Are we reaching a point where state succession is going to start being discussed? I am only saying discussed because the constitutional hurdles makes it almost impossible to happen. However, I truly believe that the division in the country is so deep that these conversations might start to happen

I am teaching for first time an online course this semester and a lot of the assignments are coding that is auto-graded with tests on the functions. So today I got an e-mail that read: “For assignment 2 part 1, in Bayesian, Part 2 Hierarchial Models, [1/2]

The grift is at another level. Damn. Again because this will not happen most probably, go check out and use @costplusdrugs.com that actually helps people with their meds

How does someone even put a tariff on movies?!

MAGA is upset that the #NFL picked Bad Bunny for their SB halftime show. They do not understand that even NFL sees the (monetary of course) benefit of being a global brand instead of being an isolationist

Can someone explain to me like I am 5, what are MAGAs trying to say/prove/claim with the whole J6 claim that it was a hoax. Are they claiming FBI did it?

It seems that I should have been desensitized to the timeline that we are living today but it is always amazing. People will just make shit up and push them like facts, then their followers will not even check on them being true and further push the lies. And then everyone lives in their own reality

Sickening

Speaking of national archives, since MAGA wants to get us back to the 50s here is a relevant video from the Dept of Defense back then that is still relevant today bsky.app/profile/kpel...

I can only imagine the social media posting palooza that we would have if there was a study like this but the democrats had won PA: websites.umich.edu/~wmebane/PA2...

Hmmm look at this video from the national archives and the Department of Defense (currently war I guess...). It is worth watching. If you are impatient for the build up go to 3:28 www.youtube.com/watch?v=vGAq...

It seems that Brandolini's law is now more relevant than anything. So I wrote about it through a #Bayesian (of course) lense medium.com/@kpelechrini...

When did we trade reason and thought for rumors and conspiracies. In everything that is happening people are vying to find the lowest likelihood event (that feeds a narrative)

The metaphor in this image is applicable to many parts of our society (not only in the US unfortunately). People want the easy way out but still want the recognition/results, the word effort is not in their vocabulary but instant gratification is at the top of the list. You can [1/3]

There are so many thoughts running through my head the last few weeks with the whole theater we are witnessing on many directions but the situation is so bad that I do not know where to even start from. And hence, I better not start. But one thing is for sure: WE ARE COOKED

People are living in two parallel worlds. Even worse, none of these worlds is the real one.

Man, we are sooooo cooked. It is unreal (I am talking about the country in general not the Steelers, but Steelers are cooked too)

It’s always good to have formal proof for what we’ve been suspecting. Maybe #LLM should become more Bayesian. Current LLMs produce point estimates for each token but they don’t fully quantify or propagate uncertainty through the generation process. www.computerworld.com/article/4059... [1/3]

I wrote about Bayesian thinking and using it for navigating a world of chaos. What is the probability US democracy will severely decline the next 5 years? medium.com/@kpelechrini...

Everyone that cares about their country should read this: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Go look up Horst Wessel, Reichstag fire and Ernst vom Rath.

If this ever goes into effect, say goodbye to American tech startup ecosystem. Because these are the companies that will be hurt the most. MAGA thinks that Americans will get more jobs if we do not have H1Bs. Well 2/3rds of H1Bs are related to computer science. CS-related [1/4]

Does the posterior of living in a simulation increase by the day? The only way all these crap are happening is by the way of a simulation full of bugs

Recently I have caught myself thinking many times where my mind would be if I did not have a family or my wife was not from the US. I think that I would have seriously considered moving. The question then would become -- and go where?! It seems that everywhere around the world the division [1/4]

Another projection from #MAGA. I mean nobody is surprised anymore but just to keep tabs

Just in case #NBA Europe includes new teams I am leaving this one here

I have lost the count on how many projections we have seen from #MAGA over just 8 months. From "Dems are pedos" to "they will start with those with > 100M income but continue to everyone" (which is what they are doing to starting with illegals and continuing to legal immigrants), to "Dems are >>

Greece broke through their glass ceiling in this #EuroBasket for sure. Giannis basically carried the team all tournament, but there were contributors in each game (most of the times). Spanoulis - imo - needs more experience at the tactical/rotations part but he can certainly [1/2]

Looking forward to a day full of #artificalintelligence #AI #sports and #Innovation at Columbia

Imagine hiring a flat earther to lead NASA. That’s the equivalent of what we did with putting RFK Jr in charge of our public health. - @drnadolsky.bsky.social

Is America and the world divided beyond repair? I do not know the answer but it certainly looks like it. One thing that I know for sure, is that it is unfortunate that the person in charge instead of trying to bring parties together over this tragedy will do exactly the opposite

This Friday I will participate at the Symposium on #AI & #Sports hosted by the Columbia-Dream Sports AI Innovation Center. Registration is free if you around! If not, there is also a remote option! sportsai.engineering.columbia.edu/events/sympo...

Unfortunately the division in this country runs at this moment so deep, that it has reached #SCOTUS... bsky.app/profile/kpel...

And here is a more detailed text on it: 412sportsanalytics.wordpress.com/2025/09/07/b...

Another way to think ab the situation is by looking at "how much better should the alternative model/hypothesis explain the observed data in order to be preferable"? So if we start with a prior belief that there is a 1% chance of LAC's FO having actually tried to circumvent the salary cap, [1/4]

Not that actual facts and data matter to people like RFK Jr but there is plenty of research that shows a 1-to-1 substitution effect btw autism diagnosis and intellectual disability diagnosis (in the past). Childhood schizophrenia, mental retardation, language disorder are some of the labels [1/3]

Don’t miss out the best #sportsanalytics conference out there!

The Kawhi story is fascinating. It is also an example of Bayesian inference. You can start with your prior belief of this being salary cap subversion, or something else. This prior most probably needs to be fairly small since this has not been a widespread phenomenon at any point in time. [1/7]

The only people that said that were people on Twitter, which is what you consider as "news" 🤷🏻‍♂️

Before the elections I had said that the top things I am afraid of if Trump wins is health care, and we see it unraveling right now. If I were an insurance company (not that I am sympathetic to them but…) I would be like “fine, you do not want a vax, don’t get it. But if you get sick of this [1/2]

I never understood why #FIBA commentators are very frequently bringing up 2-for-1. It does not work in FIBA because the clock does not stop after a make. Here is the best way to see it: 🇱🇹 had an ideal timing (for the #NBA) but 🇫🇮 ate up 8 seconds because of the FIBA clock rules… #EuroBasket2025

More offball movement from 🇬🇷 today w several possessions finishing with a cut. First pos here was a nice cut from Mitoglou who got his defender ball watching after aggressively shrinking the floor at the stack pnr. Second pos Panagiotis 'Sasha' Kalaitzakic to the cup! #HellasBasketball

Entering my year 20 in this country! Almost half of my life. What a journey it has been and despite the ups and downs I would certainly do it all over again if it were 2006. In 2025 many things in this country have changed, but I feel that everywhere around the world it's been the same. [1/3]

This was not a game to make any significant conclusions from, but 🇬🇷 made frappe for everyone in the arena with the blender they put 🇨🇾 defense in this possession #HellasBasketball #EuroBasket2025

I watched the documentary about Katrina and the very first thought that came to my mind was how Michael Brown being the FEMA director is pretty much how RFK jr is today HHS secretary. A disaster waiting to happen...

The U.S. is more divided than ever. I used the Poole-Rosenthal DW-NOMINATE scores, that track Congress members’ voting, and the ideological gap between Republicans and Democrats is wide and keeps increasing as well. Add to this the fact that Americans are growing more hostile, [1/2]

Not the best game from 🇬🇷 but every opening day has challenges. There're some interesting calls. Here, Spanoulis calls for every player not involved in the high pnr to be deep towards the baseline. This makes it hard for 🇮🇹 to set the 'wall' for Giannis. He rolls, catches the ball & takes off [1/2]

MAGA is losing their mind because people had enough with the "thoughts and prayers". These people are so lost that they really believe they can change the course of things with prayers. These actions are not in a vacuum. "Prayers" from politicians after a mass tragedy are plain [1/2]

Year 16 at #Pitt. Doesn't seem real. It still feels like yesterday when I taught for first time at the Italian room www.nationalityrooms.pitt.edu/rooms/italia...