If my math is right, subtract one, carry the leftover, it still leaves the Astros with potentially 11 starting pitchers.

In what can be described as “only a nerd like me”…the delta in soil temps between Thursday of last week and today is -8F. Soil temp at the Weather Bureau is 42F this afternoon… You may resume your scrolling.

Trying to grapple with this professionally, if you truly want to be the best prepared, you need to know what to reasonably expect. And Mother Nature is undefeated.

Random weather thought: South Texas up to South Central Texas would take the 12Z Euro precip forecast right now, no questions asked.

I love watching old movies and seeing how the attitude changes… All of the newer Bond movies are gadgets and tech and transforming cars while Sean Connery is switching Slazenger golf balls…

Vanderbilt should have listed Diego Pavia at 6 ft 3in and 215 lb…

During mid day, solar and wind were producing more energy for TX than natural gas. BuT wInD dOeSn’T wOrK wHeN iT’s CoLd. From the ERCOT dashboard.

As we see the light at the end of the tunnel of this winter event, time to grade the forecasts between the humans and the auto bots. The auto bots won, by giving an extra 24 hours of lead time on the chances of winter weather and keeping the forecast lows in the teens (humans had single digits).

I have said it before, 2 seasons ago a coworker asked how many HOF QBs in the league right now! My answer was 10. But here is the deal, Darnold wasn’t even thought of… After the last 2 seasons, what would it take for him to be a legit candidate? 2 SB wins and 8 more good years? Honest question.

With all of these Yellowstone spin offs, I want one focused on the ranch house cook… “Do I go with biscuits or cornbread? The ranch is depending on me…”

The MVP of this AFC Championship game so far…is the parabolic mic operator.

Trying to distract myself, I have dove headfirst into power availability and reserves, and power outages (for TX). Looks like the issues, as of now, is ice on trees and related damage, not availability. There is more power in reserve now than on some hot summer days.

A vision, a motivation, I have a new reason to live…

So for DFW, Jan 2026 is running 6.4 F degrees above normal through the 22nd. The couple of days of record cold in the forecast, and then the rest of next week, should have enough umph to erode that number and finish approx 1 F (or less) below normal.

If you want to see how close it is for humans to be knocked down out of the top spot as apex predator in the food chain, injure a thumb. Bill Hicks was right about opposable thumbs…

I need to re-read my history on the Titanic, because I am not sure I want to be on/or associated with anything compared to or described as the Titanic…

As expected, the Pepto Bismol warning is spreading across the state…

It’s 70 degrees on the vehicle thermometer and I am topping the vehicle off with gas, because the human forecast has single digits in the forecast by the end of the weekend. It doesn’t have to be Feb 2021 to still be WTF?…

Let's get that spice

When the wind shifts bringing in the mountain cedar…

As far as tonight’s game, I hope both teams play hard and have a good time.

Kid came in griping still about how bad CJ is playing… I calmly told him that doesn’t matter right now. What matters is Framber still hasn’t signed a contract…

Try this again, in the river world, Texas treats winter weather as “delayed rain”. It really helps soils moisture. The winter precip doesn’t stick around nor build to the point of monitoring for runoff and water supply.

The fun part of the week is seeing the discrepancies between the humans and the auto bot forecasters as the forecast for N TX evolves the next few days.

I guess if I have no rooting interest in the CFP National Championship or the Super Bowl, I can focus more on the food…

Remember, there are 7 year olds across New England that have never seen the Patriots win a Super Bowl…

Me watching the Texans…

In Texas, wondering the ratio of trucks with a single cab to trucks with 4 doors and dual cab… It has to be 1 to 40 or 50. Trucks went from being a work vehicle to the family station wagon…

The path to their first Super Bowl doesn’t get any wider than this… With the news out of Denver, find a way to take care of business in Foxborough. Is now a good time to say, I liked those Texans’ lettermen jackets…?

Taking a look at the 12Z GFS, holy crap we will take it. The amounts and distribution of the 10 day rainfall could easily be a multi-million dollar event for many parts of Texas…in a good way! Now let’s see how this event evolves.

You can take a beautiful piece of wood and hammer a bunch of nails in it, destroying it’s beauty. You can remove those nails, but the wood will never be the same. Some things can’t be undone.

NEW: We got hundreds of never-before-released text messages between county leaders sent during deadly July 4 Texas floods. They show confusion among those in charge with how to respond to the devastating event. We published with @texastribune.org. www.kut.org/energy-envir... #txlege

So, trying to stay distracted and the kid is down the rabbit hole against CJ and the Texans offense. I had to remind him of the Legion of Boom Seahawks and told him Trent Dilfer has a freakin’ ring with the Ravens. Sometimes an elite defense brings hope.

Lunch musings…it’s cool that Austin is banning moonwalking on I-35…

America has lost jobs over the past three months. #TrumpJobsCrisis

Still not sure what targeting is in college football.

More randomness, the last 2 years, there has been a decent jump in statewide reservoir storage in late Jan/early Feb. With La Niña flexing, as we start 2026 below 2025 levels, we could drop below 2024 levels by early Feb. Start the water conservation messaging now…

To distract myself from (waves hands), I counted possible SP for the Astros this season…at 11. Not counting the top prospect in the minors. Just don’t ask my opinion on how many we can count on…

Ahh, the first week of January. The smell of fresh cut grass in the air. Remembering to take it easy and hydrate on your training runs. Having fun running in the sprinklers in the neighborhood.

You are what your record says you are. Bill Parcells It is true for many areas beyond sports as well.

Cool. It is on multiple channels so it just be a NFL ad and not a network ad… But there is an ad running for the NFL playoffs with a mash up of the teams in the playoffs, minus the Texans.

Seeing the Panthers win the NFC South with a losing record, I flashbacked to the 2010 Seahawks who won a playoff game with a losing record a a division winner… And am honest question popped up, is Pete Carroll a HOF coach? His accomplishments are split between Seattle and USC…is there enough?

There are signs…can alway tell when the mountain cedar starts creeping up…

While I don’t care that much about either team, there is some schadenfreude for ol’ Lane Kiffin right now.

My approach to 2026… After 2025 being arguably the worst year in my career…time to turn the page.

me saying goodbye to 2025 like

For DFW, after a top 5 warmest Oct, and a top 5 warmest Nov, looks like Dec will finish top 10 warmest and top 10 driest. The wet fall is the only thing keeping the water supply outlook on the “plus” side…

Cal @ Hawai’i Hawai’i Bowl 7pm Central.

The next week will be interesting for TX Water Supply. The last 2 years, an active pattern in the last week of December has bumped up water supply. Current forecast shows no bump… Statewide storage will likely drop below same time 2024 levels, especially with the uptick in ET with warm temps.

I guess the question is…will the AC kick in this week? The only “white” this Christmas will be if I take my shirt off while doing yard work…