Paul Mizen (@paulmizen.bsky.social)

Firms predict an AI productivity boom is coming Comparable international survey data on artificial intelligence adoption by firms is still lacking. This column surveys over 5,000 CFOs, CEOs, and executives from stratified firm samples across the US, UK, Germany and Australia. It shows that around 70% of firms actively use AI, particularly younger, more productive firms. Firms report little impact of AI over the last three years, with over 80% of firms reporting no impact on either employment or productivity. At the same time, firms forecast AI will boost productivity by 1.4%, increase output by 0.8%, and cut employment by 0.7% over the next three years. https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/firms-predict-ai-productivity-boom-coming