I feel like we've graduated from "unseasonably" to "distressingly" warm in Colorado this Christmas.

The @ifbookspod.bsky.social guys did a good breakdown of the many problems with this book open.spotify.com/episode/1YsX...

Happy unseasonably warm Christmas eve from Lory state park in Colorado

I've not read many comics or graphic novels, but I could not put down @charlessoule.bsky.social and @ryanbrowne.bsky.social 's Eight Billion Genies. Really beautiful work. Check it out if you like speculative fiction on a grand scale.

New post up on racial and ethnic diversity in Colorado and political outcomes: www.co-political-landscape.org/racial-and-e... Colorado stands out in a few ways...

I'm working on a new post for my #copolitics site on the relationship between race/ethnicity and political outcomes. www.co-political-landscape.org The plot below shows the relationship between the share of a county's population that is White and Democratic vote in 2024 (see alt text for notes)

I'm working on a new post for my #copolitics site on the relationship between race/ethnicity and political outcomes. www.co-political-landscape.org The plot below shows the relationship between the share of a county's population that is White and Democratic vote in 2024 (see alt text for notes)

One thing that I'm still trying to understand about the "diploma divide" (the correlation between state education and state-level politics) is what the mechanism might be. It is easy to assume that it is driven by college grads being more likely to vote for Dems, but ... (see alt txt for details)

In my latest post (www.co-political-landscape.org/the-diploma-...), I try to unpack this. Interestingly, the diploma divide holds up within counties in Colorado, but it seems to break down when we look at more granular geographic divisions (check out the post for more).

One thing that I'm still trying to understand about the "diploma divide" (the correlation between state education and state-level politics) is what the mechanism might be. It is easy to assume that it is driven by college grads being more likely to vote for Dems, but ... (see alt txt for details)

I published a new analysis this morning: www.co-political-landscape.org/the-diploma-... I hope you'll check it out! #copolitics

A short 🧵 on the diploma divide in the U.S.: I know others have identified this trend, but this is amazing to me. In 1980, knowing the share of a state's population that were college grads would tell you nothing about presidential vote. Today it is one of the strongest predictors.

I got a custom domain set up for my new website: www.co-political-landscape.org/about/

Colorado is one of four states that has shifted more than 10 points in the Democratic direction between 2004 and 2024. colorados-political-landscape.ghost.io/the-making-o... (see alt text for more on the chart)

A short 🧵 on the diploma divide in the U.S.: I know others have identified this trend, but this is amazing to me. In 1980, knowing the share of a state's population that were college grads would tell you nothing about presidential vote. Today it is one of the strongest predictors.

For folks interested in Colorado politics, check out my new website: colorados-political-landscape.ghost.io The introductory post walks through some high-level election data. I'm working now on a really interesting piece about the "diploma divide" in Colorado. Subscribe to be notified. #copolitics

My first post is up on my new #copolitics website: colorados-political-landscape.ghost.io/the-making-o... For 80 of the last 100 years, Colorado was a pretty reliably Republican state, that all changed in 2008. In the last 5 presidential elections, Colorado has voted Democratic. Sign up for more -

Colorado is one of four states that has shifted more than 10 points in the Democratic direction between 2004 and 2024. colorados-political-landscape.ghost.io/the-making-o... (see alt text for more on the chart)

My first post is up on my new #copolitics website: colorados-political-landscape.ghost.io/the-making-o... For 80 of the last 100 years, Colorado was a pretty reliably Republican state, that all changed in 2008. In the last 5 presidential elections, Colorado has voted Democratic. Sign up for more -

Is there interest in the #copolitics crowd for data-driven analyses of Colorado's demographics and social trends? I've started a newsletter / website: colorados-political-landscape.ghost.io/introduction/ Sign up there to receive updates when new posts go live. I've got a few in the works -

@today.yougov.com have we considered a cross promotion?

Having spent a few unhappy months working for Meta, this rings very true

Car Size xkcd.com/3167/

I want a god as my accomplice who spends nights in houses of ill repute and gets up late on Saturdays ... a god knocked unconscious by the billy club of a policeman at a demonstration ... I want a more godlike god Prayer, by Francisco X. Alarcón www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/53880/...

I want a god as my accomplice who spends nights in houses of ill repute and gets up late on Saturdays ... a god knocked unconscious by the billy club of a policeman at a demonstration ... I want a more godlike god Prayer, by Francisco X. Alarcón www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/53880/...

I'd love to see something like this from LDS leaders

The process of being subjected to "open enrollment" seems designed in a lab to radicalize people against our byzantine health care system. Just me?

The new Mountain Goats album is soooo good

I don't know if it is still possible to get hardbound copies of @camillagluh.bsky.social 's Desert Prophet, but if you can, you should. An all around beautiful object and a story that will haunt you.

PSA: exit polls can be valuable tools for understanding voter attitudes once the results are known, but unweighted pre-results releases should be taken with an ENORMOUS grain of salt.

I was very excited to receive my copy of @camillagluh.bsky.social 's Desert Prophet. The book is beautiful.

Spotted a pair of bald eagles on a walk this evening around the Windsor lake

Got to admire the comprehensiveness of the Joseph Smith Papers Project www.josephsmithpapers.org/paper-summar... #mormonhistory

My kids loved seeing the costumes at the #NoKings rally today in Windsor, Colorado

Great turnout for a blustery, Windsor Colorado #NoKings protest

TIL that (partly) why we talk about Columbus at all is that revolutionary-era Americans were looking for non-British founding figures as they tried to forge their own identity (h/t @benjaminepark.bsky.social). I think we can do better. Happy Indigenous Peoples' day! www.youtube.com/watch?v=0I47...

I think @gelliottmorris.com does great work, and people are justifiably excited about the revival of this project. My concern with this general enterprise is that it flattens the purpose of polling. Key topline numbers are important, but polls are much more than just grist for the aggregators. 1/

I'm looking forward to meeting up with a great lineup of survey folks in Minneapolis on Friday celebrating the 80th (!) anniversary of the Minnesota Poll. I'll be talking about new methods in conducting local and state opinion research. mnpoll.umn.edu/symposium-3-...

Serving sizes 🤝 polling estimates Better when rounded

Does "Department of War" branding make it easier for Dems to cut defense spending?

This was excellent (even though I almost couldn't make out the words toward the end through the tears welling up). An extraordinarily beautiful book about grief and rememberance. @writerpoetjohn.bsky.social @thomasdocherty.bsky.social

Is someone working on updating Pete Seger's "What a friend we have in Congress" to fit our current situation? (original lyrics in the alt text) www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSEI...

Pew's validated voter report should be required reading for folks interested in US politics

#nokings Windsor, CO

How well do people really understand the politics of their own neighborhoods? On Thursday, May 15, from 4:30–6:00 PM, my colleague Alexis Essa and I will present new findings from YouGov at the AAPOR Annual Conference in St. Louis. I hope to see folks there at #AAPOR2025.

🚨 Call for all AAPOR board gamers! 🚨 GAMEPOR is finally officially on the conference schedule, now named "Longitudinal Leisure Study (with board games)". Bring your favorite (and luggage friendly) board games to the conference and come join us for an epic game night! 🎲 #AAPOR @aapor.bsky.social

On my 500th reading of "Horton Hatches the Egg," I'm solidly convinced that the correct interpretation of the story is that of a wise mother doing everything she can to get her child's absentee father involved with its life. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horton_...

My five year old destroyed me the other day as I was explaining something: "I think you are talking to yourself, dad"

NPORS is a fantastic resource and public service.

HANDS OFF FORT COLLINS COLORADO