This snow needs to F O... like we're done, goodbye! Everything melted, BYE!!!! 🤷

Thankfully after touching $118 WTI has since fallen back into the $90-100 range but that's still at minimum $30 above the pre-invasion level and there's not sign of a price collapse yet. While WTI has been the highest, basically almost all oil has seen similar price charting as far as % & trending.

Southern Ontario is north of the surface warm front so much cooler conditions but a fair bit of CAPE aloft and the NAM is painting some good echo tops on the simulated IR satellite product. So rain and thunderstorms Wednesday morning / early afternoon #ONstorm

Still a ways out but the NAM is really painting a heck of a March setup along the south shore of Lake Erie with some wicked dynamics into E. OH / W. PA - sig wind damage risk and an elevated tornado risk, potentially a sig tor risk if things don't line out as fast #OHwx #PAwx

$120 inbound

This site mostly serves Tehran, but it will impact the national system and Kharg Island is also at risk of a strike. This hurts Iran internally AND their shadow fleet that feeds China mostly. China will have to buy oil through the usual WTO channels and that’ll push prices higher everywhere.

Okay, this is the highest I've EVER seen diesel... ☠️

Line of storm moving into Southern Ontario. These storms could produce severe weather in the form of hail, but they are elevated (not sucking up air from the surface) so anything related to wind or tornadoes is very unlikely. #ONstorm #ONwx

This storm went very tornadic right as it hit the surface warm front where there was substantial shear in the lowest 1km (veering from a SW to SE to E flow). The storm has since crossed into the cold air north of the front. Look at all the ice on the water!

Quite the temperature contrast across between Southwestern Ontario and area to the south of the lakes. There's 22C air abutted against the south shore of Lake Erie. This warm air will EVENTUALLY make it into Srn Ontario overnight but will be a few degrees cooler thanks to marine moderation. #ONstorm

Risk of thunderstorms later today across much of Southern Ontario. There's currently a cluster in lower Michigan and that convective zone will move east as the day continues. The storms will be very elevated, nothing surface based at all. #ONstorm #weather #wx

If you're interested in Cartel related things follow @allsourcenews.bsky.social - they're always in my OSINT list here and on the former bird site.

CJNG reportedly attacked the airport of Guadalajara as part of their coordinated attacks across Mexico in response to the killing of El Mencho.

Video reportedly out of Iztapa Zihuatanejo, Guerrero showing the aftermath of a suspected CJNG attack

I'm not sure how the algorithm works, but I am slightly concerned that Amazon suggested I buy these "party briefs" IMMEDIATELY and they're apparently "selling fast!" - and yes, Borat comes to mind LOL

I thought the plow was salting the roads.. turned out it was thunder.

Some elevated thunderstorms rumbling across Southern Ontario with hail reports coming in and lots of lightning. Don’t know if they’ll make it into the GTA beyond Hamilton. #ONstorm

What a mess out there! Mix of snow, ice pellets and freezing rain (or all three) depending on where you are. #ONstorm

Pea soup thick fog in downtown Toronto blowing in off Lake Ontario. #ONstorm

Quite the temperature contrast near the surface low, 10C over 20km, that’s 1C for every 2km travelled. #ABstorm #SKstorm #weather

Terrible www.ctvnews.ca/vancouver/ar...

lmao

#Snow removal site in #Toronto where they pile and/or melt snow removed from local streets. #ONstorm #weather #wx

Crews across the #GTA are working hard to clear snow. Here’s a snow storage site in #Toronto where crews pile and melt snow which has been removed from various location. #ONstorm #wx #weather

Timelapse of the #snow storm storm this past Sunday in the Greater Toronto Area. I started out in #Maple (north Vaughan) and drove west into #Woodbridge, then south on the 427 into #Toronto ending down near the lake in Mimico. Conditions go from meh to full blown lake effect snow in ~35km #ONstorm

There's a cocorahs of 62cm in southeast Toronto

Part of the secret to getting around #Toronto yesterday was snowshoes!

Knee deep #snow and a dog plowing his way through! #ONstorm #weather #snowTO #wx #snowstorm

7pm measurement at downtown Toronto: 44 cm storm total. Also measured a snow-meltwater ratio of 30:1 (!). Heavy snow, poor visibility and strong winds continue under the persistent LE band.

#Toronto Pearson Airport #CYYZ #YYZ is reporting 54 cm of snowfall as of 7PM. According to the data, 26cm of snow fell in ONE HOUR!!! If correct, this is both an ALL TIME snowfall record for Pearson AND record for most accumulation in one hour for any GTA airport station #ONstorm #onwx #TOsnow

Just some photos I took wandering around today in the south end of #Toronto #ONstorm #wx #weather #snow #storm

I can't stress this enough - people in the suburbs who might be thinking "what storm" should definitely not venture into Toronto. Here is the 404 @ 19th (Markham) and 400 @ Teston (Vaughan) vs Gardiner @ South Kingsway and DVP at Leaside Bridge #ONstorm #weather #snowstorm #Toronto #GTA #wx

Our dog is loving the #snow in #Toronto #ONstorm #weather #wx

Just because there is lighter snow into the #GTA suburbs does not mean it is lighter deeper into Toronto. In fact, it's the opposite. Worst snows are further south. Please don't drive into Toronto... #ONstorm #onwx #weather

I'm down by Lake Ontario and it is not kidding down here, we have significant snowfall rates of probably of 7cm-10cm/hr or higher, and as far as lake effect snow is concerned, this is top tier stuff with the very high liquid to snow ratios & seeder feeder effect. #ONstorm #weather #GTA #snowstorm

As the big winter storm approaches, the shifting winds have seen this lake effect band push south, stall out and then move back northwards. You'll also not several small meso-vortices develop within the band. #ONstorm #weather #wx #snowstorm

Thank God… After seeing who was on the Board of Peace, this is a blessing.

Some models are painting some serious seeder-feeder lake effect snows into the GTA. #ONstorm #weather #wx

Absolutely unreal.

Canadian military models response to hypothetical American invasion www.theglobeandmail.com/gift/b1d1a88...

The cold front sure blew in hard yesterday afternoon. It was dry as it cut through the GTA with a barely visible shelf cloud. Still, not bad for January! A little more moisture and heat would have resulted in some t-storms. #ONstorm

Nothing beats a snowy trek through Silver Creek. ❄️ Guided by the best hiking partner, Biscuit, we took on a wintery Bruce Trail. #BruceTrail #HikingOntario #WinterHiking #SilverCreek youtu.be/QNXfneb0s0E?...

Watching the #WorldJuniors and Mike Johnson (commentator /analyst giving play by play) just said "that was a good hard shit" instead of shift 😂😂😆

Lightning being detected with the snow and squalls near Lake Huron. #ONstorm

Here's a video showing the radar estimated p-type, reflectivity, correlation-coefficient and Bufkit WRF-NAM skew-t for CYYZ as well ad the observed 12Z soundings for KBUF and KDTX. Radar Omega and Radar Scope use two different methods for their radar p-type product.

The NSF has a short post on how it plans to take apart NCAR. (No, that is not a sentence I ever foresaw typing.) www.nsf.gov/news/intent-...

Hurricane Melissa looks like a solid 150 kt storm, the hunters ended their mission early and have reported severe turbulence likely from meso vorts within the storm. #HurricaneMelissa #Melissa is an extremely dangerous #Category5 storm #AtlanticHurricaneSeason #TropicalCyclone

Nice evening kayak on the Humber River near Lake Ontario yesterday. The fall colours are really starting to come into the Toronto area now. #Kayaking #Beagle #BiscuitTheBeagle #HumberRiver #FallColors #Toronto #DogsofBluesky #RiverAdventures #Paddling #Autumn

Some very warm weather in Eastern Ontario and Southern Quebec with temps into the mid 20s. The edge of the unsettled weather is now nosing into the GTA with a squall riding the leading edge of the cold front. High winds and local isolated damage possible #ONstorm

Small area of weak rotation up at the northern end of Georgian Bay, with a 'broken-S' signature showing up on Britt (CASBI) radar. #ONstorm