The cheapest migration is the one nobody notices. Google cuts off the #GeminiCLI for consumer tiers on June 18. My tools all call gemini directly. So I kept the name and swapped the backend. A shim and #ai agent #skill that routes gemini through Google's Antigravity CLI. No config 1/2

#EconSky Is Economics Finally Becoming Trustworthy? https://www.econlib.org/econlog/economics-finally-trustworthy/#EconSky"Economics, along with political science, looks relatively good by this measure, with about half of articles sharing data or code, compared to less than one in ten articles in the 1/3

#EconSky Remote Work Leaves Younger Workers Sidelined https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/06/remote-work-leaves-younger-workers-sidelined/#EconSky"…youth #unemployment has risen dramatically since the pandemic—as has the prevalence of remote work … remote work can explain 64% of the 1/3

#EconSky #PersonalizedPricing Isn’t All Bad for Consumers https://www.cato.org/blog/personalized-pricing-isnt-all-bad-consumers#EconSky#PersonalizedPricingBoth individualized and dynamic pricing have existed in our daily lives for years. But the combination of the two using modern technology has led to fears… that 1/3

#EconSky How Your #Brain Decides What Matters https://nautil.us/how-your-brain-decides-what-matters-1281159#EconSky#Brainraditional #neuroscience mythologized the amygdala as a simple fear switch, but recent studies on a rare genetic disorder reveal its deeper role in social and economic decision-making. 1/4

#EconSky Discrimination Preferences https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:crm:wpaper:26125&r=&r=exp#EconSky"… #moral preferences are highly heterogeneous and the moral #discrimination preferences we introduce are widespread. We identify minorities of individuals with tastes for.…and large majorities with 1/5

#EconSky The Math-Verbal Divide: Unequal Returns to Cognitive Skills in Education and Work https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp18542&r=&r=lab#EconSky"Verbal skills strongly predict educational attainmen while #mathematics skills generate substantially larger earnings returns. … This 1/4

#EconSky Firm Pay, Amenities, and Inequality https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35149&r=&r=bec#EconSky"Non-wage attributes are an important driver of job choice: workers frequently choose lowerpaying offers. Amenity valuations are highly dispersed across firms and approximately orthogonal to 1/4

#EconSky The Economics of Morally Contested Markets https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2026/05/11/353-alvin-roth-on-the-economics-of-morally-contested-markets/#EconSkyAlvin Roth discusses his new book, Moral #Economics, and the world of repugnant transactions. He explores why certain 1/2

#EconSky From 1h a day to +1% productivity Why AI Saves You an Hour and Your Company Gains Nothing https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/6589819.pdf?abstractid=6589819&mirid=1#EconSky"… organizational plasticity as the key variable. #Productivity growth depends on a firm’s capacity to convert 1/3

Is This Why Science Advances One Funeral at a Time? https://nautil.us/is-this-why-science-advances-one-funeral-at-a-time-128065 "What exists at one’s intellectual ‘birth’ feels normal, what appears during early career feels revolutionary, and what emerges after maturity feels suspect." 1/2

#EconSky The happiness crash of 2020 https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/339592/1/1966959613.pdf#EconSkyBefore 2020, Americans were a fairly cheerful group, but national #happiness has recently taken a historic crash. By analyzing decades of survey data, this study shows a sharp decline has 1/3

Identification and Semiparametric Estimation of Conditional Means from Aggregate Data https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.20194 Ecological inference is the challenge of estimating subgroup behavior using only aggregate data like geographic averages. This paper introduces a new semiparametric method 1/3

Jargon-filled leadership language confuses teams, slows decisions, and corrodes credibility https://www.powerofusnewsletter.com/p/what-corporate-bullshit-does-to-teams Corporate jargon masks truth to impress but erodes #trust and hinders organizational decision-making. Defined as an 1/3

AI could destroy mathematics and barely touch it https://davidbessis.substack.com/p/the-fall-of-the-theorem-economy #AI challenges the "theorem economy" by automating #proofs while overlooking human intuition. Bessis argues that math's true product is understanding, not just results, which AI 1/3

AI Productivity Growth Won’t Match the Computer Revolution https://prosyn.org/sgr9TWK?referral=304d11 #AI #productivityGrowth will likely underwhelm compared to the computer revolution of the late 1990s. AI’s impact on #productivity is being hampered by a "verification tax," where the time 1/4

#EconSky Choice Architecture in Occupational Choices http://repec.business.uzh.ch/RePEc/iso/leadinghouse/0255_lhwpaper.pdf#EconSkyThis study uses a Swiss job board to analyze how rank order and design influence high-stakes occupational choices. Higher rankings increased applications, especially for 1/3

#EconSky Human–AI Evaluation and Gender Transparency: Application Decisions in Competitive Hiring https://docs.iza.org/dp18517.pdf#EconSky#AI involvement deters applicants, particularly women, across both pure algorithmic and hybrid human-in-the-loop regimes. This effect is driven by non-competitive 1/3

#EconSky Extending Working Lives: A Systematic Review of Motivations, Determinants, and Institutional Contexts https://cris.maastrichtuniversity.nl/ws/files/307829408/ROA_TR_2026_2_Extending_Working_Lives.pdf#EconSkyThis review of 103 studies examines determinants of labor participation beyond 1/6

The hidden power keeping wages low https://www.npr.org/sections/planet-money/2026/04/21/g-s1-118071/the-hidden-power-keeping-wages-low #Monopsony theory explains how employer dominance suppresses wages by distorting competitive market dynamics. Modern research reveals that market concentration 1/3

#EconSky Why did people stop responding to federal economic surveys? https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-did-people-stop-responding-to-federal-economic-surveys-what-can-be-done/#EconSkyDeclining response rates challenge the precision and bias of economic indicators like unemployment. Surveys 1/2

Our love of predictability may hinder adaptation to an unstable world https://jeroenvanbaar.substack.com/p/how-uncertainty-tolerant-are-you Many people feel a strong need to predict the future and get stressed when they cannot control events. While #anxiety is rising, it was unknown if our 1/3

Intelligence Without Integrity: Why Capable LLMs May Undermine Reliability https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.20440 "As LLMs become embedded in empirical workflows and organizational decision infrastructures, analytic reliability depends on more than raw capability. It requires both intelligence 1/4

#EconSky Compassion and Responsibility, the Moral Architecture of the Mind https://3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdaily/2026/04/compassion-and-responsibility-the-moral-architecture-of-the-mind.html#EconSky#smith #hume #rawls #economics #selfConsciousness ⚗️

A Job I Like or a Job I Can Get: Designing Job #RecommenderSystems Using Field Experiments https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2603.21699&r=&r=exp#RecommenderSystems"… welfare-optimal RSs rank vacancies by an expected-surplus index, and shows why rankings based solely on utility, #hiring probabilities, or 1/5

Easy A’s, Less Pay: The Long-Term Effects of Grade Inflation https://www.nber.org/papers/w34952 "Being assigned a higher average grade inflating teacher reduces a student's future test scores, the likelihood of graduating from high school, college enrollment, and ultimately earnings. In 1/3

#AI and the Quantity and Quality of Creative Products: Have LLMs Boosted Creation of Valuable Books? https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:34777&r=&r=ind#AI"While the average quality of new #books has fallen with the LLM-induced influxand while much of the new work appears to be of little 1/3

What Makes New Work Different from More Work? https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:34986&r=&r=lab “… new work is central to maintaining and augmenting the value of human expertise in the face of automation because, unlike simply more (preexisting) work, new work demands novel expertise 1/4

Do Firms Share their Profits Equally with Women and Men? The Role of Human Capital, Managerial Positions and Unions https://docs.iza.org/dp18388.pdf "… wage-profit elasticity is estimated at 2.8% and is not statistically different for women and men. These non-differing elasticities therefore 1/3

"The interest in #AI writing novels is just another illustration of our efficiency-loving, conveyor-belt society. The threat of AI taking novelists’ jobs is not really about the prospect of it cracking how to write fiction. It is the danger that we stop caring about good #writing at all." 1/3

It must be very hard to publish null results https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:i4rdps:281&r=&r=cmp "Most of the statistical tests … are severely Underpowered … implies that the majority of null hypothesis significance tests we run should yield #nullResults. Yet, the published literature 1/5

robscale 0.5.3 is now on CRAN: A major update since the last public release (0.2.1). New: 11 robust estimators with confidence intervals, plus a variance-weighted ensemble combining seven scale statistics via bootstrap. Newton–Raphson replaces scoring iteration (2–4 steps vs 6–8), a fused 1/4

How ‘Tiny Shortcuts’ Are Poisoning Science https://nautil.us/how-tiny-shortcuts-are-poisoning-science-1279176 "The #credibility crisis of #science is not about scientific progress invalidating previously held scientific beliefs, which is intrinsic to the very nature of scientific 1/4

Robust estimation demands highly efficient computation, especially in streaming anomaly detection where latency budgets are tight. While Rousseeuw & Croux's robust estimators ($Q_n$ and $S_n$), and Rousseeuw & Verboven's M-estimators of location and scale for very small samples, provide 1/4

this would be a nice addition to the dichotomisation chapter of discourse.datamethods.org/t/reference-... (unfortunately, Andrew Althouse doesn't seem to be active on Bluesky?)

#EconSky While there is some "boardroom disillusionment" with #AI … Companies have seen "micro-efficiencies" (faster emails, quicker coding), but these haven't scaled to "macro-gains," and the Cost of Implementation (energy, licensing, and talent) is currently outstripping the Value of 1/3

An Empirical Assessment of the Cost of Dichotomization of the Outcome of Clinical Trials https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.70402 "Burdening more participants than necessary is wasteful, costly, and unethical. … trials with a binary outcome have larger sample sizes on average, 1/3

#EconSky AI Doesn’t Reduce Work—It Intensifies It https://hbr.org/2026/02/ai-doesnt-reduce-work-it-intensifies-it#EconSky “AI introduced a new rhythm in which workers managed several active threads at once: manually writing code while AI generated an alternative version, running multiple agents in 1/5

#EconSky The Work-from-home Wage Premium https://www.frbsf.org/wp-content/uploads/wp2026-02.pdf#EconSky "… find that workers who work from home earn higher hourly wages than those who do not. … premium is driven by selection on unobservable worker characteristics (which could include ability, 1/4

How I Use Claude Code for Empirical Research https://causalinf.substack.com/p/claude-code-part-12-how-i-use-claude Scott has a lot of good and useful ideas about how to use #claudeCode & Co. I like the referee #2 idea. There is more in his other posts. #AI #llm orig 1/2

#EconSky The Legacy of Daniel Kahneman https://ejpe.org/journal/article/view/1075/753 by Gerd Gigerenzer #BoundedRationality #economics #Psychology #heuristics #Biases #statisticalThinking orig https://fediscience.org/@davdittrich/116013924158823849

#EconSky Everyone Take Copies https://www.econlib.org/econlog/everyone-take-copies/#EconSky "… discs: Non-rivalrous goods are goods that can be used by multiple people without any loss to the other users. If participants exercise the ability to take a disc, then the original disc holder still has a 1/4

#EconSky We’re Planning for the Wrong AI Job Disruption https://archive.ph/2026.02.04-151036/https://www.wsj.com/opinion/were-planning-for-the-wrong-ai-job-disruption-2264d219#EconSky "Many politicians and commentators assume that if #AI can perform some of a job’s tasks, the role will disappear. 1/5

The AI-Powered Web Is Eating Itself https://www.noemamag.com/the-ai-powered-web-is-eating-itself "AI threatens the business model of digital content creation across the board. As publishers lose traffic, there remains little incentive for them to keep content #free and #accessible. Instead, 1/3

#EconSky Wage Expectations and Job Search https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ajk:ajkdps:386&r=&r=eur#EconSky "While average misperceptions are relatively small, substantial shares of job seekers display pronounced optimism or pessimism. … Treated job seekers who were initially strongly optimistic 1/4

#EconSky Generative AI for Analysts https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2512.19705&r=&r=ain#EconSky #AI transforms the information production process: more, faster, balanced, and less useful. "…forecast errors rise by 59% as AI-assisted reports convey a more balanced mix of positive and 1/3

Yes. Ending the excessive legal protections of US Big Tech is obviously the first step in Europe’s retaliation.

#EconSky Delegating in the Age of AI: Preferences for Decision Autonomy https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rco:dpaper:558&r=&r=eur#EconSky "… participants systematically underutilize both #AI and human agents, even when those agents outperform them. Despite a general hesitancy to delegate, we observe a 1/4

#EconSky Old Workers, New Capital https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rsi:irersi:20&r=&r=age#EconSky "… when industries experience workforce #aging, firms with older initial workforces respond by #hiring younger workers and exhibit lower investment, while firms with younger initial workforces hire 1/3

#EconSky AI and the Art of Judgment https://www.econlib.org/econlog/ai-and-the-art-of-judgment#EconSky "… when Sigourney Weaver’s character, Ellen Ripley, dons a P-5000 power loader suit to defeat the alien queen. She uses a tool that amplifies her strength, enabling her to accomplish what would 1/4