I've got a new post looking at first quarter fundraising data for candidates for governor in Colorado: www.co-political-landscape.org/gubernatoria... #copolitics

I wonder how many zombie citations are out there? e.g. people copying over a hallucinated citation without bothering to check that the original reference is authentic

I've got a new post looking at first quarter fundraising data for candidates for governor in Colorado: www.co-political-landscape.org/gubernatoria... #copolitics

The direct costs to Coloradans of increased gas prices since the beginning of the Iran war has been more than $115,000,000. This only accounts for the costs people are paying to fill up their own cars -- not the indirect ways that increased gas prices ripple through to other expenses. #copolitics

I've got a new post up looking at the cost of increased gas prices on Colorado households. Based on my analysis, Colorado households are collectively paying about $3M extra every day. www.co-political-landscape.org/the-direct-i... #copolitics

I've got a new post up looking at the cost of increased gas prices on Colorado households. Based on my analysis, Colorado households are collectively paying about $3M extra every day. www.co-political-landscape.org/the-direct-i... #copolitics

@pollcat.bsky.social is as good as they come in our industry. Very well deserved!

"They have not learned to eat plastic" a great line for our AI age

I recently finished this podcast series (at least the first season) about the various ways the Abraham traditions have been used throughout history: badcousins.show/about Highly recommend for those interested in the ways theology and shared stories ripple out into the world.

The disclosure statements that most IRBs require on even the most innocuous surveys are something to behold

A lot of talk about mid-cycle redistricting after the VA vote last night. I took a look at the possibilities in CO should they decide to follow suit. tl;dr there are a lot of possible maps in Colorado that would result in 0 safe R seats www.co-political-landscape.org/colorado-red... #copolitics

Or download a bespoke app!!

Colorado, like most places in the country, has a strong urban/rural political divide where people in more rural places tend to hold more conservative attitudes. Interestingly, despite a substantial partisan gap in views about data centers, there is no urban/rural divide

New analysis highlighting some interesting findings from the latest Colorado Polling Institute survey: tl;dr Coloradans are not enthusiastic about data centers www.co-political-landscape.org/coloradans-a... #copolitics

New analysis highlighting some interesting findings from the latest Colorado Polling Institute survey: tl;dr Coloradans are not enthusiastic about data centers www.co-political-landscape.org/coloradans-a... #copolitics

I never used to, but YouGov has something called birthday leave and I gotta admit that it is kinda nice

Wikipedia tells me there are Mexican and Brazilian versions of slug bug. Are there European versions? Is this a western hemisphere phenomenon? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Car-spo...

I am very much enjoying @anneleckie.com's Translation State. It is making me want to reread the ancillary series.

For people in the Northern Colorado area, this should be a great event: www.cldfriends.org/cr26 Come support a local author either in the VIP event on Friday or the main talk on Saturday. See the link for details.

Are VW bug drivers aware of the havoc they leave in their wakes?

My first reaction to the Trump-as-Jesus image was to assume it was a particularly tasteless (which is saying something) new McNaughton painting... bycommonconsent.com/2026/04/14/i...

Would also love to see thoughts on this (from survey researchers, not other people with thoughts on LLMs generally)

Survey researchers: What are people's general thoughts about disqualifying respondents who seem to be using LLM output in their open-ended responses? Obviously, this is something we would prefer that people not do, but giving the way AI 'assistants' have been shoved into people's lives ...

One of my favorite wikipedia pages: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feral_c...

There's been some talk about Colorado joining the mid-cycle redistricting fracas. In my latest post, I break down what that might look like with some simulations: www.co-political-landscape.org/colorado-red... #copolitics

To all who celebrate: Happy Easter! A season of hope in dark times that reminds us that the future is possible. www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/54587/... (I very much recommend going to the link above so you can hear a recording of Clifton reading her poem)

To all who celebrate: Happy Easter! A season of hope in dark times that reminds us that the future is possible. www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/54587/... (I very much recommend going to the link above so you can hear a recording of Clifton reading her poem)

On this Good Friday, I'm thinking about the only art exhibit that has actually moved me to tears: Barnett Neuman's Stations of the Cross at the National Gallery. It was a very powerful experience. Something you really have to see in person to really understand. www.nga.gov/exhibitions/...

The @sltrib.com covered some of my research as it relates to Mormons' political leanings. "Lurch" isn't the word I would use (the drift has been pretty steady over the past 20 years), but headlines gonna headline www.sltrib.com/religion/202...

My work was featured in Tom Edsall's latest column (gift link): www.nytimes.com/2026/03/31/o... You can find the original report here: yougov.com/en-us/articl...

The Desert News picked up a nugget from my report on partisan trends over the past 20 years. Mormons have been moving away from the Republican Party at a pretty steady pace: www.deseret.com/politics/202...

My work was featured in Tom Edsall's latest column (gift link): www.nytimes.com/2026/03/31/o... You can find the original report here: yougov.com/en-us/articl...

We had a decent showing at the Windsor, Colorado No Kings rally.

This is a really interesting read (tangentially, it's still kind of wild to me that we now have ~20-year longitudinal trends that are entirely online-mode; relevant here in that how hard you push indies to lean can matter, so it's nice to have apples-to-apples data)

there's a new report out from YouGov using CES data to plot trends in partisanship over the past two decades. i've got a piece up today in @goodauth.bsky.social summarizing some key findings. check out both! GA piece: goodauthority.org/news/long-st... YouGov report: yougov.com/en-us/articl...

Two decades of partisanship in the Cooperative Election Study: Over the past 20 years, the share of Americans who identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party has decreased at a steady pace. (@bradjones.bsky.social, YouGov) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260325-top...

For the methods needs out there, my report documenting 20 years of partisan trends in the US includes a lengthy (and I hope not overly defensive) comparison to probability based estimates of some of the same quantities. docs.google.com/document/d/1...

My report on changing partisanship looks also at religious tradition. As with most other analytic lenses you can apply to this data, the trend is away from the Democratic Party over the past 20 years. Two exceptions: Mormons and atheists. yougov.com/en-us/articl...

For the methods needs out there, my report documenting 20 years of partisan trends in the US includes a lengthy (and I hope not overly defensive) comparison to probability based estimates of some of the same quantities. docs.google.com/document/d/1...

My report on changing partisanship looks also at religious tradition. As with most other analytic lenses you can apply to this data, the trend is away from the Democratic Party over the past 20 years. Two exceptions: Mormons and atheists. yougov.com/en-us/articl...

In my new report on partisanship, I show movement away from the Democratic Party across a broad range of demographic groups. Looking back at the ANES, this is just the most recent piece of a *much* longer trend. yougov.com/en-us/articl...

I've been working for the last few weeks on a report marking the 20th anniversary of the Cooperative Election Study. The report is out today. yougov.com/en-us/articl... (1/

I've been working for the last few weeks on a report marking the 20th anniversary of the Cooperative Election Study. The report is out today. yougov.com/en-us/articl... (1/

I've got a new post up on the (shrinking) gender gap in partisanship in Colorado: www.co-political-landscape.org/the-partisan... #copolitics (1/

My youngest saw the tagalong bike ("hey that's like mine!") on the cover of @lucyknisley.bsky.social 's lovely book about biking and community and had to add it to our library haul thi week. I'm so glad he did!

I've got a new post up on the (shrinking) gender gap in partisanship in Colorado: www.co-political-landscape.org/the-partisan... #copolitics (1/

My oldest's choir is singing the national anthem at a local hockey game... are all sports events this *loud*?

Very cool new interactive and data visualizations up by Pew Research Center on how Americans spend their time and how that differs by gender: www.pewresearch.org/social-trend...

The new V-Dem report was released today. There are dramatic declines in democracy in the US. Much worse than during Trump I.

This video is *bananas*—you can estimate π from a ton of random coin flips bc the expected prop of heads/total after 50%+ of the flips are heads = π/4 Here's an #rstats version I made of Matt's Python code in the video gist.github.com/andrewheiss/... With 10 million random flips I got 3.131381