We have only limited data, so here is a conjecture based on what we know about US approaches to suppressing and destroying enemy air defenses from the past.

It's time almost time to wrap up 2025, and oh boy what a year it has been! I have delivered training and spoke at conferences in Qatar 🇶🇦, Estonia 🇪🇪, Brazil 🇧🇷, Greece 🇬🇷, and of the course the UK 🇬🇧, mostly as part of my #cyber #diplomacy role at @warstudieskcl.bsky.social.

#ESSC2026 | Save the date! Thrilled to announce that the European Security Studies Conference is taking place on 11–12 June 2026 at @stockholm-uni.bsky.social The conference is jointly organised by COST Action NetSec, @eissnetwork.bsky.social , & @stockholm-uni.bsky.social eiss-europa.com/2026.html

Hello there!

Today is a special day, as I’m celebrating both #14juillet 🇫🇷🎆 and being recognised by the Sports and Youth Ministry for my commitment to non-profit causes, from my high-school years with European Youth Parliament (EYP) all the way to the European Initiative for Security Studies (EISS) today.

Country Report: Assessment of Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference (FIMI) in the 2025 German Federal Election www.isdglobal.org/isd-publicat...

"France is looking to attribute cyber attacks" from Russia, incl. "with its partners" said its Joint Chiefs at a rare press conference today. He also highlighted Russia is deploying its full-spectrum forces in Ukraine and elsewhere, in a war that it deems existential, threatening France and Europe.

Intelligence officials worry a sabotage campaign blamed on Russia is growing more dangerous apnews.com/article/russ...

2024 was “one of the most challenging in the modern history of the Czech Republic in terms of security” due to Russian sabotage, including attempts at disruption, cyberattacks, and disinformation.

#HGGSP Le CEMA, le général Thierry Burkhard, prendra la parole ce 11 juillet à 11h devant la presse au ministère des Armées, afin de présenter l’actualisation de la revue nationale stratégique. Obj : présentation de l’état des menaces qui pèsent sur notre pays et auxquelles les armées 🇫🇷 se préparent

Many thanks to my former home for featuring my next project at @stanfordcisac.bsky.social with the Richard Lounsbery Foundation.

Thrilled to say I've been appointed as the Richard Lounsbery US-France Security Fellow at @stanfordcisac.bsky.social. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-n...

It still feels unreal a year later, yet here I am! Doctor of Philosophy! 😄 I am deeply grateful to all those who supported me in this long and difficult journey. Fellow classmates, lecturers, mentors, supervisor, colleagues, friends and family. You know who you are, and the difference you’ve made.♥️

UK-EU signal co-operation on: "Ukraine; security & defence initiatives...mobility of mil materiel and personnel; space security; regular high-level dialogues and strategic consultations; peacebuilding and crisis management; cyber issues; countering hybrid threats" www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/05...

Poland accuses Russia of ‘unprecedented’ interference ahead of presidential election #cybersecurity #infosec

For years, rumors saud the Kremlin was protecting cybercrime crews from repercussions. In an interview, Mart Noorma, director of the NATO CCDCOE, confirms that this is true and is happening, with some of the cybercrime proceeds being "divided among state agencies." news.err.ee/1609687160/r...

Choose Science. Choose Europe. A new Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions Postdoctoral Fellowships 2025 call is now open. With a budget of €404.3 million, it will support around 1,650 researchers from Europe and beyond. Apply by 10 September → europa.eu/!fBTMgF

Looks like Romania is doing something right

The fact that George Simion won significantly more votes (~3.8 million) than the first-round winner of the later annulled November election (back then, ~2.1 million votes) likely means that Romanian electorate did not accept the annulment lightly. In other words, the annulment was a boost.

France and Poland have negotiated and will sign a new bilateral treaty which includes military and defence elements.

Many thanks to @virtualroutes.bsky.social for featuring my various Cyber Statecraft publications and activities in their newsletter! Here's the April round-up: 📑 Interpreting India’s Cyber Statecraft (with Joe Devanny): carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Trend Micro identifies North Korean APTs, including Lazarus Group, using Russian infrastructure (ASNs, VPS) to obfuscate financially driven cyber ops. Highlights evolution in TTPs and inter-state cybercrime dynamics. www.trendmicro.com/en_us/resear... #ThreatIntel #CyberOps

European intelligence agencies believe that Russia’s GRU military intelligence service was behind a series of cargo package explosions at airports in Germany, Poland and Britain last summer, German media reported.

Quantum key distribution in Germany demonstrated across 254 km of standard telecom fibre with 56 dB total channel loss and a relay node positioned ~60% along the link.

PSA: I have verified my domain and can now be @ at @apb-ldn.org

After more than a year of training with King's College London Academy, lecturing, mentoring, supervising, peer-observations, and an extensive application process, I have been awarded Fellowship of the Higher Education Academy (#FHEA) by @advancehe.bsky.social.

🚨We’re excited to share the latest paper by EISS Technology Coordinator @apb-laudrain.bsky.social 📚Objectifs rationnels, enjeux bureaucratiques et arbitrages politiques : un examen du modèle français de cyberpolitique (Études Françaises de Renseignement et de Cyber)🧷 shs.cairn.info/revue-etudes...

📣 #EISS2025 | The preliminary programme for the 2025 EISS Annual Conference is out! ⏰ Registration deadline: 27 May. For more: eiss-europa.com/2025.html 🌍Join us on 26–27 June at the University of Macedonia in Thessaloniki and connect with leading scholars in security studies!

Très heureux de vous partager la publication de mon article sur la cyber politique française, dans la revue Études Françaises de Renseignement et de Cyber aux Presses Universitaires de France. doi.org/10.3917/efrc...

Russian internet users searched for “Michael Stürzenberger stabbed” before the knife attack on him in Mannheim, Germany, in May 2024. 1/5

Always a pleasure to speak to @joedevanny.bsky.social. In this RUSI explainer, we discussed how South Africa approaches cyber statecraft. To read more of Joe’s work on the subject, check out this @carnegieendowment.org report from last year: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Great to see a new contribution to the cyber statecraft litt by Nadiya Kostyuk et al in JoGSS. The French shadow case will make for an interesting background to my incoming article in EFRC, which develops all three Allison & Zelikow models. academic.oup.com/jogss/articl...

The dismissal of Timothy Haugh came just hours after the US president sacked a number of senior National Security Council officials following claims of disloyalty by a far-right activist. www.ft.com/content/0e4d...

🚨We are thrilled to share a new paper on India’s Cyber Statecraft by #EISS Technology Coordinator @apb-laudrain.bsky.social & @joedevanny.bsky.social for @carnegieendowment.org The paper is part of EPSRC-Dstl Cyber Statecraft Proj 🔗 Read the full text here: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

"The choice Europe faces is not between U.S. extended deterrence as it existed before Jan. 20, 2025, and other arrangements. Instead, the choice is between today’s compromised U.S. commitment — which may deteriorate rapidly and oscillate unpredictably in the future — and the alternatives."

📢 New publication at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace with @joedevanny.bsky.social as part of our EPSRC - Dstl Cyber Statecraft Project. Why is 🇮🇳India’s cyber strategy so important, and so hard to read? What are the implications for W engagement? carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Make sure you’re inviting the right person to your Signal group! To help confirm someone’s identity and keep track of your contacts, @signal.org offers nicknames and information about the groups you share in common with your contacts. Learn about Signal’s identifiers:

Check our latest with our friends at @rusi.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0sw...

What an image...

Big day for Chinese threat intel MSS outs 4 alleged members of Taiwan's Information, Communications & Electronic Force Command, links them to cyber attacks QiAnXin & Antiy release 2 separate reports on Taiwan-linked APT-Q-20/APT-C-01/GreenSpot/PoisonVine 🧵w/ links & details

Day 1 of the Paris Defence and Strategy Forum (#PDSF) While the Joint Chiefs of various Allied nations were meeting in Paris, I was at the Military School today to meet friends and colleagues to discuss implications of the critical juncture Europe stands at.

France's disinformation investigations team VIGINUM has published a report on the three years of Russian disinformation campaigns since the country's invasion of Ukraine. An English version PDF is available.

Rejoignez-nous sur @osintfr.bsky.social pour un aperçu de ma prochaine publication dans Études Françaises de Renseignement et de Cyber (EFRC). 👇

“The Trump administration is targeting government officials who had been flagging foreign interference in U.S. elections, despite ongoing concerns that adversaries are stoking political & social divisions by spreading propaganda & disinformation online, current and former government officials said”

Exclusive: These universities have the most retracted scientific articles A first-of-its-kind analysis reveals which institutions are retraction hotspots Read the full story here: https://go.nature.com/3CUmFKI

I am really quite exhausted by the idea that the US has extended its security umbrella to Europe since ww2 out of the goodness of their hearts. Yes, Europe should have done more, especially over the last two decades, but let‘s not pretend that US foreign policy was always motivated by altruism.

1/ Meta just announced it's deleting everyone's Facebook livestream archive in 30 days. In places like #HongKong, media outlets' precious record of news events, like the 2019 demos, will be lost.

Last few hours!

Oh very nice!

'Josephine Baker wearing her medals from her service in French Resistance at the Civil Rights March on Washington DC, 1963'