I don't know if it is still possible to get hardbound copies of @camillagluh.bsky.social 's Desert Prophet, but if you can, you should. An all around beautiful object and a story that will haunt you.

PSA: exit polls can be valuable tools for understanding voter attitudes once the results are known, but unweighted pre-results releases should be taken with an ENORMOUS grain of salt.

I was very excited to receive my copy of @camillagluh.bsky.social 's Desert Prophet. The book is beautiful.

Spotted a pair of bald eagles on a walk this evening around the Windsor lake

Got to admire the comprehensiveness of the Joseph Smith Papers Project www.josephsmithpapers.org/paper-summar... #mormonhistory

My kids loved seeing the costumes at the #NoKings rally today in Windsor, Colorado

Great turnout for a blustery, Windsor Colorado #NoKings protest

TIL that (partly) why we talk about Columbus at all is that revolutionary-era Americans were looking for non-British founding figures as they tried to forge their own identity (h/t @benjaminepark.bsky.social). I think we can do better. Happy Indigenous Peoples' day! www.youtube.com/watch?v=0I47...

I think @gelliottmorris.com does great work, and people are justifiably excited about the revival of this project. My concern with this general enterprise is that it flattens the purpose of polling. Key topline numbers are important, but polls are much more than just grist for the aggregators. 1/

I'm looking forward to meeting up with a great lineup of survey folks in Minneapolis on Friday celebrating the 80th (!) anniversary of the Minnesota Poll. I'll be talking about new methods in conducting local and state opinion research. mnpoll.umn.edu/symposium-3-...

Serving sizes 🤝 polling estimates Better when rounded

Does "Department of War" branding make it easier for Dems to cut defense spending?

This was excellent (even though I almost couldn't make out the words toward the end through the tears welling up). An extraordinarily beautiful book about grief and rememberance. @writerpoetjohn.bsky.social @thomasdocherty.bsky.social

Is someone working on updating Pete Seger's "What a friend we have in Congress" to fit our current situation? (original lyrics in the alt text) www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSEI...

Pew's validated voter report should be required reading for folks interested in US politics

#nokings Windsor, CO

How well do people really understand the politics of their own neighborhoods? On Thursday, May 15, from 4:30–6:00 PM, my colleague Alexis Essa and I will present new findings from YouGov at the AAPOR Annual Conference in St. Louis. I hope to see folks there at #AAPOR2025.

🚨 Call for all AAPOR board gamers! 🚨 GAMEPOR is finally officially on the conference schedule, now named "Longitudinal Leisure Study (with board games)". Bring your favorite (and luggage friendly) board games to the conference and come join us for an epic game night! 🎲 #AAPOR @aapor.bsky.social

On my 500th reading of "Horton Hatches the Egg," I'm solidly convinced that the correct interpretation of the story is that of a wise mother doing everything she can to get her child's absentee father involved with its life. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horton_...

My five year old destroyed me the other day as I was explaining something: "I think you are talking to yourself, dad"

NPORS is a fantastic resource and public service.

HANDS OFF FORT COLLINS COLORADO

It was a little cold and windy at times, but the Fort Collins #handsoff protest was really well attended.

Fort Collins hands off rally

@smbrnsn.bsky.social do you know if it is possible to estimate how much the church might have lost as a result of the Trump tariffs?

Headed out this morning to take this bad boy for a spin

We're headed to a protest in Fort Collins today.

Please clap for my protest sign #50501

I love Pigs Can't Look Up by @vincentdonofrio.bsky.social It feels especially appropriate during poetry month. Thank you for putting such a beautiful thing into the world. Do folks have recs for other gentle bedtime reads for little ones in this same vein?

@jonlovett.bsky.social enunciates the feelings I've been having during this first 100+ days of Trump's second term in this clip. "He's doing just enough... going right up to the edge of where it would be unacceptable for us to have a normal night. But we all do... " www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtKC...

One of my favorite pi facts on this pi day. With 40 digits of pi you could calculate the circumference of the observable universe to within the width of a hydrogen atom.

Hey parents of tween/early teens. Are your kids learning typing in school? I did Mavis Beacon a million years ago on a Mac II

One of the first movies I saw in the theater. I remember being scandalized (and a little thrilled) by the scene where one of these weird turtles yells: Daaaaaaaamn!

Matt Page's Future Day Saints books are fantastic. Any LDS/Mormon or adjacent folks should check them out. I'm not really into comics or graphic novels but his wild vision of a future Zion is exactly what we need more of.

Can confirm. When we lived in Arlington, VA we had some great Pakistani (and Afghani and Saudi) neighbors who were always giving us amazing food.

At parent teacher conferences for my middleschooler and in absolute awe of the dedication of these teachers

Uh oh... no one tell John McNaughton

Stay warm out there folks

Is this a problem that could be solved with better liability laws or something? Jack up insurance rates to astronomical levels? Where does pressure get applied to make these changes?

Just finished @aptshadow.bsky.social 's House of Open Wounds. I really enjoyed it. I haven't read much fantasy, but Tchaikovsky's story telling is really engaging. Kind of a fantastical setting of Catch 22 with all the absurdity of a military bureaucracy mixed in with gods and demons. Check it out!

I just finished @rebeccamakkai.bsky.social 's excellent "I have some questions for you" Part murder mystery, part reflection on growing up and reevaluating the past, part commentary on our social media age... all good

I feel like this drone thing is going to end up being some kind of stupid guerrilla marketing campaign

I've been getting some unhinged online ads for the Meta VR headset where a guy puts on his headset in the laundromat!? another one where the person puts it on while waiting at the DMV?? This isn't actually a thing, right? Meta is trying to make it a thing, but we don't have to let them -

(The one addendum I'd put on this is that the degree to which framing matters varies considerably by issue, and the mere presence of that volatility -- and how it manifests -- can itself say a lot about strength of opinion and how people are approaching the issue.)

Hey #pollsky - does anyone have details on what AtlasIntel means by "random digital recruitment"? Is this just river sampling by another name? Google isn't turning anything up for me.

I really cannot say enough good about Pew Research Center. If you have the chance to intern or work there (or are in a position to advise others to), this is a great opportunity.

My two weirdos

I'm not saying it is likely, but in a hypothetical world where Trump is found ineligible to take office on 14th amendment grounds, what happens? Does Vance just become president? Does it go to the House?

Not getting a sticker is a little bit of a bummer, but it still feels good to throw my little vote into the box.

Some really great analysis from Pew on how Harris and Trump voters are looking at the election and what might happen if their preferred candidate loses. Harris supporters are nearly twice as likely as Trump supporters to say it is very important their candidate concedes if they lose the election.