3 in 4 say Britain's best days are behind us. The most common description of the country is 'Broken' & 53% think the next generation will have a worse life than our parents. What do Brits think has gone wrong? How do they want to fix it? And who are the 7 new tribes of Britain?

Nine years ago today, Jo Cox MP was murdered while she was representing and engaging with people in her constituency in Yorkshire in the North of England.

As we enter last few hours of polling a look at what we think *relative to current polling* might be 'good' or 'bad' night for each main party in terms of council seats (obviously objectively it is a bad night for parties losing lots of seats and good for those gaining).

@luketryl.bsky.social on @sophyridge.bsky.social last night, discussing the similarities and differences between Conservative and Reform voters.

Last night, @luketryl.bsky.social appeared on Newsnight and shared some insights from our polling and focus groups, describing the 'grim' public mood in the wake of this week's Spring Statement.

Our @moreincommonuk.bsky.social VI on spring statement day has a Tory lead of 1, in another 3-way statistical tie. Meanwhile keep an eye on Greens who hit a high of 10% 🌳 CON 25% (+1) 🌹 LAB 24% (-1) ➡️ REF UK 24% (-1) 🔶 LIB DEM 12% (nc) 🌍 GREEN 10% (+3) 🟡 SNP 3% (+1) N=2077 |22-24/3 |change w/15-17

Lots of the debate about disability and benefits takes place in the absence of voices of disabled people. At end of last year @moreincommonuk.bsky.social polled over 1,000 disabled Britons, weighting the results to be representative of Britain’s disabled population. Here's what we found.

We spent the start of this week in Merthyr Tydfil & Dudley two top Reform targets talking to voters in a series of focus groups to try find out how real Farage’s party’s momentum is. I’ve written about the deep disillusionment we found in today’s @theguardian.com t.co/ojCSShTu1K

Yesterday, @luketryl.bsky.social appeared on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg to discuss the strength of public support for Ukraine across Europe and the United States, and what this might mean for Keir Starmer's leadership.

🆕 🧵 @moreincommonuk.bsky.social and New Britain research for @neunion.bsky.social finds Gen Z Britons aged 16-24 think social media has become more addictive, more negative and less safe for young people in last 5 years and by 3-1 they think social media does more harm than good for under 16s.

3 point bump gives Labour a lead in our latest @moreincommonuk.bsky.social voting intention, though top 3 remain virtually tied. Lib Dems slip back 🌹 LAB 26% (+3) 🌳 CON 24% (-1) ➡️ REF UK 24% (nc) 🔶 LIB DEM 13% (-3) 🌍 GREEN 7% (-1) 🟡 SNP 2% (-1) N = 2,010 | Dates: 28/2 - 2/3 | Change w 21-24/2

Obviously just one poll but beyond this i'm interested *if* there is an opportunity for the Lib Dems to make themselves as a repository for left liberal discontent with Labour as they did 2001-2005 or if their current seat profile makes that harder and Iraq was a unique factor.

Last week, @luketryl.bsky.social joined BBC Radio 4 to discuss public opinion on the UK’s role in supporting Ukraine.

🧵 With the 3rd anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and as Starmer prepares to head to the US & pledges new defence spending. New @moreincommonuk.bsky.social polling on how Britons feel about Donald Trump's negotiations over Ukraine? Angry & Worried are the top responses then good & scared.

You can read an excellent summary of the report by @kiranstacey.bsky.social in the @theguardian.com here: www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Only a small shift in this week’s @moreincommonuk.bsky.social voting intention but enough to give Reform their first 1 point lead from us. ➡️ REF UK 26% (+1) 🌹 LAB 25% (-) 🌳 CON 23% (-) 🔶 LIB DEM 12% (-) 🌍 GREEN 7% (-1) 🟡 SNP 2% (-) N = 4,101 Dates: 14 - 18 Feb, Change w 7-10 Feb

🆕 @moreincommonuk.bsky.social research with the New Britain project for @neunion.bsky.social finds three quarters of Britons support increasing the age at which young people can access social media to 16. Support spans all age groups and supporters of all parties.

Margin of error changes in latest @moreincommonuk.bsky.social poll mean again it's a virtual 3-way tie between Labour, Reform & Conservatives 🌹LAB 25% (+1) ➡️ REF UK 25% (nc) 🌳CON 24% (-1) 🔶 LIB DEM 13% ( +1) 🌍 GREEN 7% (nc) 🟡 SNP 2% (-1) N = 2,009 Dates: 24 - 27 Jan, Change w 20 Jan

More in Common is honored to welcome Dame Sara Khan DBE to the Global Board of More in Common. Dame Sara is a leading British expert and policy specialist on counter-extremism, societal resilience and human rights.

Our latest @moreincommonuk.bsky.social voting intention in today's Playbook finds a virtual 3 way tie with 1 point separating the Tories, Reform and Labour. 🌳 Con 25% (-1) 🌹 Lab 24% (-2) ➡️ Ref UK 24% (+2) 🔶 Lib Dem 12% (-) 🌍 Green 8% (+1) 🟡 SNP 3% (-) N= 2102, 10-13/1 Change w 8/1

In our first @moreincommonuk.bsky.social voting intention of 2025, Labour & Tories remain at 26%. Reform is at 22% - the highest figure we’ve recorded for them 🌳CON 26% (nc) 🌹LAB 26% (nc) ➡️ REF UK 22% (+3) 🔶 LIB DEM 12% ( -1) 🌍 GREEN 7% (-1) 🟡 SNP 3% (nc) N = 2,011 6 - 8 Jan, Change w 10 Dec

Yesterday @conlethburns.bsky.social joined Henry Bonsu on Times Radio to discuss the implications of our newest MRP.

In our first MRP of the new Parliament, we reveal a dramatic shift in Britain's electoral dynamics. You can explore the results here: www.moreincommon.org.uk/latest-insig...

🧵 @thetimes.com covers our new MRP from @moreincommonuk.bsky.social . It suggests the electoral fragmentation we saw in July has accelerated & that five parties could now secure over 30 seats in the Commons with FPTP struggling to cope. www.thetimes.com/article/2c84...

Final @moreincommonuk.bsky.social voting intention of 2024 is a dead tie between Labour & the Conservatives. Two big parties on just 52% between them 🌳CON 26% (-2) 🌹LAB 26% (nc) ➡️ REF UK 19% (-1) 🔶 LIB DEM 13% ( nc) 🌍 GREEN 8% (nc) 🟡 SNP 3% (nc) N =2,432 Dates: 6-10/12 Change w 2/12

New polling with @moreincommonuk.bsky.social @luketryl.bsky.social shows that even Christmas shopping isn't pushing people towards spending in their department stores.

🧵Some more festive @moreincommonuk.bsky.social polling also featuring on The Rest is Entertainment this week. Which is Britain's favourite chocolate selection mix? By a narrow margin it's Celebrations that come out on top, edging Quality Street with Roses at the bottom of the pack.

As featured on Rest is Entertainment our @moreincommonuk.bsky.social polling of how Brits favourite Christmas films breakdown by voting intention. Labour holds landslide leads with fans of Elf & the Grinch. Tories storm ahead with Love Actually and Reform are ahead by 5 points with fans of Scrooged.

Quite a striking gap: Private sector workers are 16 pts more likely to say they are satisfied with their work lives than people who work in the public sector

Top issues: Top 4 remain the same, but climate & environment jumps back up to fifth. 💷 Cost of Living 61% 🏥NHS 43% 🛃 Levels of immigration* 29% 🛥️ Channel crossings* 22% ⛅️ Climate 20% (*As people sometimes ask: combined 40% pick at least one of crossings or immigration)

Our latest voting intention poll finds the Tory lead over Labour at 2 points, with Reform in third up to 21. 🌳CON 28% (-2) 🌹LAB 26% (-1) ➡️ REF UK 21% (+3) 🔶 LIB DEM 13% ( +1) 🌍 GREEN 7% (-1) 🟡 SNP 3% (+1) N = 2,002; Dates: 29/11 - 02/12; Change with 27/11

Ahead of Keir Starmer's speech today, @luketryl.bsky.social appeared on Sky News to share new polling on what has cut through in Labour's first months in office, and how the public has responded.

Last night, @luketryl.bsky.social joined Andrew Marr on LBC to discuss Labour's first few months in office. You can listen to the full clip here: shorturl.at/5paVD

Over the weekend we asked the public whether they thought Parliament made the right or wrong decision by voting in favour of the assisted dying bill - 62% said right decision and only 16% opposed. A short 🧵 of other reactions from the public to the Bill's passage...

🧵Is Reform doing disproportionately well among young men? For now I think there is a reason to be sceptical. Looking across our last 3 polls, you see 1) 18-24 year old men are less likely than men on average to vote Reform 2) Only 2 points more likely than 18-24 year old women

Our latest More in Common_ voting intention finds the Conservative lead remains at 3 points, but both main parties gain. Tories hit 30 for first time in a year. 🌳CON 30% (+2) 🌹LAB 27% (+2) ➡️ REF UK 18% (-1) 🔶 LIB DEM 12% ( -1) 🌍 GREEN 8% (nc) 🟡 SNP 2%(-1) N = 1,972; Dates: 26,27/11; Change w 21/11

🧵More in Common have spent the past few months polling & talking to people about assisted dying, we've shared our findings in today's Sunday Times. Speaking to people on both sides has been some of the most moving opinion work I've been involved in. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...