Ryan Dack
@ryandack.bsky.social
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Teacher, UCI Alumnus, and South Orange County Community College Board Vice President. RyanDack.com
Shocked that gamblers don’t actually know anything. Shocked to my core. Call prediction market “data” what it really is: A Gambler’s Sentiment Index.
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5 days ago
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Big day for people using gambling sites as sources of data to tell how a race is going
5 days ago
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Another L for the "wisdom of crowds" crowd. Ignore this trash!
7 days ago
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reposted by
Ryan Dack
Matt Pearce
17 days ago
what the fuck are we doing
www.wsj.com/business/med...
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Preach!
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19 days ago
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High-speed visual of gamblers being loudly wrong until they get punched in the face by reality. Stop using betting markets as reportable "data." It’s worthless.
19 days ago
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Merry Christmas! 🎄 My present to all this year is access to high resolution versions of the maps I've posted in the last month. Enjoy! 🎁
drive.google.com/drive/folder...
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Prop 50 Maps - Google Drive
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1iyGmDXqx5YnhCO_DTvXzEYNsrfF0keY8
3 months ago
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Finally, Prop 50 results by precinct in Orange County. The largest Yes margin came from the UCI student housing communities precinct (Camino del Sol) 96.5% of voters voted Yes on Prop 50 The largest No margin came from a gated community in Laguna Niguel along Morning Dove 84.6% voted No
3 months ago
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Prop 50 results by Orange County Cities and CDPs
3 months ago
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Prop 50 results by old Congressional District
3 months ago
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Political censorship has no place in journalism. Shame on Bari Weiss and CBS News for killing this segment.
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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Prop 50 by County Supervisor District I wonder if the Republicans on the BOS who drew this map realize they created a dummymander
politicaldictionary.com/words/dummym...
4 months ago
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Prop 50 results by State Senate District Steven Choi is really lucky.
4 months ago
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Prop 50 results by Orange County Assembly District All results are from Orange County only (I'm sure AD 74 as a whole is actually quite a bit closer due to the San Diego portion not being represented here)
4 months ago
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Prop 50 results by city in Orange County
4 months ago
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Fashion Island, Newport Beach Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 256 (34.0%) No: 498 (66.0%) US President (2024) Harris: 380 (35.3%) Trump: 677 (63.0%) Despite a modest shift away from Trump in 2024, Fashion Island/Newport Center moved back towards the president only one year in.
4 months ago
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Balboa Island, Newport Beach Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 404 (31.9%) No: 861 (68.1%) US President (2024) Harris: 585 (34.7%) Trump: 1,077 (63.8%) Median home price: $4.4 million Extremely wealthy communities continue to move towards Trump, in contrast to every other demographic group.
4 months ago
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Los Rios Historic District, San Juan Capistrano Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 204 (75.6%) No: 66 (24.4%) US President (2024) Harris: 253 (62.2%) Trump: 150 (38.9%) This precinct shifted 23 pts to the right from 2020 to 2024 and has shift back (and then some) This is 90% Hispanic precinct in South OC
4 months ago
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Little Saigon (Bolsa and Magnolia), Westminster Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 667 (55.0%) No: 547 (45.0%) US President (2024) Harris: 818 (42.8%) Trump: 1,063 (55.7%) This precinct had already shifted towards dems from 2020 -> 2024 (1.9 dem shift). This Vietnamese community is worth paying attention to.
4 months ago
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Shady Canyon, Irvine Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 124 (34.9%) No: 231 (65.1%) US President (2024) Harris: 214 (36.1%) Trump: 355 (60.0%) The median home price in this neighborhood is about $9.1 million
4 months ago
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Westminster, California Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 13,084 (52.8%) No: 11,703 (47.2%) US President (2024) Harris: 16,506 (44.3%) Trump: 19,850 (53.2%) Big Viet shift (if you can call it that) against Trump (-14.5 points)
4 months ago
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Santa Ana, California Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 45,021 (75.6%) No: 14,545 (24.4%) US President (2024) Harris: 48,934 (60.4%) Trump: 29,688 (36.6%) Big shift with hispanics going on here
4 months ago
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How did Orange County vote on Prop 50? Here's a breakdown by city. Unsurprisingly, South County is still conservative, but not as conservative as you might think!
@vanceulrich.bsky.social
4 months ago
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Standing before IVC’s 40th graduating class, I echoed words that have guided me for years, from my personal hero, Conan O’Brien: “If you work really hard, and you’re kind, amazing things will happen.” In a world that often feels uncertain, that truth still holds power. Congratulations Lasers!
10 months ago
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reposted by
Ryan Dack
LAist
11 months ago
Betty Martinez Franco is Irvine’s newest councilmember for District 5. Franco told LAist her closest opponent, former councilmember Anthony Kuo, conceded via a voicemail wishing her well, which he confirmed in a statement to the Orange County Register.
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Irvine has a new councilmember. Here's what they plan to do
The top vote-getter told LAist the second-place candidate called to concede the race.
https://ow.ly/RQkf50VCI23
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reposted by
Ryan Dack
Laurel Davila
11 months ago
#BettyForIrvine
#D5
#Irvine
SHE WON!!! We are so happy to have her represent us! Thank you to all who helped with her campaign! Congratulations Betty!
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The mask is finally off in Irvine's special election. Anthony is no moderate. Keep this guy off the dais. Vote for Betty Martinez Franco
@laureldavilacpa.bsky.social
11 months ago
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@laureldavilacpa.bsky.social
Thank you for your support!
about 1 year ago
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When someone shows you who they are, believe them the first time.
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
Ryan Dack
Laurel Davila
about 1 year ago
For those of you who are registered Democrats in
#Irvine
#CostaMesa
#Tustin
#AD73
please vote for these super progressives for
#ADEM
. Registration ends on 1/31. I wish I could tell you how hard they have worked in our Democratic Party Club to keep our area blue!
@demsofirvine.bsky.social
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On Monday, I was sworn in to serve a full term on the South Orange County Community College District Board of Trustees. To my surprise and great honor, my fellow board members nominated and elected me to serve as Board Vice President.
over 1 year ago
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Happy Thanksgiving!
over 1 year ago
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you reached the end!!
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