🎭 Deception still matters. Dedicated Army deception groups can mislead adversaries and strengthen U.S. force posture. https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-deception-groups #MilitaryDeception #Army #DefensePolicy #Strategy #ThinkTank

🤖 AI can reshape strategy, but hype shouldn’t drive policy. Human judgment, restraint, and clarity must guide national security decisions. https://www.csis.org/analysis/ai-and-grand-strategy-case-restraint #AI #GrandStrategy #TechPolicy #NationalSecurity #ThinkTank

🎭 Deception still matters in war. Dedicated Army deception groups can mislead adversaries and strengthen U.S. force posture. https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-deception-groups #MilitaryDeception #Army #DefensePolicy #Strategy #ThinkTank

🤖 When “agentic AI” lacks a clear definition, governance and oversight suffer. Precision in language is key to responsible policy and deployment. https://www.csis.org/analysis/lost-definition-how-confusion-over-agentic-ai-risks-governance #AgenticAI #AIGovernance

🛢️ Figure 3 shows the vessel going dark, reappearing in Iran’s EEZ, and repeatedly disabling AIS—patterns commonly linked to illicit ship-to-ship oil transfers. https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-teaches-us-about-targeting-shadow-fleets #ShadowFleet #SanctionsEvasion

AI can shape grand strategy—but only if used wisely 🤖🌍 Overestimating AI’s strategic impact risks poor decisions; human judgment, restraint, and clear goals still matter most in national security. https://www.csis.org/analysis/ai-and-grand-strategy-case-restraint #AI #GrandStrategy

Outthinking the enemy can be as powerful as outgunning them. 🎯 This analysis makes the case for restoring Army deception groups to confuse adversaries and strengthen U.S. force posture. https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-deception-groups #Army #MilitaryStrategy

When “agentic AI” means everything, it risks meaning nothing 🤖⚠️ Futures Lab shows how unclear definitions can weaken AI governance, oversight, and procurement 🧠📜 https://www.csis.org/analysis/lost-definition-how-confusion-over-agentic-ai-risks-governance #AgenticAI #AIGovernance

AI will shape global power, but hype can mislead strategy. 🤖📉 The Futures Lab argues for pragmatic, restrained AI policy in national security and grand strategy. https://www.csis.org/analysis/ai-and-grand-strategy-case-restraint #AI #GrandStrategy

🌍 Figure 1 tracks the Bella-1’s global journey, showing how shadow fleet tankers exploit international routes to evade detection and sanctions. https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-teaches-us-about-targeting-shadow-fleets #Russia #Sanctions

Deception is strategy. 🪖🧠 This analysis makes the case for restoring dedicated Army deception groups to outmaneuver adversaries and protect forces in modern conflict. https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-deception-groups #DefensePolicy

How should AI shape grand strategy? 🤖🌍 This analysis makes the case for restraint over hype—arguing for thoughtful, responsible integration of AI into national security and policy. A must-read for policymakers and strategists 🧠📜 https://www.csis.org/analysis/ai-and-grand-strategy-case-restraint

🤖 Lost in Definition: How Confusion over Agentic AI Risks Governance — experts examine how fuzzy definitions of agentic AI can weaken governance and oversight. 🌐⚖️ 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/lost-definition-how-confusion-over-agentic-ai-risks-governance #AI #AgenticAI #Governance #FuturesLab

⚓ A ship’s strategic value depends on what it enables — not just what it is. Futures Lab examines how naval platforms can contribute to distributed force design and industrial strength. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-golden-fleet-will-sail #NavalForces #Defense #MaritimeStrategy

Marinera sailed Iran → Malacca → South America. Normal traffic—until Sri Lanka. 8 nm off Galle Harbor, it slowed to ~2 knots, turned south, then moved east under cover of night. Pattern break. Shadow fleet behavior. — Jose Macias, CSIS Futures Lab

⚓ How should the US judge a new ship? Futures Lab argues the answer lies in how it supports distributed forces and reshapes shipbuilding—not its size. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-golden-fleet-will-sail #NavalStrategy #Defense

🚢 Shadow fleets can evade sanctions—but better enforcement options exist. Futures Lab outlines practical approaches to strengthen maritime tracking and accountability. ⚖️🌍 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/ghost-busters-options-breaking-russias-shadow-fleet #MaritimeSecurity #Sanctions #Enforcement

⚓ Ship announcements aren’t just about hardware— they’re signals of institutional change and industrial renewal. Dr. Benjamin Jensen explores how fleet design can shape naval strategy. 🛠️📈 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-golden-fleet-will-sail #MaritimeStrategy #Defense

🚢 The BELLA 1 case shows spotting shadow fleets isn’t the same as stopping them. Futures Lab examines where enforcement systems fall short at sea. 🌍⚖️ 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-teaches-us-about-targeting-shadow-fleets #MaritimeSecurity #Sanctions #Enforcement

🚢 Spotting a shadow vessel is one thing—stopping it is another. Futures Lab examines how the BELLA 1 case exposes gaps between detection and enforcement at sea. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-teaches-us-about-targeting-shadow-fleets #MaritimeSecurity #Shipping

⚓ Fleet decisions aren’t just about ships—they’re about change. Futures Lab examines how new naval platforms can drive reform and industrial base transformation. 🛠️📈 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-golden-fleet-will-sail #NavalForces #Defense #MaritimeStrategy

🤖 The Pentagon’s AI challenge isn’t the algorithms—it’s how capabilities are evaluated. Futures Lab explores why evaluation matters for defense AI adoption. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/pentagons-ai-problem-isnt-algorithms-its-evaluation #AI #Defense #Security

🚢 What does BELLA 1 teach about targeting shadow fleets? Futures Lab explores enforcement limits and lessons from the case. 🌍🔍 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-teaches-us-about-targeting-shadow-fleets #MaritimeSecurity #Sanctions

📬 Get Futures Lab insights delivered straight to your inbox—on AI, defense innovation, and the future of conflict. 🌍 👉 https://www.csis.org/newsletters #FuturesLab #Security #AI

🚢 Calling for new ships isn’t just about hardware—it’s about reform. Futures Lab looks at how fleet announcements signal industrial change and shifts in maritime strategy. ⚓ 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-golden-fleet-will-sail #MaritimeStrategy #Defense

🚢 How can shadow fleets be disrupted and sanctions enforced at sea? Futures Lab examines options for strengthening maritime accountability. 🌍⚖️ 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/ghost-busters-options-breaking-russias-shadow-fleet #MaritimeSecurity #Sanctions

Defense AI isn’t held back by algorithms — it’s held back by how AI is evaluated. Futures Lab breaks down the Pentagon’s core challenge. 🤖📊 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/pentagons-ai-problem-isnt-algorithms-its-evaluation #AI #Defense #Security

What can one ship tell us about sanction evasion at sea? Futures Lab breaks down the BELLA 1 case and its lessons for targeting shadow fleets. ⚓🔍 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-teaches-us-about-targeting-shadow-fleets #MaritimeSecurity #Sanctions #ShadowFleets #GlobalSecurity

🚢 New Futures Lab analysis: What BELLA 1 teaches us about targeting shadow fleets and enforcing maritime sanctions. 🌍🔍 By Jose M. Macias III👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-teaches-us-about-targeting-shadow-fleets #ShadowFleets #MaritimeSecurity #Sanctions

⚓ New Futures Lab analysis: How the 2025 National Security Strategy is influencing naval missions and priorities in a competitive global environment. 🌊 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-new-national-security-strategy-means-naval-forces #NavalForces #Security #Defense

📬 Get the Futures Lab newsletter delivered to your inbox! Updates on AI, defense, and global security, straight from our experts. 🌍🤖 👉 https://www.csis.org/programs/futures-lab #FuturesLab #Newsletter #GlobalSecurity #AI #DefenseInnovation #PolicyAnalysis #Geopolitics

The Pentagon’s AI challenge isn’t the tech — it’s how capabilities are evaluated and fielded. By Benjamin Jensen and Yasir Atalan🛡️ 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/pentagons-ai-problem-isnt-algorithms-its-evaluation #AI #Defense #Security #TechPolicy

🚢 New Futures Lab analysis on options for disrupting Russia’s shadow fleet and reinforcing sanctions enforcement at sea. By Benjamin Jensen and Jose M. Macias III🌍⚖️ 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/ghost-busters-options-breaking-russias-shadow-fleet #MaritimeSecurity #Sanctions

🚀 New from Futures Lab: the AI and Future Conflict resource page is now live. Explore insights on AI’s role in evolving security and global conflict. 🤖🌍 👉 https://www.csis.org/programs/futures-lab/projects/ai-and-future-conflict #AI #Security

What does the new U.S. National Security Strategy really mean for naval forces? Futures Lab breaks down the strategic signals for maritime power and competition at sea. ⚓🌊 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-new-national-security-strategy-means-naval-forces #MaritimeSecurity #Defense

🚢 New Futures Lab analysis by Benjamin Jensen and Jose Macias explores options for countering Russia’s shadow fleet and enforcing sanctions at sea. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/ghost-busters-options-breaking-russias-shadow-fleet #Sanctions #MaritimeSecurity

📬 Want Futures Lab analysis delivered straight to your inbox? Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest on security, geopolitics, and emerging tech. 👉 https://www.csis.org/programs/futures-lab #CSIS #PolicyInsights

⚓ New Futures Lab analysis by Benjamin Jensen, Mackenzie Eaglen, and Henry H. Carroll examines how the 2025 National Security Strategy reshapes naval missions and priorities in an era of strategic competition. 🌊 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-new-national-security-strategy-means-naval-forces

The Pentagon doesn’t lack AI tools — it lacks ways to judge The Futures Lab breaks down why evaluation, not algorithms, is the real obstacle to military AI adoption. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/pentagons-ai-problem-isnt-algorithms-its-evaluation #AI #Defense

⚓ Futures Lab explores how the 2025 National Security Strategy is reshaping naval priorities — from strategic deterrence to next-gen maritime capabilities. 🌊🛡️ Read more 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-new-national-security-strategy-means-naval-forces #NavalForces #Security #Defense

📄 New CSIS Futures Lab analysis: The Pentagon’s AI challenge isn’t the algorithms — it’s how capabilities are evaluated and vetted. 🤖🛡️ 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/pentagons-ai-problem-isnt-algorithms-its-evaluation #AI #Defense #Security

📄 New Futures Lab analysis: What the new national security strategy means for naval forces and maritime priorities. ⚓🌍 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-new-national-security-strategy-means-naval-forces #NavalForces #Security

📊 New Futures Lab analyses cover key security challenges—from how information systems should be used in the military to sanctions enforcement and energy coercion in the Indo-Pacific. Read more 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis #CSIS #Geopolitics #Security

🚢 New from Benjamin Jensen and Jose M. Macias: How can policymakers disrupt Russia’s shadow fleet? This analysis lays out options to counter sanctions evasion at sea. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/ghost-busters-options-breaking-russias-shadow-fleet #Sanctions #MaritimeSecurity #Russia #Ukraine

What might a Trump peace plan for Ukraine involve? CSIS examines the options, risks, and strategic tradeoffs shaping future negotiations. 👉 https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-could-trump-peace-plan-ukraine-look #UkraineWar #ForeignPolicy

Dr. Jensen on Bloomberg: Russia’s escalated air campaign is reshaping Ukraine–Russia negotiation dynamics. Watch 👉 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-12-01/balance-of-power-early-edition-12-1-2025-video #Security #UkraineWar #Russia #Drones

⚠️ China could squeeze Taiwan through energy coercion. Why it matters 👉 https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/11/17/chinese-coercion-of-taiwans-energy-lifelines-a-contest-taiwan-and-the-west-cant-afford-to-lose/ #Taiwan #EnergySecurity

🌍 At the Doha Forum, CSIS Futures Lab hosted a workshop on AI & Mediation, with experts from UN DPPA, HD Centre, Alan Turing Institute, CMI, GCSP, PRIO, Microsoft, Scale AI and others. Led by Benjamin Jensen, Yasir Atalan & Ian Reynolds. 🤖🕊️ #Doha #AIMediation

🌍 Benjamin Jensen & Yasir Atalan are at Doha Forum 2025 for discussions on global security, AI in conflict mediation, and the future of multilateral frameworks. More updates soon. 🤝✨ #Doha #Policy #Security #Diplomacy

📺 Dr. Jensen on Bloomberg TV discussing shifting global power dynamics and the policy landscape ahead. Watch here: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-12-01/balance-of-power-early-edition-12-1-2025-video 🌍📊 #BloombergTV #PolicyAnalysis #GlobalTrends #Geopolitics #Economics #ExpertInsight