Very disturbing

A very good careful analysis of the Dublin Central and Galway West by-elections next Friday May 23, results Saturday May 24.

Well said Wendy Lyon

Bertiegate, Magdalen laundries, babies exported abroad to highest bidders, divorce contraception and abortion bans, the marriage bar - all that thrown into the bin where it belongs - so Bertie the horror movie (based on "Carrie") features attacks on immigrants in Ireland - Just say No!

The Trump-Xi Jinping-Putin trio should make the proxy-war leftists - the anti-Ukraine left such as the Brit "Stop the War" brigade - take a hard look at their false politically bankrupt theories - but most of them seem determined to cling to their false dogmas.

Possibly very grim news from London later today. The far-right is marching, & the anti-Palestine leader of the Brit government, Stamergeddon, attacks left-wing demonstrators protesting against Israeli genocide in Gaza. Starmergeddon will soon be gone - the sting of a dying wasp beckons.

Bertie Ahern has insisted he’s not racist. “I judge people not by the colour of their skin, but by the contents of their brown envelope”, he told reporters. - from Dr Harold News

The Dublin Central bye-election candidate with a party leader who "made sure to throw the racists a bone" - Mary-Lou McDonald TD called out by the ever-vigilant Wendy Lyon

Interesting numbers from Makerfield where Andy Burnham will try to win a bye-election and overthrow the Brit Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer. It is a risky strategy, and Reform could win the seat. The far-right racists will take the seat if recent local government results are repeated.

Bertie Ahern's Racist CV

Very telling.

Increasing numbers of left-wing and feminist people are against the continuing Sinn Féin slide rightwards - a very worrying trend.

Wendy Lyon makes a good point. It seems Sinn Féin is not supporting a Social Democrat attempt to improve abortion legislation. Is there no limit to SF's rightward turn on this issue and others - notably government-encouraged attacks on immigrants?

Ten out of Ten to People Before Profit TD Paul Murphy denouncing former taoiseach and Fianna Fáil leader Bertie Ahern who is whipping up racist sewer sludge in the Dublin Central bye-election campaign.

Perhaps Bertie Ahern will join Independent Ireland. www.rte.ie/news/2026/05...

Larry Downing concludes it is all over for Keir Starmer www.youtube.com/watch?v=iB7C...

The next British general election must happen by mid 2029. This survey suggests a horror result. Because of the undemocratic 1st past the post system, Reform may get only 28% of the votes; it would secure a disproportionate huge number of MP's; a ConRef coalition would run the BritState.

Fair Question to SF Galway West by-election candidate Mark Lohan on racism - and a very ambiguous answer by the wannabe TD. SF backs government racist attack on welfare benefits for Ukrainians - shameful politics.

Suit and Tie Racism from Dublin government justice minister Jim O’Callaghan. Ukrainians should have the right to choose to stay in Ireland or leave. The left must state: stop targeting immigrants and encouraging the racists.

Very good post concerning Helen Ogbu and the Galway West by-election

The predicted Starmergeddon is happening in England now - in the land of John Bull it is a far-right racist horror story - let's hope for better results in Wales and Scotland which will speed up a progressive break-up of the reactionary British state.

4) The survey gave Bacik a 22% score, with Geoghegan leading on 27%. In the real election Bacik topped the poll on 30.2% and Geoghegan trailed in second on 26.2%. After transfers, Bacik won very easily. Wait for fresh surveys before making a Galway West prediction with any level of certainty.

3) The only recent constituency opinion polls which got near the real result were surveys of the 2021 Dublin Bay South by-election published by the Irish Times. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Du...

2) Constituency opinion polls are usually unreliable because of samples that are too small, and wide margin of error. A TG4 constituency poll published before the 2024 general election suggested Mairéad Farrell of Sinn Féin was in trouble – in the real election, Farrell topped the poll.

1) If, and it is a very big if, the Galway West by-election numbers published by the Irish Times are accurate, I agree with Gavan Reilly’s preliminary analysis bsky.app/profile/gavr...

Very Big If - if the numbers are correct, I agree with Gavin Reilly's preliminary analysis.

Starmergeddon is coming on Friday May 8 2026 - unless several predictions are wildly wrong : that the Labour party led by British prime minister Sir Keir Starmer, will be heavily defeated in elections across the British state.

Results of a heartless and cruel Irish government decision - Minister Colm Brophy TD (Fine Gael, Dublin South-West) must go.

Will Dublin government denounce genocidal Israeli Navy which has committed a kidnapping crime on the high seas?

Genocidal Israel Navy kidnaps flotilla activists - time for effective action long overdue.

Wildly disproportionate result likely: next British Westminster general election (due no later than 2029) caused by 1st past the post system. Far-right Reform landslide win (311 seats) with only 26% of the vote. Refcons coalition on 377 seats out of 650 - majority of 104 seats.

Two Ukrainian volunteers are participating in the 2026 Global Sumud Flotilla Mission to Gaza. They are Nina Potarska and Andrii Movchan, and the links to the media release announcing this participation and their biographical details can be found below. tomasoflatharta.com/2026/04/27/u...

An updated tribute to Eilish Moore RIP tomasoflatharta.com/2026/04/25/e...

Proposed ban on fox🦊hunting - Sinn Féin Árd Fheis votes in favour.

Good News

If these numbers are right, the Scottish National party will win the May 7 Scottish parliament election, either with a majority over all other parties, or in coalition with the Greens. The vile racist far-right coalition Reform-Cons will only get 23 seats out of 129.

1 way or another, if these numbers are right, Wales is headed for a left-wing majority at the May 7 Senedd elections. A Plaid Cymru/Labour/Green coalition would have 56 seats, a healthy majority of 16 against the vile racist right Reform-Cons. it's a proportional representation election.

@irishleftukraine.bsky.social irishleftwithukraine.blog/2026/04/16/i...

Pope Leo is crushing President Trump in USA opinion surveys.