Winston Lin
@linstonwin.bsky.social
๐ค 1999
๐ฅ 1604
๐ 27
senior lecturer in statistics, penn NYC & Philadelphia
https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~winston
pinned post!
Clarification: my paper doesnโt advocate a specific estimator. Thatโs one of the meanings of โagnosticโ in the title :)
10 months ago
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Andrew Heiss
28 days ago
Some closing thoughts for my students this semester on LLMs and learning
#rstats
datavizf25.classes.andrewheiss.com/news/2025-12...
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Julia M. Rohrer
about 1 month ago
Gentle reminder that a correlation coefficient isnโt a particularly great way to quantify the effect of a dichotomous treatment. See also
www.the100.ci/2025/07/28/w...
add a skeleton here at some point
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Valentin Amrhein
3 months ago
Excellent new editorial and guideline on interpreting p values and interval estimates
bjsm.bmj.com/content/earl...
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Interpreting p values and interval estimates based on practical relevance: guidance for the sports medicine clinician
Statistical methods are employed in medical research to estimate effects of treatments or health conditions across populations.1 2 This paper presents a framework to avoid common misinterpretations th...
https://bjsm.bmj.com/content/early/2025/10/05/bjsports-2024-109357
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John V. Kane
3 months ago
Are you or one of your students considering doing a Ph.D. in a social science? I've spent a lot of time talking about this w/ students & finally wrote something up. IMO, there are only 3 good reasons to do it. One of them needs to be true--otherwise, don't.
medium.com/the-quantast...
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The Only Three Reasons to Do a Ph.D. in the Social Sciences
If none are true, donโt do it.
https://medium.com/the-quantastic-journal/the-only-three-reasons-to-do-a-ph-d-in-the-social-sciences-e3b340c015b8
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Noah Greifer
6 months ago
A nice recent article on why you should abandon hazard ratios.
#statssky
#episky
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How hazard ratios can mislead and why it matters in practice - European Journal of Epidemiology
Hazard ratios are routinely reported as effect measures in clinical trials and observational studies. However, many methodological works have raised concerns about the interpretation of hazard ratios ...
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-025-01250-9
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Coalition for Evidence-Based Policy
7 months ago
See our No-Spin report on a widely-covered NBER study of Medicaid expansion. In brief: Despite the abstract's claims that expansion reduced adult mortality 2.5%, the study found much smaller effects that fell short of statistical significance in its main preregistered analysis.๐งต
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Noah Greifer
7 months ago
Starting to look like I might not be able to work at Harvard anymore due to recent funding cuts. If you know of any open statistical consulting positions that support remote work or are NYC-based, please reach out! ๐
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Ethan Mollick
9 months ago
Issues with interpreting p-values haunts even AI, which is prone to same biases as human researchers. ChatGPT, Gemini & Claude all fall prey to "dichotomania" - treating p=0.049 & p=0.051 as categorically different, and paying too much attention to significance.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Brennan Kahan
9 months ago
NEW: CONSORT 2025 now published! Some notable changes: -items on analysis populations, missing data methods, and sensitivity analyses -reporting of non-adherence and concomitant care -reporting of changes to any study methods, not just outcomes -and lots of other things
www.bmj.com/content/389/...
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CONSORT 2025 explanation and elaboration: updated guideline for reporting randomised trials
Critical appraisal of the quality of randomised trials is possible only if their design, conduct, analysis, and results are completely and accurately reported. Without transparent reporting of the met...
https://www.bmj.com/content/389/bmj-2024-081124
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Andrew Vickers
9 months ago
How to write a response to reviewers.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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How To Write a Response to Reviewers
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0302283824027659?via%3Dihub
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Very nice explainer by
@economictricks.bsky.social
www.econometrics.blog/post/why-eco...
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Why Econometrics is Confusing Part 1: The Error Term | econometrics.blog
โSuppose that \(Y = \alpha + \beta X + U\).โ A sentence like this is bound to come up dozens of times in an introductory econometrics course, but if I had my way it would be stamped out completely.
https://www.econometrics.blog/post/why-econometrics-is-confusing-part-1-the-error-term/
9 months ago
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Rafe Meager (they/them)
9 months ago
today we will all read imbens 2021 on statistical significance and p values, which is a strong contender for having the best opening paragraph of any stats paper
pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
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Carlisle Rainey ๐จโ๐ป๐๐
10 months ago
Here's some older, related stuff (from me) aimed at political scientists. Related paper #1 "Arguing for a Negligible Effect" Journal:
onlinelibrary.wiley....
PDF:
www.carlislerainey.c...
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Winston Lin
Carlisle Rainey ๐จโ๐ป๐๐
10 months ago
"The Need for Equivalence Testing in Economics" from Jack Fitzgerald (@jackfitzgerald.bsky.social) Preprint:
osf.io/preprints/met...
We know that "not significant" does not imply evidence for "no effect," but I still see papers make this leap. Good to see more work making this point forcefully!
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Elea McDonnell Feit
11 months ago
An important plea from
@lizstuart.bsky.social
in today's SCI-OCIS Special Webinar Series:
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Jessica Leight
about 1 year ago
Good thread. I will add, another disadvantage of the current system of opacity is a great deal of interesting thought + work in referee reports is highly underutilized (never read by anyone other than author + editor)
add a skeleton here at some point
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Jeffrey Wooldridge
about 1 year ago
Because I've seen the law of iterated expectations, Jensen's inequality, and the central limit theorem mentioned in the past few days, I'll migrate one of my early Twitter posts about the tools necessary to master econometrics -- which includes each of those. Here it is.
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Jacob Edenhofer
over 2 years ago
I quite like this platform, but it would be even better if we had: - bookmarks - DMs - polls
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David Aldous made a similar point:
www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/Blog...
add a skeleton here at some point
over 2 years ago
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Kevin Zollman
over 2 years ago
3. Find a mentor who supports you, but also pushes you in ways that work for you. There are many ways to be a good supervisor, and not every style works for every person. Find someone who's style works for you.
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Mikel Maria Delgado, PhD
over 2 years ago
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@lmiratrix.bsky.social
is now on Bluesky!
over 2 years ago
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