 🤷‍♂️ Either that’s boneheadedness, or it was setting up to allow for this kind of aspersion casting about the outcome

I could not agree more! Conventions suck! Heck, an August primary still seems like an unrepresentative tipping of the scales to me. But then your problem is with conventions, not this one in particular! Be consistent, and advocate for their abolition with the State Central Committee

Will’s chronology is correct, the motion did pass before the walk out, though it started slightly 9:16, @taylr.bsky.social has Palmisano walking out before 9:13 I retract this particular objection

I feel like I’m losing my mind. Do you think the latter part about 150 delegates leaving might have anything to do with why the rules were tossed?? If Frey had not intentionally pulled his delegates, the convention wouldn’t have had the 2/3 delegate majority to blast through. Take it up with them!

We were headed to a *paper* second ballot with the unanimous support of delegates Frey’s camp knew they might lose because progressives had consolidated and alternate upgrades were pro-Fateh Badge votes were only adopted after the walkout bc the outcome was obvious provided we had quorum

courtside DFL endorsed @omarfatehmn.com

added a new badge to my collection of badges: a campaign floor pass for tom olsen. @ziglaser.bsky.social is clearly jealous!!

Yeah, I’m claiming victory with this:

My brilliant plan to walk to Pizza Luce for dinner during the Parks candidate presentations is crumbling around me as the first mayoral ballot crashes into the 6pm hour

Email confirmation was an atrocious idea if they couldn’t be sent instantaneously. What’s the point of a confirmation email that arrives an hour after the ballot? Over promising has just led to massive confusion

Ok, what is Brenda Short’s criminal justice background?! She brought it up in Q&A, also mentions it on her website, and a MN Daily interview, but never goes into specifics. I realize it’s a mistake to take her at her word (she also mentioned 27 years in finance?!) but fascinated for the back story

Aside from the large share of alternates and guest badges, a decent chuck of the Frey supporters walking to the stage have no badges whatsoever

It is a joy to listen to Jazz Hampton, DeWayne Davis, and Omar Fateh speak and deliver their visions for the city. I feel incredibly lucky to have three amazing candidates running for mayor, and a ranked choice voting system that allows me to rank all of them!

DFL chair richard carlbom gives a unifying speech, says we are a big tent party and names democratic socialists as being part of it. this is a big deal after an org chaired by CD5 chair scott graham sought to disallow endorsements by DFL and DSA, making socialists feel purged

You never know when Tony Scallon will come out of the woodwork

Evergreen skeet, apparently

Tony Scallon getting grumpy.

The “Team MPLS” shirts from the Frey team are so unhinged. After a year of living in the city and becoming a total Minneapolis convert, I guess they’re forcing me back onto Team St. Paul if I don’t want to associate.

Late start to the city convention? The perfect time to publish last-minute predictions for the mayoral endorsement. In April, I compiled @wedge.live's crowd-sourced caucus results, totaling 43% of city delegates. Finally, I wrote-up the statistical model I used to fill in estimates for all 800:

This is a victory for bodily autonomy. Patients and their doctors--not detached bureaucrats--should have the right to make informed decisions about the risks and benefits of treatment.

This is the adorable truth they don’t want you to know about how the nuggets get made in Minneapolis politics

Over 15 cars got broken into last night on Clifton Ave in Loring Park, crazy line of punched out windows

Minneapolis is a beautifully diverse city that stands firm in our progressive values. The hate I’ve seen today – and most days – is not who we will ever be. I’m running for Mayor to work with you to achieve the affordable city we know Minneapolis can be. fatehformayor.com/donate

I want to live a society where enabling genocide leads to total ostracism, and I want to enforce that social norm even if no one else will. But on my own I can’t, it would just be self-gratifying. With whatever strength I have, I think I’m obligated to work with people wherever they are. I hate that

I’ve grappled with this a lot being in community with people who have said really horrific things to me about Palestinians and the war in Gaza. I’ve had family friends go join the IDF. I do not think those beliefs or actions have a place in civil society. I do not want to welcome them into my home.

what is the appropriate social price one should have to pay if the public policy they advocate for is out here killing people?

We had a great day talking to folks about what’s at stake in the upcoming municipal election. Volunteering with Team Katie is a great way to get to know your neighbors and make a difference! Sign up for a shift here: www.mobilize.us/katieforcoun...

I ate some really hot wings with Councilwoman Katie Cashman. Check it out now! @katiecashman.bsky.social EPISODE FIVE: Councilwoman Katie Cashman, Candidate for City Council Ward 7 youtu.be/6g-48tooOx8

Today in Loring Park: Ratboy continues his war of attrition against Minneapolis Public Works A sawblade is left embedded in the concrete on the Lyndale Ave construction, waiting for a worthy passerby to remove it and rule the bike lane

campaign possible. 🌻☀️ I’m feeling so proud of our people-powered movement to build a welcoming Minneapolis for all. Join our campaign: www.katieforcouncil.org (2/2)