A Democratic win in #TN07 next week would not only pick up a House seat for the Democrats, it would also show a crack in Trump's base. @aftynbehn.bsky.social

House Majority PAC will spend $1 million to boost state Rep. Aftyn Behn (D) in the #TN07 special election on Dec 2 Although this race is not in the Toss-Up category, it's exciting to see the Democrats jump on a possible Congressional win. @aftynbehn.bsky.social www.politico.com/news/2025/11...

Tennessee Dems think they might be able to pull an upset in the #TN07 race in two weeks. @cookpolitical.com still ranks this race as Likely Republican. Do you think Democrats can flip this race Blue?

Yesterday, @cookpolitical.com moved two House races to our favorite category: Toss-Ups. In #VI02 Rep. Elaine Luria is the current favorite to be the Democratic contender. In #NJ07 Rebecca Bennett and Tina Shah are the Democratic front-runners based on fundraising. thehill.com/homenews/cam...

Great news for Democrats! More Republican-held House seats have moved in the Democrats’ favor. NJ-07 and VI-02 are now ranked TOSS-UP by @cookpolitical.com

Don't start opening the champagne yet. But this is a good sign for Democrats in 2026. www.politico.com/news/2025/11...

Arizona governor Katie Hobbs (D) is tied with Andy Biggs (R) in a hypothetical poll for next year’s governor’s race. The election is 12 months away. The primary will be in August. The Arizona governor race is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com #KatieHobbs thehill.com/homenews/cam...

These 17 swing districts are the Democrats’ best chance to take control of the House in 2026. Democrats in ALL 50 STATES need to support these races. This is the only path to flipping the House. Whether you donate money or donate your time, every action counts. #2026midterms

Democrats faced FIVE critical races in 2025.* They won every single one. There will be many more Toss-Up races to win in 2026. They will require more donations and more volunteer time. *There were six, if you include California's Proposition 50 👏

I just made a big decision: I’m running for Congress in Maine’s 2nd Congressional district, where I was born and raised. Let me explain why…🧵

“Democrats are feeling bullish about their chances of clinching both the Senate and governor’s races in Georgia next year after the party won a pair of special elections this week...” The Georgia Senate and gubernatorial races are both ranked TOSS UP. thehill.com/homenews/cam...

The Center for Politics is moving the MI Senate race from Leans Democrat to Likely Democrat. “Minnesota Democrats will choose between, primarily, Rep. Angie Craig (D, MN-2) and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D).” centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...

“We cannot rest until we take it back,” [Gavin] Newsom said. “There is no more important race in our lifetime than the House of Representatives and taking back the House.” www.politico.com/news/2025/11...

Bad news for Maine Democrats, and all Democrats, in 2026. ME-02 is being moved TWO STEPS towards the Republican side.

Rep. Jared Golden announced he will NOT run for re-election. His district, ME-02, is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com wapo.st/3Lv7aN4

Three Pennsylvania Supreme Court justices were projected to be retained in Tuesday’s election, handing Democrats critical statewide wins in the Keystone State.

Mikie Sherrill is projected to win the New Jersey gubernatorial race. Sherrill has almost the exact same winning margin as Abigail Spanberger in Virginia.

Mikie Sherrill is also doing extremely well in the New Jersey gubernatorial race....

With over 25% of the votes counted, Abigail Spanberger has a commendable lead for the Virginia governor's race.

GO VOTE!!! 🗳️ PA: VOTE YES ON RETAINING OUR JUDGES & ALL DEMS 🗳️VA: VOTE ABIGAIL SPANBERGER FOR GOV & ALL DEMS 🗳️NJ: VOTE MIKIE SHERRILL & ALL DEMS 🗳️NYC: VOTE ZOHRAN MAMDANI FOR MAYOR & ALL DEMS 🗳️CA: VOTE YES ON PROP 50

"Democrats have no federal contests that would allow them to check President Trump’s power, but governors’ races, mayoral contests and referendums [on Tuesday] will test momentum and divisions in both parties." www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...

“Abigail Spanberger, the Democrat, holds a consistent lead over Winsome Earle-Sears, the Republican, in the polls of Virginia’s open gubernatorial race.” www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

"The clearest sign that a democracy has died is that a leader and his party make it impossible for their opponents to win an election and hold power. Once that stage is reached, however, the change is extremely difficult to reverse." www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

"Most independent polls show Mikie Sherrill, the Democrat, leading Jack Ciattarelli, the Republican, by five to 10 percentage points." www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Mikie Sherrill (D) is leading Ciattarelli (R) by 5 points in New Jersey gubernatorial race polling thehill.com/homenews/556...

The Democrats are about to lose a strategic Toss-Up district. The Republican-held North Carolina legislature is redrawing their election maps. District NC-1, currently ranked Toss-Up and held by Don Davis (D), will definitely move toward the Republican’s favor. www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

"One thing is clear: If either Mikie Sherrill or Abigail Spanberger loses her bid to become governor in November, the Democratic Party is in trouble heading into the 2026 congressional elections." -Thomas B Edsall, NY Times www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/o...

I'm honored to have President @barackobama.bsky.social on Team Mikie. This movement is about delivering something better for New Jersey — lower costs, more opportunity for our kids, and a government that's truly accountable to the people.

Sobato’s Crystal Ball also moved the Maine Senate race from Lean Republican to TOSS-UP “Sen. Susan Collins (R) is the only Republican in the chamber who represents a state that voted against Donald Trump in all three of his general election campaigns.” centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...

@cookpolitical.com has moved the Maine Senate race from Lean Republican to TOSS-UP. There are now four US Senate races ranked TOSS-UP.

Maine governor Janet Mills announced today she is running to dethrown Republican Susan Collins in the Senate. First, she will need to run against progressive Graham Platner in the Democratic primary This race is ranked Lean Republican by Cook Political Report. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/u...

Democrats' have a good chance to flip the House in 2026. But they are cautiously optimistic about their chances of flipping the Senate. Michigan, North Carolina and Georgia are the three Senate TOSS-UP races. www.messenger-inquirer.com/townnews/pol...

It’s not official yet, but it sounds like Maine’s two-term Gov. Janet Mills (D) will run for the U.S. Senate seat held by veteran Sen. Susan Collins (R) next year. The Maine Senate race is ranked LEAN REPUBLICAN, but it is definitely an “Almost TOSS-UP” race. apnews.com/article/main...

Arizona governor Katie Hobbs (D) has announced her re-election bid. The Arizona gubernatorial race and two Arizona House races are ranked TOSS-UP. thehill.com/homenews/cam...

The New Jersey gubernatorial race is less than 4 weeks away. It is ranked TOSS UP by Cook Political Report. democrats.org/news/mikie-s...

I couldn't summarize the importance of TOSS-UP races in just a few hundred characters. So I wrote it in the Substack. Please let me know what you think. substack.com/inbox/post/1...

North Carolina governor Roy Cooper (D) has raised a record $14 million for his Senate campaign. The North Carolina Senate race is ranked toss-up by @cookpolitical.com www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

Rep. David Schweikert (R, AZ-1) is vacating his House seat to run for governor. Center for Politics says: “Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) has gotten some minor opposition but remains overwhelmingly favored for renomination. Our Toss-up rating for the race stands.” centerforpolitics.org/crystalball

Mikie Sherrill (D) is leading Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the New Jersey gubernatorial race… according to Fox News. thehill.com/homenews/cam...

“Democratic nominee Abigail Spanberger has opened a double-digit lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in Virginia’s governor’s race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey…” virginiamercury.com/2025/10/02/s...

The Virginia gubernatorial election is November 4. Democrats in all 50 states can support Abigail Spanberger's campaign.

The New Jersey gubernatorial election is November 4. Democrats in all 50 states can support Mikie Sherrill's campaign.

Republican-held seat AZ-01 is ranked TOSS-UP. But incumbent David Schweikert (R) is stepping down to run for governor (which is also ranked TOSS-UP). The loss of the Republican incumbent could improve the Democrat’s chances of flipping this seat in 2026. www.politico.com/news/2025/09...

The 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race is ranked TOSS UP by @cookpolitical.com Republican candidate and Trump supporter, Bill Berrien, has dropped out. Although he ran on a platform of "family values", he was caught following "numerous sexually explicit accounts online". apnews.com/article/bill...

This DailyKOS article sums it up. Democrats have three very important elections in November: -New Jersey governor -Virginia governor -Pennsylvania State Supreme Court retention. They could use donations from all fifty states. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

The National Archives "accidentally" released a mostly unredacted version of Mikie Sherrill's military records (including her Social Security number!) to Nicholas De Gregorio, an ally of Jack Ciattarelli, her GOP opponent in the New Jersey governor's race. www.cbsnews.com/news/nationa...

The New Jersey governor’s race between Mikie Sherrill (D) and Jack Ciattarelli (R) is tied, according to a new poll by Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill. If you can donate money, help phone bank, or call your friends in New Jersey, please do it now. thehill.com/homenews/cam...

Are the Dems going to pick up a House seat in Arizona today? Or are they just holding on to it? This announcement caught me by surprise. I don't exactly understand what's happening in this race. Can anyone help me out? 🥴 #AZ07 thehill.com/homenews/cam...