@kpdmusing.bsky.social
đ€ 27
đ„ 10
đ 15
First company post on BSky. Not a bad one to begin with.
bsky.app/profile/cass...
add a skeleton here at some point
29 days ago
0
1
0
New Blog - one what's visible, and what's not, in AI Progress.
about 1 month ago
1
0
0
New Blog!
open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/...
about 2 months ago
0
0
0
New Cassi Blog - rethinking decision-making.
3 months ago
1
1
0
Terrific fun yesterday talking about this with super smart and engaged audience and brilliant friends and colleagues on stage. Hope you enjoy it as much as I did!
open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/...
loading . . .
Prediction Centric Warfare
Notes and slides from my talk at DSEI yesterday.
https://open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/p/prediction-centric-warfare
4 months ago
0
1
0
reposted by
Shashank Joshi
4 months ago
A good explanation of why prediction is important to analysis. "Refusing to put numbers on beliefs does not make those beliefs less numerical; it merely makes them unaccountable."
cassiai.substack.com/p/everything...
loading . . .
Everything is Prediction
From Ramsey to Yudkowsky, the case for making our bets explicit.
https://cassiai.substack.com/p/everything-is-prediction?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=2817619&post_id=172519083&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=mzn87&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email
7
57
14
New blog: how we see the world at Cassi - decisions, tactics, strategy, perception, agency - everything is prediction.
cassiai.substack.com/p/everything...
4 months ago
0
0
0
Future Diplomat - New Cassi Blog Post out now.
open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/...
loading . . .
Future Diplomat
Reimagining Diplomacy for 2035.
https://open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/p/future-diplomat?r=e889y&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
4 months ago
0
1
0
âDonât be humble, youâre not that great.â Golda Meir I think. In that spirit đ. But maybe consider subscribing, or upgrading to a paid subscription.
cassiai.substack.com
5 months ago
0
1
0
reposted by
Shashank Joshi
5 months ago
I wrote this week on the way that intelligence services are increasingly experimenting with frontier labsâ AI modelsâthough still too slowly and conservatively, according to criticsâand how that might compare with Chinese agencies and institutions.
www.economist.com/internationa...
loading . . .
How spy agencies are experimenting with the newest AI models
America has better technology. But will China adopt it more quickly?
https://www.economist.com/international/2025/07/29/how-spy-agencies-are-experimenting-with-the-newest-ai-models
1
57
17
New blog. 'Just' an update on AI progress.
5 months ago
1
0
0
reposted by
Kobi Hackenburg
5 months ago
Today (w/
@ox.ac.uk
@stanford @MIT @LSE) weâre sharing the results of the largest AI persuasion experiments to date: 76k participants, 19⯠LLMs, 707 political issues. We examine âleversâ of AI persuasion: model scale, post-training, prompting, personalization, & more! đ§”:
10
109
75
reposted by
Council on Geostrategy
6 months ago
@kpdmusing.bsky.social
defines asymmetric advantage as âdemonstrably matching our strengths against otherâs weaknesses, in a way that we can show, probabilistically, will lead us to achieve a superior position if we are successfulâ
#BigAsk
#BritainsWorld
loading . . .
How should Britain define asymmetric advantage?
The Big Ask | No. 27.2025
https://www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-big-ask-27-2025
0
5
1
Pleased to have my take on the definition of asymmetric advantage in our National Security Strategy published by the Council on Geostrategy - and among a stellar cast offering their views.
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
0
1
0
reposted by
Shashank Joshi
7 months ago
Completely bonkers. âThe UK is expected to back Natoâs push for all members to spend at least 3.5 per cent of GDP on defence by 2035, despite Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmerâs hesitation over when the UK will get to 3 per cent.â
www.ft.com/content/d44e...
loading . . .
UK set to back Nato push for 3.5% of GDP defence spending by 2035
Commitment to new target expected at summit despite fresh questions for PM Keir Starmer over funding
https://www.ft.com/content/d44e2325-6eff-47cc-833e-62b1edbb1af6
8
110
15
Thoughts on the Review, and my worry we miss the opportunity it gives us.
open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/...
loading . . .
UK Strategic Defence Review (SDR): Reviewing the Review & the Reactionariat.
The good, bad and ugly.
https://open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/p/uk-strategic-defence-review-sdr-reviewing?r=e889y
7 months ago
0
0
0
reposted by
Kenneth Payne
8 months ago
Robustly demonstrated by now that you donât need a mind to have theory of mind:
add a skeleton here at some point
0
2
1
New blog post:
open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/...
loading . . .
Doctor Weirdlove or: âHow I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Love Skynetâ
Why betting on a crewed RAF Tempest is a dangerous gambleâand how ignoring the AGI debate leaves us strategically exposed
https://open.substack.com/pub/cassiai/p/doctor-weirdlove-or-how-i-stopped?r=e889y&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
8 months ago
0
1
1
reposted by
Matthew Harries
about 1 year ago
Reading
@milesbrundage.bsky.social
,
@kpdmusing.bsky.social
, wondering when to shout fire
0
5
1
you reached the end!!
feeds!
log in