I wrote about deadly US strikes in the Caribbean. A lot has been said about the illegality of the strikes, but impunity (and not legality) is the whole point.

🚨 New publication alert! 🚨 When do armed groups capture democratic elections, and when do they fail to do so? In a new study, @andresuribe.bsky.social (@uwmadison.bsky.social) investigates how local party competition can shape the effectiveness of coercion during Colombia’s 2002 Senate elections.

I'm working on a difference-in-RDs project but struggling with how to properly handle bandwidth selection across treatment periods. It's not obvious to me how to choose a bandwidth for multiple separate RD estimates at once. Would love pointers to resources or best practices! Thanks in advance 🙏🏼

By the way, this also applies to all experiments and any observational studies that use comparisons. Report control/baseline information to contextualize differences!

It's hard to describe how sad and embarrassed I feel by this.

A timely and trenchant piece by Suresh Naidu. When future generations sift through the wreckage of our era, they’ll find it strewn with the institutional and personal failures of leaders both great and small. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/23/o...

I defended my dissertation today! A heartfelt thanks to my committee—@vickymurillo.bsky.social, John Marshall, Sarah Daly, @emoncada.bsky.social, and @gemmadipoppa.bsky.social—for their insight, generosity, and steady support, as well as the family and friends who've backed me every step of the way.

As someone who worked at a government contractor before starting graduate school, I'm thinking about my former colleagues in light of the news about USAID. www.reuters.com/world/us/mus...

To the point of a "Trump effect" on seizures, as tempting as it may be to link seizures to political events, these are influenced by many factors beyond who holds the U.S. presidency (or Mexican presidency, for that matter). I created this figure to provide some evidence for this claim.

Based on some of the online reactions to the tariff situation between Colombia and the United States, it's frustrating how Colombia is still reduced in popular consciousness to a poor, 'third world' country with no autonomy, valued globally only for its exports of legal and illegal stimulants.

Medellín is an incredible city! Despite being born in Bogotá and having family from la costa (Caribbean coast), it's my favorite city in Colombia :)

Interesting in the amazing work of scholars who study organized crime and politics? Check out this growing starter pack of scholars and policy-makers. DM me or @juliangerez.com to be added to the list! We're looking to expand! go.bsky.app/EibGsKS

Is your Bluesky feed missing in conflict analysis? I made a starter pack of peace and conflict scholars to follow here. DM me if you want to be included. #Conflictsky go.bsky.app/7o8tZt2

👋 I'm on the academic job market! I'm a political scientist who studies the political economy of security and law enforcement, examining criminal and political violence and the state enforcement strategies that respond to these threats, with a regional focus on Latin America. 🧵 1/9

Excited to share my paper exploring subnational variation in law enforcement intensity, focusing on coca eradication in Colombia. I'll be presenting it at various venues soon, including the MPSA mini-conference on organized crime and politics. julianegerez.github.io/research/EradicationCauses.pdf

Hi Polisky community, long-time (~2 months?) listener, first-time caller. I'm looking for good posters that present the pilot of an experiment—a mix of preliminary results and speculative design considerations seems to be the right idea here, but posters are new to me so any advice would be great.