The O's are 24th in MLB in run differential but it's a bit of a skewed story. 6 of 63 games (~10%) account for a -55 net run differential: 17-1 L vs. BOS NYY series where they were swept (bad 4 games) 13-3 L vs. WSH Removing these 6 games, the O's have a +18 run differential

A PERFECT WINDOW TODAY! This is just the 6th game all season that all four panes have a "strong" grade: Rogers' quality start anchored a wire-to-wire victory. The O's bats mashed 6 runs in the 1st, no fielding errors, and the bullpen closed the door. They are rolling into Toronto!

Excited to announce that our pitcher tab is now live on our stats page! There’s still work to do, and we welcome feedback, but you can see some cool stats compiled and updated daily specifically for O’s batters & pitchers. Check it out 👇: birdlandmetrics.com/visualizations/orioles-player-stats

Pete Alonso had a slow start to his tenure in Baltimore. April was a .632 OPS sinkhole. But, sporting a 129 wRC+ over the past 30 days, he’s looking more like the Alonso of the past. Harshil breaks down the intangibles he brings to a young O’s roster👇: birdlandmetrics.com/articles/pet...

🚨 New page on our site! 1) Who's hot in the O's lineup? Who's cold? 2) 14-day, 30-day production breakdowns 3) Batting quality and luck breakdowns 4) Deep dive into platoon splits All of this and more in our new batter ledger: (data updated daily)👇 birdlandmetrics.com/visualizatio...

The O’s recorded their 2nd highest season total in hits tonight (14). Notables: Alonso: 1-3, HR, 4 RBIs Gunnar: 3-5, 2 singles, 1 double Holliday: 2-3, HR, 1 single 3 out of 4 panes lit in gold tonight on the warehouse window: birdlandmetrics.com/visualizations/warehouse

Samuel Basallo carried a .384 BA over 20 games (77 PAs) from 4/20-5/17 At 21y, 281d old, he became the 7th Oriole ever to have a .384+ BA over any 20G span at that age or younger The other six: Brooks Robinson (HOF) Eddie Murray (HOF) Manny Machado (7x AS) Vern Stephens (7x AS) Bob Hale Dick Kokos

Samuel Basallo has produced offense 83% better than the league-average hitter over the past 30 days with a 183 wRC+. This ranks 4th among all hitters in baseball with at least 80 PAs since April 20th. That’s a scary-good stretch from the 21-year-old since mid-April.

Another tough loss. The O’s went 0-for-5 with RISP tonight, with 2 Ks. They now own MLB’s highest K rate with RISP (~26%), while also ranking top 10 in: • Grounding into double plays • % solo HRs Ward hit a solo HR tonight and they GIDPs 2 more times. Just more fuel for a struggling offense.

A brutal 3-start stretch for Trevor Rogers He joins Kodai Senga as the only other pitcher in MLB this season to allow 16+ earned runs in fewer than 10 innings pitched Senga allowed 16 ER in 8.1 IP back in April Rogers has now allowed 16 ER over 9.1 IP across his last 3 starts

The O's just took a big series vs. the Yanks! With a 3-2 record since our last update, the O's homestand ended well and their playoff odds have ticked up for the first time in weeks. Can they keep the momentum going vs. the Nats? WK 7 model update: birdlandmetrics.com/articles/pla...

Right now, the O's are 20-24 and 1.5 games out of a wild card spot. That's possible because the 2026 American League has the 3rd-most compressed middle in 50 years: only 1983 and 2011 had a tighter pack. What does that mean for Baltimore? New article: birdlandmetrics.com/articles/al-...

Today marked the 9th time in Orioles history (since 1954) the team has held the Yankees to fewer than 2 hits in a game. 1st time since Daniel Cabrera tossed a complete-game gem on Sept. 28, 2006.

The O’s blank the Yanks! All four window panes light up gold today. Bradish's shutout start anchored a complete team performance with strong grades in BAT, FLD, and BP. This is just the 5th "perfect" window of '26 Check out the rest of the game grades👇 birdlandmetrics.com/visualizations/warehouse

Heck of a stat shared by @birdlandmetrics.com on Twitter, that I’m reposting here: Orioles batters have now struck out 368 times so far in 2026. That’s the most ever in franchise history (125 years) over the first 40 games of a season.

🚨NEW VISUAL Every O's game depicted as a lit window on the OPACY Warehouse Game performance split across 4 panes: Starting Pitching Batting Bullpen Fielding The stronger the light, the better they did '23, '24, & '25 seasons included. Check it out: birdlandmetrics.com/visualizations/warehouse

🚨This week's model update (5/1): O's: -2.6% playoff odds since last week NYY sit atop AL East, TB Rays aren’t faltering The O’s have a tough 7 (of their next 13 games) vs the Yanks. This stretch will show us a lot about this team’s trajectory. Read more👇 birdlandmetrics.com/articles/pla...

Adley’s stats thru his first 15 games of each season of his career: ‘22: 8H, 0 RBIs, .143 BA, 11 TB ‘23: 20H, 13 RBIs, .351 BA, 34 TB ‘24: 18H, 7 RBIs, .295 BA, 23 TB ‘25: 14H, 6 RBIs, .237 BA, 25 TB ‘26: 19H, 13 RBIs, .345 BA, 34 TB ‘26 is looking a lot like his All-Star seasons of ‘23 and ‘24 👀

Glass half-full take: Through today, the American League conference win% standard deviation across the 15 teams sits at .079, the lowest in 25 years, and well below the .112 average since 2000. Nobody's great, nobody's terrible. The O’s have been granted some extra leeway here out of the gates.

Glass half-empty take: In the past 20 yrs, the O's have reached the playoffs 5 times. Their record (as of 4/26) in these 5 seasons was: 2012: 12-7 (.632 win%) 2014: 12-11 (.522) 2016: 11-8 (.579) 2023: 16-8 (.667) 2024: 16-9 (.640) All 5 were +.500 at this point. They are currently 13-15 (.464).

The O’s 20 hits tonight is the most by any MLB team so far this season They also hit 6 HRs, which has only happened 23 other times in franchise history (125 years, since 1901) AND: This is the first game ever in franchise history that they’ve scored 10+ runs, 6+ HRs, and 20+ hits in a single game.

In our first mailbag article we discuss some great submitted questions! -What’s up with Dylan Beavers? -How are O’s batters doing after 0-1 counts? -Do infielders commit more Es when placed in the outfield? -How does your model differ from Fangraphs? birdlandmetrics.com/articles/april-mailbag

🚨This week's model update (4/23): O's: +7.4% playoff odds since last week NYY are surging, but TOR & BOS continue to fall The O’s need to capitalize on two winnable series this week vs. struggling teams (BOS and HOU) Read more about the O's outlook👇 birdlandmetrics.com/articles/playoff-outlook

We’ll be releasing our first mailbag article this week! Ask us anything. Have questions about our models or projections? Specific O’s players? Want us to dive into the AL playoff picture as it stands right now? Don’t be shy!👇 birdlandmetrics.com/#mailbag

And we are already up to 6Ks today thru 4 innings 😬

Last nite was the 2nd time in ‘26 the O’s combined to strike out 16+ times in a game. The other was 3/28 vs the Twins This is the fastest an O’s team has ever had 2 games with 16+ strikeouts in a season 16+ strikeouts in a game is rare & has only happened 43 times EVER in team history (since 1901)

🚨This week's model update (4/17): O's: -3.4% playoff odds from last week BUT: NYY had a rough week TOR & BOS continue to struggle Nobody is pulling away in the division or conference. It's wide open. Read about the O's outlook and upcoming games👇 birdlandmetrics.com/articles/playoff-outlook

Monday night: O's rally from 7-1 down to beat AZ 1 yr ago: the O's lost 9-0 to AZ. No rally. The 2025 O's team had 38 "dead-on-arrival" losses (2nd worst in MLB) Here's the stat that buried them last year, and what 2026 is saying so far 👇 birdlandmetrics.com/articles/dead-on-arrival-2025-orioles

Wild stuff, Jeremiah Jackson is playing out of his mind right now. 🤯 Since he drilled Alby in Monday’s game, he is: 7 for 10 (.700 BA) 3 HR 1 double 3 singles 1.700 SLG 2.400 OPS 17 total bases

Raquet in this situation? 4-3 game? McCann a righty up to bat?

What a game! The last time the O’s came back to win a game from a 6-run deficit thru 5 innings was all the way back on: May 27th, 2022 at Fenway 4 years ago the O's scored 10 unanswered runs in the 7th, 8th, and 9th to beat the Sox 12-8 after being down 8-2 in the 5th

I’ll always remember McCann for the game in 2024 where he got hit in the face by a 95 mph fastball in the first inning, his nose gushing blood, insists on staying in the game and catches the rest of it in the July heat. #gamer

Is this the breakout game for Pete Alonso? Historically against Ryne Nelson he’s had success: 4 HOME RUNS 1 Single 1 K .455 AVG 2.000 OPS In 11 ABs & 51 pitches seen Let’s see if he’ll have similar luck against him tonight. Enjoy this 113.2 mph exit velocity bomb in 2023 💨

Orioles pitching staff may be getting away with it. The O's rank 12th in MLB by ERA, looking solidly league-average. But their Pitching+ ranks 19th. That gap between what's showing up on the scoreboard and the actual quality of pitches being thrown is worth watching.

This time last week, the Orioles dropped to 3-6 and were swept badly by the Pirates. A week later, they are 8-7, tied for 1st in the AL East, and have won 5 of their last 6 games. They have also won 3 of their first 5 series in 2026. They had won ZERO of their first 5 series in 2025.

🚨 Week #2 Model Update: O’s playoff odds: +4.3% since last week Team ELO is lower than some AL wild card competitors, but BOS, TOR, and HOU odds are falling. Opportunity to close the gap even further this week vs two teams (SF and AZ) w lower ELOs. 👇 birdlandmetrics.com/articles/playoff-outlook

On the Orioles day off today, feel free to peruse our site and ask us some questions! We’ll be doing a monthly mailbag article, the first one to drop here in April. Have a question about our models, projections or site content? Don’t be shy👇 birdlandmetrics.com/#mailbag

Taylor Ward is good at hitting doubles

Adley, wow — looking good on both sides of the ball! 👏

Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% jumped from 8.5% to 17.2% and is projected 39 HRs. The only benchmark he hasn't cleared yet is xwOBA (.345 vs the .370 bar) and honestly, with barrels doubling (so far and we're still early), the results are coming. 2 of 3 projections are on track.

It took until May 9th, 2025 and 30 games for Gunnar to hit his 4th home run of the season last year. This year? Well he’s more than a month earlier than last year and it’s been 11 games. I think the power is returning, folks

Harshil, a new BM contributor wrote a great article about how best to follow our Orioles player benchmarks page this season. “If you've ever wanted a daily reason to feel something about baseball before noon, this is your tool” Read more👇 birdlandmetrics.com/articles/core-benchmarks-stat-guide

@oriolesreview.bsky.social correct again 🙃

Cowser…offspeed 🫠

🚨 First model update of '26! O's drop to ~25% playoff odds (from ~32% opening day). The series loss against TEX and gains by HOU/TEX/TOR affected the Orioles. BUT, we are 6 games in, more games will balance out predictions. And, 3 of 4 teams BAL faces the next 2 weeks have ELOs lower than the O's

Yes, great point! With no outs: .200 AVG (ranked #23 of 30) With two outs: .329 AVG (ranked #2 of 30) This doesn’t seem very sustainable to me, but hoping it’ll also balance out the other way (hit better with no outs) as the season goes on

Through 6 games the O’s bats are showing two stories: 1) They are not hitting well when bases are empty (rank #21 of 30 teams) 2) They are league BEST when at least one runner is on base (and 4th with RISP) Sample is small but the gap is 2nd largest in baseball

As of Gunnar's latest at-bat, pitchers appear to be attacking him with much more off-speed/breaking balls this year. Over 105 pitches: He's seeing only 23.8% FB, down significantly from previous yrs (45.9% to 48.5% range) Low sample size but something to watch

Here we go! Bats finally coming alive today!

Including Trevor Rogers (ERA 0.00) on this list #Birdland (also, Happy Trevor Rogers rotation day to all O's fans out there, we need a solid and long outing today)