Patriots are back in the Super Bowl! That was a great AFC Championship game!

Touchdown Patriots! 7-7!

Shoveling done! Now time for the AFC Championship Game! Let’s go Pats!!’

Did I read the climo report correctly - OKC airport has officially recorded 1.8” of snow from this storm?

Nothing says Oklahoma winter storm quite like having waves of sleet and sleet/snow mix with temperatures of 9-10 F.

Sleet falling in S OKC / Moore at 6:09 PM.

Flight on Sunday from OKC to HOU for the AMS meeting already cancelled by Southwest. Rebooked for Monday afternoon - hopefully I can get out then. 🫤

UPDATE: The Travel Alert is out and Southwest is now allowing passengers to change their flights free of charge. HOWEVER, since I booked my flight through @sapcommunity.bsky.social Concur, I have to change it through Concur. When I do that, Concur wants to charge $160 for the change. 🙃 Advice?

Hey, Southwest Airlines, when are you going to issue a Travel Alert for the winter storm and allow your passengers to change their flights?

I’m not sure if I am ever going to be able to get to Houston for the AMS meeting, if these accumulations actually happen.

We are 5-6 days away from a potential winter storm in Oklahoma. Run to run variability is very high right now with this storm, including timing, track, and intensity. Nevertheless, this map is making the rounds on social media. Does this forecast accurately reflect the storm or the science?

Patriots!!!!

Wild day of playoff football!

Academics - Anyone using Lockdown Browser in your courses for online exams? If so, can you share your experience with it? Also, do you use Respondus Monitor with your students? Thanks!

I am finding myself listening much more to "Lite Rock" stations over pop or other music stations. I think I am officially now "middle-aged." :)

Diana Ross killed it tonight!

Just your good ol’ normal December 27 in Oklahoma.

Someone didn’t let OU know that playoff football is more than one quarter and a half…

Boomer!

Happy to have contributed to this story by NPR on the Trump Administration's unfortunate decision to dismantle NCAR. www.npr.org/2025/12/19/n...

For those of you who still have to get a gift for that academic in your life: publishorperish.games?srsltid=AfmB...

A "Dear Colleague" letter is coming soon... www.nsf.gov/news/intent-...

Exclusive: The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.

Doesn’t get more New Orleans than turtle soup for dinner!

Cold start for my trip from OKC to New Orleans for #AGU25.

Going to #AGU25 next week in New Orleans? If so, be sure to stop by two presentations from the OU Applied Climate Dynamics Group! (1/4)

Lots of discussion about the #PolarVortex recently. In terms of wave reflection, after some activity this week, conditions will not be favorable for the rest of the month, likely meaning a -PNA / warm up pattern across N America. Possibilities for wave reflection return in early Jan 2026. #S2S

Any Oura ring wearers in my friend group? If so, a couple of questions: 1) How "snug" is "snug" when you wear the ring? 2) On which finger do you where it? Dominant or non-dominant hand? 3) Do you like it? Thanks!

Not gonna lie - I am a little nervous about AGU next week in New Orleans. Not necessarily for me personally (though I don't want to have to see any of these raids anywhere), but for some of my fellow colleagues. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/08/u...

A chilly -12°F for a low this morning on the campus of my alma mater Lyndon State (now Vermont State University at Lyndon). atmos.northernvermont.edu/weather-data...

The Warn-on-Forecast team at CIWRO is expanding! A position is opening for anyone who is interested in improving fire weather warning guidance with WoFS. You’ll get to work and collaborate with some pretty cool folks on the team, including yours truly. More info below, and feel free to share!

This was a fun podcast to do! Thanks to Mira Shah for inviting me on to chat about my work and passion! Check out the Signals of Change podcast! open.spotify.com/show/0BgSGC4...

I say it every year and this year is no different: Dominic The Donkey is probably one of, if not the worst, Christmas song out there.

Join us today at 2:00 ET to hear Brett Sanders (UC Irvine) discuss significant biases in flood hazard mapping from data sources and modeling conventions. Scan the QR code for the Webex link and to add the webinar to your calendar! usclivar.org/webinars

Climate nerds! Make sure you have the newly updated NMME viewer from U. Miami RSMAS bookmarked! nmme.earth.miami.edu/figures/inde...

🚨CLIVAR Climate Risk Seminar today at 2 pm ET/1 pm CT/11 am PT🚨 Brett Sanders | University of California, Irvine | The Devil is in the Details: Significant Biases in Flood Hazard Mapping from Data Sources and Modeling Conventions urldefense.com/v3/__https:/...

A bit chilly in my office in the National Weather Center. 🙃

Some overnight freezing drizzle and lots of elevated services (bridges and overpasses) is making for a slow and precarious commute in OKC this morning. Precip is pretty much done but it will take a while for conditions to clear out on the roads.

This supports the evidence I have seen in the ECMWF and other sources as well. This also changes significantly the risk and duration of cold for North America.

File this under "Not the canonical response to major SSWs across much of the Northern Hemisphere." Much of Eurasia is forecast to be above average. In North America, the pattern looks more like strat reflection with MJO Phase 6-8 teleconnections mixed in. From the latest ECMWF weeklies. #S2S

The NH #PolarVortex is very weak right now, with a hint from the ECMWF of winds at 10 hPa, 60 N becoming slightly below zero m/s (i.e., turning easterly) for 1 day. Then, a very rapid strengthening thereafter. Whether this officially becomes a major SSW or not remains to be seen. #S2S

Record high today in OKC. Likely one tomorrow too. But, based on what I have seen, the stratosphere will have something to say about this warmth soon. Colder and potentially stormier conditions are on the horizon just near and after Thanksgiving. 🙂

Congratulations to my former PhD student Ollie Millin for the acceptance of this paper from his PhD dissertation! Millin, O. T., and J. C. Furtado, 2025: Subseasonal predictability of cold spells in the Central United States. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., in press.

Congratulations to my former MS student Katie Giannakopoulos for the acceptance of this paper from her MS thesis! Giannakopoulos, K., and J. C. Furtado, 2025: Examining the characteristics and evolution of wintertime temperature whiplash events in the United States Southern Plains. J. Climate

Drake Maye for MVP! #Patriots

Henderson gets the TD!!! #Patriots

Academic & science folks: Looking for a new laptop for work. Debating between a 13" MacBook Air vs. 14" MacBook Pro. Would configure them the same way (24 GB RAM, 1 TB SSD, 10 Core CPU, 10-Core GPU). I am only considering Apple, no PCs. :) Any thoughts or opinions on which to get? Thanks!