Whoever next polls NJ, can we please crosstab by "sauce" vs. "gravy" and by capicola vs., sigh, "gabagool?" I've got a theory. (Calamari with the i, calamar without the i, and, again sighing, "galamad" as well, I guess.)

5 months out, I know, I know...

31% Would Support Peacefully Dividing United States Into Two or More Separate Countries... www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

In April, SurveyUSA debuted a trackable "Optimism Index," asking US adults if they felt "optimistic and excited" or "hopeless and defeated" about the country. +3 in April, but -2 today, a 5-point swing toward pessimism. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Dark Days Ahead? Majorities Expect to See Once Unthinkable Uses of Federal Power Against Press, Arrests for Beliefs, Troops Firing on Citizens: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

24% say ICE should be eliminated as a federal agency, including 40% of Democrats, compared with 26% of independents and 5% of Republicans. Another 18% say ICE should be reduced in size – a combined total of 42% who want the agency to shrink or disappear entirely. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Masks for Halloween? Not for ICE workers, say majority of US adults. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

By 15-Point Margin, Americans Say ICE Focusing on Wrong People: SurveyUSA's latest nationwide research shows 47% of adults say the immigration enforcement actions being conducted by ICE are focused on the wrong people. 32% say they're focused on the right people. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

55% say things in the US are off on the wrong track, with just 1/3 saying things are headed in the right direction. When those who say things are on the wrong track are asked if they'll get worse before they get better, sentiment is near-universal and pessimistic. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

77% say they and their family are taxed too much; just 5% say they aren't taxed enough. When asked about the wealthiest people in America, those numbers flip, with 65% saying billionaires aren't taxed enough and 15% saying billionaires are taxed too much. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

SurveyUSA's latest exclusive nationwide research shows 52% of American workers would be in very serious financial trouble within two months of losing their jobs, with nearly 1 in 3 hitting that crisis point even sooner. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

NEW @surveyusa.bsky.social poll from New York City: ✅ 96% of NYC voters say #RankedChoiceVoting is simple ✅ 76% want to keep or expand RCV More results & link to full analysis in thread ⬇️

SurveyUSA's first look at NJ Gov: 🔵 Sherrill: 51% (+13) 🔴 Ciattarelli: 38% www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, Once Disgraced, Now Leads in NYC Dem Primary for Mayor ... But Ranked Choice Voting Makes Winner Less Clear: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Just 28% say they feel Democrats have a clear strategy for opposing Trump in Washington, and almost the same number, 27%, feel Democratic leadership has given them direction on how to oppose Trump themselves.

By an overwhelming majority, 76% to 20%, Dems say their representatives in Congress should fight harder against Trump's agenda, not find ways to compromise with the administration. Support for compromise is anemic across the board.

Just 23% of Dem voters say the party's response to Trump's 2nd term has so far been either excellent (7%) or good (16%); 68% have a negative view, with 25% calling the response "only fair," 22% "poor," and 21% saying it is "unacceptable." 31% of Latino Dems say the party's response is unacceptable.

Dem Rank-and-File Unimpressed With Party Response to Trump, Want Dems in Congress to Fight, Not Compromise; Don't See Strategy, Direction: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Common Ground to Become Even Less Common? Few Democrats, Fewer Republicans Say They Want to See Their Parties Become More Moderate: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

66% of registered voters nationwide say they more agree that "Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people." 27% say they more agree that "Government is doing too many things which are better left to businesses and individuals." www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Significant Majorities of Voters Want Government to do More, not Less to Solve Problems Throughout the United States: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

38% "optimistic & excited," 35% "hopeless & defeated," 12% felt some other way. Word cloud of the responses from that 12%:

38% of voters today say they feel "optimistic and excited" about the country, narrowly edging out the 35% who say they feel "hopeless and defeated." Subtracting "hopeless and defeated" from "optimistic and excited" produces our "Optimism Index," at +3 today. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Will there even be an election for President in 2028? Just 9% find it unlikely (4% say it will not happen at all, 5% say it is very unlikely), while 80% say it is absolutely likely (63%) or somewhat likely (17%): www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

MAGA Republicans – But No One Else – Believe Trump is Eligible to Run for Third Term: 1 in 5 voters nationwide say they believe Donald Trump is eligible to run for a 3rd term as President, including a near-majority, 49%, of MAGA-identifying Republicans: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Increasing tax rates on those earning more than $1 million annually is broadly popular as well, with 55% strongly in support, 24% somewhat in support. MAGA Republicans are the least supportive here, at 59% overall, compared to 75% of non-MAGA Republicans. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Requiring all companies to provide paid maternity leave is strongly supported by 54% of all voters, somewhat supported by 27%; just 13% oppose. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Support for ensuring Americans pay no more for prescription drugs than people in Canada do has similarly strong support nationwide, with 61% strongly in support and 24% saying they somewhat support this proposal. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Requiring background checks on all gun purchases & closing the gun show and online loopholes sees massive support across the board, with significant numbers of voters in every subgroup strongly supporting the proposal. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Majorities of US Voters – Massive Majorities in Many Cases – Support Key Progressive Policies on Guns, Healthcare, Taxes, Housing, and More:

Just 39% of self-identified Democrats say there is a Democrat who they view as the leader of the party right now; slightly more, 42%, say there is no such person. Another 19% aren't sure. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

As White House Fiddles With Tariffs and 401(k) Plans Burn, Democrats Split over Whether Party Has a Leader & Just Who That Might Be: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Should Harris not get the nomination, support for remaining names is clustered closely together: 11% choose Pete Buttigieg, including 20% in the East North Central states, 17% of Midwesterners, of Mountain State voters, & liberals, & 16% of suburban women. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Harris is the top choice of 52% of Black voters, 50% of those with HS educations, 44% of conservatives who have never voted for Trump, 44% of urban voters, 44% of those who voted for Dems in 2 of the past 3 Presidential elections, & 43% of both Dems and renters. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

SurveyUSA's first look at 2028 Democratic Presidential contest shows Harris 3:1 ahead of nearest competitors, with many others in contention:

Remaining data for today & the full crosstabs & tracking graph links for all 17 questions: Is President Trump... Forceful? 71% yes, 20% no Thoughtful? 41% yes, 49% no Brilliant? 41% yes, 50% no Evil? 41% yes, 47% no Even-tempered? 34% yes, 51% no www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

Is President Trump in over his head? That was a concern for a 21-point majority 8 years ago, when 53% said he was in over his head and 32% said he wasn't. Today, just 45% say he is in over his head; 42% say he isn't — a margin of just 3 points. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollT...

A few questions touched on honesty. Is President Trump ... Honest? 38% yes, 50% no (2017: 31% yes, 49% no) Honorable? 41% yes, 50% no (2017: 31% yes, 51% no) Dishonest? 50% yes, 40% no (2017: 43% yes, 37% no) Candid? 49% yes, 36% no (2017: 56% yes, 32% no)

Another shift in trendlines comes when we ask voters if President Trump is racist. In 2017, voters then by a 3-point margin said the newly elected President was racist, 43% to 40%. Today, by a 1-point margin, voters say he is not, 45% to 44%. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollT...

Next: Is President Trump juvenile? A 12-point shift on this question: In 2017, by 9 points, 47% to 38%, the answer was yes. Today, by 3 points, 46% to 43%, the answer is no. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollT...

The trend lines have crossed for 3 questions. First: 8 years ago, by a 6-point margin, 43% to 37%, voters said Pres. Trump was a man of his word. Today, we see a 2-point margin in the other direction, with 46% saying he's NOT a man of his word, 44% saying he is. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollT...

54% today say President Trump is spiteful; 35% say he is not, a 19-point margin. 8 years ago, it was almost the same, a 20-point margin, 52% to 32%. 53% today say President Trump is a bully; 39% say he is not, a 14-point margin. 8 years ago, that was much wider, 25 points, 56% to 31%.

Looking next at another business-related attribute: Is President Trump an American success story? By a 4-point margin — 48% to 44% — the answer is yes. But eight years ago, that margin was a much larger 17 points, 52% to 35%. www.surveyusa.com/client/PollT...

First, one of DJT's best numbers, focusing on something outside of the Presidency: Is President Trump a great businessman? 59% say he is, including majorities of men & women, young & old, and white, Latino, & Asian voters — though Black voters disagree.

8 years ago, we asked voters whether each of a series of words and phrases applied to the then newly-elected President Trump. o Brilliant? o Honest? o Thoughtful? o Even-tempered? o Evil? o A bully? o And more... We've re-run that research & today will be exploring the results & what's changed.

Full crosstabs for today's released questions: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR... More tomorrow and Friday!

60% of Dems say Dems in Congress aren't standing up enough to Trump; 10% say they stand up to Trump too much; 22% say doing right thing. Conversely, 21% of Republicans say Republicans in Congress are standing up to Trump too much; another 21% say not enough; 46% say they're doing the right thing.

Majorities say Trump (by 9 points, 51% to 42%), Musk (by 23 points, 55% to 32%) care more about themselves than about American people. For Biden, a 1-point plurality, 44% to 43%, say the same:

In 2017, by a 4-point margin — 45% to 41% — voters said Donald Trump respected the US Constitution. Today, we see a 6-point shift, with a 2-point margin — 46% to 44% — now saying Trump does NOT respect the Constitution: www.surveyusa.com/client/PollT...