64 degrees at 11pm at my place in Arvada Colorado. On November 10th. Totally fine.

Is it safe to feel a small ray of optimism after this election?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is the 2025 World Series MVP 🏆 He joins Hideki Matsui (2009) as the only Japanese-born winners of the award.

Obviously was rooting for Jays and gutted for Toronto and Canada to lose the way they did. But - what Yamamoto did in games 6 and 7 was unfreaking believable. Has any pitcher ever won games 6 and 7 of the World Series? If he isn't the MVP I don't get it.

Double play is a rouuugh way to end it

UGH. I guess I’ll be happy for Japan

Hello welcome to bluesky. We have every kind of anti-government radical left of center, and also, baseball

James Earl Jones agrees.

Baseball is just the best

Melissa is wasting no time getting reorganized back over the ocean north of Jamaica

I recommend anybody interested in donating uses the official website launched earlier today instead of the links I posted supportjamaica.gov.jm/donateq

The circulation of Melissa rotating classically anticyclonically around the high terrain.

I see some kind of bird...

Track update. Substantial westward wobble

Just my routine plea not to compare a hurricane to the EF scale. Please.

I was worried for my crew mates when I saw them circling in the eye for over 20 mins. Looks like the very rough ride was confirmed. Plane had to leave early. They reported svr turb and a "sawtooth" eye. Looks like they moved 600-700ft up & down during this stretch in ~1 min.

219-kt peak wind would be the highest wind value a dropsonde has ever recorded, ahead of 215-kt value in Super Typhoon Megi in 2010 & the 210 kt recorded just yesterday in #Hurricane #Melissa. Still needs to be validated… so this data is preliminary.

I'm not sure whether anyone's quantified the 3-D size of a mountainous island needed to deflect a TC's track, but if it persists, that could be a contributing factor (among others).

Wobble west

This is hands down the most extraordinary dropsonde in Atlantic recon history.

Good lord. If I remember correctly, and I think it’s hard to verify unfortunately, this 219 kt/252 mph dropsonde wind gust in Melissa is easily the strongest the hurricane hunters have ever recorded

892mb pressure 185mph winds

173kt peak flight level winds, highest measured so far in Melissa, and not even on the strongest side of the storm.

This storm is a testament to what can happen if a hurricane doesn't blow out its eyewall too quickly. Melissa didn't seem to develop the unstable pinhole eye true of many cat 5 storms. And of course a testament to the power of weather prediction that we can forecast these things days in advance.

Indeed we’ve got a dropsonde supporting 892mb, making Melissa tied with the Labor Day hurricane for the 3rd deepest Atlantic hurricane on record (behind Gilbert & Wilma) — and at this rate, headed for the deepest Atlantic hurricane at landfall on record.

Stunning wavenumber 5 pinwheel inside the eye.

With a central pressure down to 896mb as of 9am EDT, #Melissa has joined the elite sub-900mb group of Atlantic hurricanes... it is now one of just seven: Wilma 2005: 882mb Gilbert 1988: 888mb Labor Day 1935: 892mb Rita 2005: 895mb Milton 2024: 895mb Melissa 2025: 896mb Allen 1980: 899mb

NHC: 180 mph and 896 mb!

Somewhat surprised not to see 155kt on the intermediate advisory. But I guess it's trivial really.

There's the tie for the record.

8.6 Because why not.

A 2017 paper reassessed the history of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) for global storms since 1979. As of 10:30pm ET on October 27, #Melissa is now *unofficially* only behind 2015's Hurricane Patricia (Eastern Pacific) for highest ADT in the past 46 years. journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

This is actually just plain unheard of in the Atlantic

CI# up to 8.2 = 176kt / 882mb (satellite estimates put Melissa at Wilma levels)

Raw back up to 8.4. Final up to 8.0 = 170kt satellite estimate. Pretty surreal that we're just repeating the last 24 hours, as Melissa sits nearly stationary, contemplating the turn north.

Tracking Melissa. Extreme category 5 hurricane churning in place.

😬

Here is a 54h WV loop of #Melissa as it underwent rapid intensification from a 60 kt TS ➡️ 150 kt cat 5 #Hurricane. Pay attention to how "warm" eye becomes at the end of the loop which ends at 18 UTC 27 Oct. Color scale ends at -5C & eye temp on the last few frames was warmer than that 🤯

Melissa looking pretty much the same as last night. Cloud tops cooling steadily again, raw Dvorak back up to 8.2!!

Waving Melissa west.

A lightning-packed eye spins ferociously at the center of Hurricane Melissa.

And now watching every bit more west of due-north Melissa is tracking. Every wobble west is good.

The monster eye at the center of a still strengthening Hurricane Melissa.

Melissa is making the slow turn northward today, and is about to track over the warmest waters yet

From a crewmember on yesterday's Teal 74 mission into now-Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa. As clear of an eye as you will see in the Atlantic basin.

Rapid intensification gets a lot of attention and is typically part of the last push to category 5. This wasn't the case for Melissa however. The 24 hours leading up to becoming a cat 5 was one of the most gradual intensifications for any Atlantic cat 5.

I've seen a lot of dropsondes over my years, and a peak wind of 210kt - even at the top of/just beyond the boundary layer - is wild to see. Might be up there in the ranks of all-time strongest dropsonde-measured gusts as well.

3 category 5 hurricanes out of 13 storms. 😳

Recon: maybe a 5? Far from the definitiveness of the satellite estimates

the trochoidal wobbles tonight are something else