#OpenAccess from @ejisbisa.bsky.social - Balancing or integrating? How power–dependence relations shape international politics - https://cup.org/45fg88u - @pierreharoche.bsky.social#OpenAccess #FirstView

Le contexte actuel de préparation à la #guerre 🪖 #readiness2030 donnera-t-il naissance à un État #européen 🇪🇺 ? @pierreharoche.bsky.social vous guide sur cette question jeudi à ESPOL pour sa leçon inaugurale ! 📅 15 janvier 2026 🕤 14h-16h 📍LW S122 Info & inscription 👉 espol.school/evenement/co...

Pro-Trump media beginning to advocate for war against 🇻🇪 with exactly same arguments as 🇷🇺 in 🇺🇦: it's our 'backyard', our sphere of influence, it's the Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine. 👉We 🇪🇺 must reject this logic everywhere. Or we will be its next victims.

🇧🇪 already thought in the past that by distancing itself from its allies, it would be spared by the aggressor. 👉The result is that the aggressor is strengthened and 🇧🇪 is not spared at all.

Pro-Trump media beginning to advocate for war against 🇻🇪 with exactly same arguments as 🇷🇺 in 🇺🇦: it's our 'backyard', our sphere of influence, it's the Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine. 👉We 🇪🇺 must reject this logic everywhere. Or we will be its next victims.

“A senior European diplomat in Beijing said China was conducting a “campaign” to court individual EU member states while blaming Brussels for strains in its relations with the bloc.” 👉 When empires blame Brussels, it means 🇪🇺 is doing its job.

US National Security Strategy: clear evidence & plenty of arguments why Europe needs to build fast its own Defence Independence & its own Geopolitical Independence. We have #DefenceReadiness Roadmap for our Defence Independence. We need the same for our Geopolitical Independence.

Un nouveau journal 🗞️ en ligne qui parle de la place de l’Europe 🇪🇺 dans le monde 🌍 ! Des contributions transdisciplinaires, de l’art 🎨 aux sciences sociales 🏛️, écrites pour des non spécialistes. Un beau projet soutenu par @espol-lab.bsky.social 🥳 globaleuropejournal.org/issues/issue...

You enjoy working with students and want to share your knowledge? There is a great job opportunity in political science (and social sciences methods) at the @univcatholille.bsky.social 👇 www.linkedin.com/posts/julien...

VDL is right. We should stop talking about defending “every inch” of European/NATO territory. Unconsciously, it’s a way to assume that it is primarily an American responsibility. It’s not. This is a mission for the metric system.

Interview éclairante avec @pierreharoche.bsky.social sur la position stratégique de l'Europe, aux côtés d'États-Unis toujours ambigus. Ou pourquoi les Européens doivent sans attendre assumer seuls la première ligne de dissuasion face à la Russie. www.lecho.be/dossiers/con...

Land robots are the new drones! 👉 That's another reason for sending 🇪🇺 troops to 🇺🇦 after ceasefire. If we don't want to have to defend Europe with millions of soldiers 🫡at the eastern border, we can learn from 🇺🇦 how to do it with machines 🤖. www.lemonde.fr/en/internati...

Fascinating to compare these two polls. 👉Defence and international relations are top concerns of 🇪🇺; the least important for 🇺🇸. 👉 🇪🇺 citizens are aware of the threats; member states & 🇪🇺 should be more ambitious.

Les citoyens, obnubilés par les enjeux domestiques, ne s’intéressent pas aux questions internationales? 👉Faux.

Ce ne sont pas les citoyens qui entravent l’intégration 🇪🇺 en matière de défense, mais les bureaucraties. Même dans un climat de montée des populismes, les citoyens comprennent que l’union fait la force.

👉For centuries, there was intense military competition between European states for the conquest of the 🌍. 👉Then Europeans delegated security to extra-European superpowers. 👉Today, Europe itself has to become a power. #EuropeDay

My presentation @eesc.bsky.social : 3. Why we need a 🇪🇺🇺🇦 alliance

My presentation @eesc.bsky.social : 2. We need a common 🇪🇺 defence budget.

My presentation @eesc.bsky.social : 1. Why 🇪🇺 weakness might actually lead to war.

To clarify the debate: 👉It is essential to send 🇪🇺 troops to 🇺🇦 because 🇷🇺 will always be tempted to attack a 🇺🇦 fighting on its own; however 🇷🇺 will be deterred if it is convinced that an attack on 🇺🇦 is an attack on 🇪🇺. www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/a...

L’enjeu crucial, ce n’est pas le plan de #Trump, ce sont les garanties de sécurité, l’alliance 🇪🇺🇺🇦. Seule une présence 🇪🇺 en 🇺🇦 peut dissuader 🇷🇺 d’attaquer à nouveau 🇺🇦; seule 🇺🇦 peut permettre à 🇪🇺 d’être réellement militairement autonome et crédible.

Que ce soit pour compenser le désengagement 🇺🇸, financer une présence 🇫🇷 terrestre en 🇺🇦, ou renforcer l'armée 🇺🇦, on butte toujours sur la question du financement. Un budget 🇪🇺 de défense commun est plus urgent que jamais. www.lemonde.fr/internationa...

Merci à @sebagobert.bsky.social pour cette vidéo, qui a été l'occasion de revenir sur l'argument de mon livre #DansLaForgeDuMonde mais aussi de parler de l'avenir: budget de défense commun, garanties de sécurité, alliance avec 🇺🇦... www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3il...

Why Eurobonds or bust? 1. It generates a lot of cash fast, meaning big orders can be done fast to address big gaps: ammo, long range strike, tanks, air defense, artillery, air-tanker/transport, etc. 2. It's equitable! Debt servicing paid out of the EU budget so all member states contribute. 1/

For the EU, the implications are massive, but my hunch would be that this fastens decoupling and "strategic autonomy" from the US Particularly a strong incentive to stimulate own tech sector and to reduce dependency of Silicon Valley (since we can't use that trump card now) 3/5

That is why it is even more important than before to anchor 🇺🇦 in 🇪🇺 security architecture. We need to build a solid rampart from the Barents Sea to the Black Sea.

Depuis des décennies les 🇪🇺 ont vécu avec l’idée que le seul allié fiable était 🇺🇸; aujourd’hui nous peut-être l’occasion de créer un nouveau moment fondateur dans lequel c’est la solidarité entre 🇪🇺 qui aura été décisive.

Our most important ally is no longer 🇺🇸, but 🇺🇦, which has shown that it is able and willing to stop 🇷🇺. With 🇺🇦 anchored in 🇪🇺, we have serious chance of deterring 🇷🇺. Without 🇺🇦 there is a serious risk of 🇪🇺 demoralisation and opportunistic 🇷🇺 attack. institutdelors.eu/en/publicati...

If the Europe I know is worth having, and it sure is, it’s worth defending.

Glad to hear confirmation from #Macron that Europeans will deploy reassurance troops to 🇺🇦, and that this decision is not subject to either 🇷🇺 acceptance or 🇺🇸 support. This is #StrategicAutonomy.

📑 #Ukraine The European Union has a pivotal role in supporting Ukraine through various means, including economic aid, political backing, and security assistance. Have a look at @pierreharoche.bsky.social's last brief 👇

It is not just 🇺🇦 that needs 🇪🇺 security guarantees; it is 🇪🇺 that needs 🇺🇦 protection. 👉My latest policy brief for Delors Institute 'Towards an EU–Ukraine alliance' institutdelors.eu/en/publicati...

Good phone calls with defence ministers of 🇬🇧 and 🇨🇦. Told them our €150bn loans programme SAFE is open to EU & non-EU collaboration. It invites friends to build deeper defence industry partnerships of mutual benefit with us.

J’espère que ce ne sera pas ça le plan 🇬🇧🇫🇷. On sait depuis la guerre d’ex Yougoslavie que les casques bleus ne protègent rien du tout et sont même un boulet car ils risquent d’être pris en otage. 👉En PLUS des garanties de sécurité oui, mais pas à la place. www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

Plutôt que de parler de garanties de sécurité pour 🇺🇦, il faudrait parler d’alliance 🇪🇺🇺🇦.

It is crucial for 🇪🇺 not to hesitate when it comes to strengthening European defence. That's why we are proposing the #ReArm Europe package & finalising the White Paper, that will give the EU guidance on how to ramp up production in 🇪🇺 & increase our defence readiness. #PDSF2025

At #PDSF with 🇪🇺 Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius, Admiral Cavo Dragone, Chair of #NATO Military Committee & Admiral Vandier, NATO SACT, taking about the way forward: 👉 new 🇪🇺 budgetary instruments 👉 European pillar within NATO 👉 old & new technologies

👉58% of 🇫🇷 people in favour of increased military aid to 🇺🇦; 👉64% in favour of 🇫🇷 protecting other 🇪🇺 countries under its “nuclear umbrella”; 👉65% approve deploying the 🇫🇷 army to Ukraine. www.odoxa.fr/sondage/ukra...

Some thoughts from Brussels. Europe is awoken and believes America is all but gone. As such huge efforts on defense funding from EU, Germany, and others. This is real. BUT... Europe is still not reckoning yet with its major structural security problem: No one does European defense. 1/

In this sense, US selling out Europe but staying in the Alliance might be the worst of all worlds for Europe, as it makes NATO organizationally defunct. Like an OSCE. Thus, Europe needs to begin seriously think about how to structurally defend itself as Europe without NATO. 7/

La dissuasion nucléaire 🇷🇺 couvre ses alliés et des dizaines de bombes 🇷🇺 sont stationnées sur le territoire 🇧🇾. 👉 Probablement, #Poutine est un imbécile qui a renoncé à la souveraineté nationale et à ses instruments régaliens. apnews.com/article/russ...

C’est le moment de (re)lire le livre de @pierreharoche.bsky.social, « Dans la forge du monde »

We are the Europeans. Let us live up to this heritage. Let us stop hoping that the rest of the world will solve our problems for us. Let us forge our own destiny. So that our children will remember our generation as those who passed on a Europe that was free, safe and strong.

European summitry next week needs to get real. Time for Eurobonds, move on frozen Russian assets, and what Europe really needs is a rapid Draghi-like plan to reorganize itself on defense.

Okay, I went there. It's time to reconsider a European army. I outline what it could look like. Hint: It doesn't replace Europe's big militaries but serves as a pan-Euro compliment. I sketch out some ideas what it could look like. It is time for some out of box thinking. www.csis.org/analysis/why...

Well, as America implodes from within, it’d be a *great* time for the EU to finally do official Eurobonds. It’d likely be very attractive as a safe haven given the destruction of US hegemony & spillover to US T-bills. Bonus: Eurobonds can finance a desperately needed European security build up! 🇪🇺💶 ‼️

Your dignity honors the bravery of the Ukrainian people. Be strong, be brave, be fearless. You are never alone, dear President Zelenskyy. We will continue working with you for a just and lasting peace.

Why do we need a strong 🇪🇺🇺🇦 alliance? Because of this 👇 - Scenario 1 (without alliance): 🇷🇺 can attack 🇪🇺 by concentrating all its forces in the north. - Scenario 2 (with alliance): if 🇷🇺 attacks in the north, 🇺🇦 can attack in the south ➡️ 🇷🇺 has to fight on 2 fronts.

"Si un jour la Russie attaque l’UE au nord, il ne faudrait pas qu’elle puisse profiter de la neutralité de l’Ukraine au sud pour concentrer ses forces." L'Ukraine, une chance pour l'armée européenne? Par @pierreharoche.bsky.social ds @lemonde.fr www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...

Rubio explains the rationale behind 🇺🇸🇷🇺 rapprochement : “Having a situation where 🇷🇺 are permanently a junior partner to 🇨🇳, having to do whatever 🇨🇳 says to do because they are dependent on them, I don’t think that’s a good outcome” 👉 #ReverseKissinger www.breitbart.com/politics/202...