Always remember: When someone else does it, it's "p-hacking and cherry-picking". But when you do it, it's "bold scientific exploratory analysis".

Playing some D&D

Been avoiding stick my neck out there with the current leadership scuffle, but I must speak my truth: The State Opening of Parliament closed a few roads today and mildly inconvenienced my commute to work. No other issue is quite as important. Thus, Sir Starmer must go.

Good news: new and improved job title. Bad news: jokes remain old and bad.

Chili tastes better with turkey mince than with beef mince

Check out the new research that my team and I published for the Department of Culture, Media, and Sport, in conjunction with our partners at University of Glasgow and Faculty www.gov.uk/government/c... #polisky

My first ever craft project. A spicy pillow for a spicy lad.

If we just paint flames on all of the ships and build a big ramp, they can just jump over the Strait of Hormuz while blasting some sick guitar solos. Why hasn't the government tried this?

Shameless self-plug: Zach Zwald, Ryan Kennedy, and I wrote a whole paper on public support and trust in automated weapons systems. Spoiler alert: the relationship between AI, the military, and public opinion is quite complicated and contextual. #polisky academic.oup.com/jpr/article/...

Feel like starting some beef today: The best theme in ggplot is theme_bw()

New blog post: Did MPs who performed better in the 2024 UK election discuss the election more often in their e-newsletters? In a brief exploratory look, I find that they do, though that relationship is more complex than simply asking "who won the race?". #polisky adamlozer.github.io/blog/posts/2...

Useful list of MPs on here. bsky.app/profile/did:...

Today, one of my D&D campaigns hit its 69th session. It's the little things in life that give you light in the darkness.

Fun fact: Billy Idol's full name is William Idolatry.

Fun fact: in high school, I sent a letter to my Senator asking to be granted a letter of marque for privateering, as my history teacher promised the class a free A as a joke if we got one. I never got a response. I guess I was just ahead of my time.

Extremely lukewarm take: In politics, calling someone a prick is not an ad hominem attack if the fact that they are a prick directly impacts their ability to govern.

Me, the vast majority of the time: "I quite enjoy living in the UK." Me in December: "It is 7:34 am and the sun has not yet risen. All joy has fled this decrepit island, there is only despair."

Lukewarm take: AI doesn't improve productivity much b/c large chunks of time at most desk jobs are spent waiting for responses to your emails. Sure, AI can help code a bit faster, but if I can't code until Charles in budgeting green lights my project, I'm still moving at the speed of bureaucracy.

Hey #polisky, If you have smart students with an interest in data and public policy, Verian has a graduate scheme to get them started in the industry. www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...

predicting-ball.co.uk Ever wanted to quantify just how much Bayern Munich are running away with the Meisterschale, but all the projection models out there focus on the Premier League? Well, have I got the model for you!

You ever have Schrödinger's meeting, existing in a simultaneous state of cancelled and not cancelled until the hour arrives and you can directly observe?

Over the past year, our team at Verian worked with the EEF to explore the ways schools spend their Pupil Premium funds to improve educational outcomes for disadvantaged pupils. You can read the summary and download the full report here: educationendowmentfoundation.org.uk/projects-and... #polisky

What are we calling this? Mamda-mination? Winning Zor-handily?

A great job opportunity for any data experts with a love of social sciences and social research. Pros: you get to work on cool projects with important public policy impact. Cons: you have to listen to me make bad puns in meetings. www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/43... #polisky

Do legislators write their own email newsletters? How do they determine what content to include? I had the opportunity to chat with former MEP @richardcorbett.bsky.social and learn from a politician's perspective on communicating with constituents. adamlozer.github.io/blog/posts/2...

The existence of Singapore implies the existence of Danceapore and Actapore. And if you visit all three, you unlock access to EGOTapore.

One of my favourite things to do is shock my well-meaning but unaware UK colleagues with how much immigrants pay for the right to be here and contribute. "Nice nationality dork, did your parents get it for you? Couldn't be me."

Finished a draft of a blog post featuring an interview with someone really cool. My main takeaway is not novel, but bears repeating: Put some damn respect on your friendly neighbourhood qualitative researcher or journalist. Interviews are hard as hell and quant folks like me are bad at them.

You know, if you ignore literally any and all of the numerous dissimilarities between the invention of automobiles and the advent of AI, they're really quite similar situations. I think there are a lot of lessons we can learn from that.

A depressing amount of your 30s is waking up and thinking "I'm way too hungover, I've got to stop drinking", only to realise that you didn't drink last night. In fact, you didn't drink any night last week. Your body is just like this sometimes.

Are the results from this clearly flawless and highly scientific poll shocking? Not at all. But the cynicism is still a bit depressing, no?

If you kindly have 15 seconds to spare, I've got a quick poll I want to use for a blog post: If you received a newsletter from your MP, would you believe the content is mainly written by the MP or by their staff? www.linkedin.com/posts/adam-o...

You, a cultureless heathen: "No one engages with my posts, BlueSky is clearly dying!!!" Me, an intellectual and man of culture: "No one engages with my posts because I'm deeply unfunny and not very clever. Seems like you have a skill issue, get gud like me."

Got to present at the EEF Evaluation Conference. This is one of the more rewarding and cool projects I have worked on, using AI to help code Pupil Premium statements and help public policy practitioners better understand how funds are being used to help economically disadvantaged students.

Lovely day for it, @dhfcw.bsky.social

Unsolicited ADHD tip: A few months back, I replaced my morning doom scrolling with a cat and a fantasy/sci fi book. Did it make me healthy and energised in the morning? No, not even close, I'm still a wretch. But it did make my mornings ~10% less miserable, and that's neat.

Fisher clearly can't hang with the English cats, total lightweight.

He has been looking for his last cat treat for 5 minutes.

Lovely day for it @dhfcw.bsky.social

Check out this new blog post @danielcaseycbr.bsky.social and I wrote about using e-newsletters from Australian and UK Members of Parliament as data. #polisky

I feel like the word "influential" should be spelled with a c, as in "infleuncial". If finance -> financial, then influence -> influencial, no? I understand that there is likely a legitimate linguistic/historical reason for its spelling, but surely that's less important than arbitrary *vibes*.

My new piece @E_IR, exploring why ALP MPs are strategically ignoring Trump. Are they caught between being responsive to their electorate and knowing they need to maintain the US alliance? I draw on canberrainbox.com.au to test this. www.e-ir.info/2025/08/30/a...

Trying to figure out who is to blame when a project runs into a minor roadblock.

Lovely day for it, @dhfcw.bsky.social

Hot take: every academic/researcher needs at least one rival (whom you compete with but respect fully) and a nemesis (whom you secretly or not-so-secretly have absolutely zero respect for).

Extremely lukewarm take: MSG rocks and you should use it more in your cooking.

Finally got a new glasses prescription. Real bad day to be a sign that's moderately far away with small to medium sized text. It's absolutely over for you.

Discovered that college students having to share a bedroom in a university dorm is apparently a uniquely American thing. My British colleagues are totally horrified by the idea. And now that I think about it, they're kind of right. It's pretty weird that we force students to do that.

The problem isn’t the bot 🤖, It’s the questions you’re asking it. I wrote about how to stop turning LLMs into digital sycophants, the key is to get better at disagreeing with yourself. Read all about it here: medium.com/ai-in-plain-...

Introducing The UK MP Inbox: a public database of email newsletters written by UK Members of Parliament. To read more about the Inbox, I wrote a blog post discussing these data and some potential use cases for social scientists and researchers: adamlozer.github.io/blog/posts/2... #polisky