loading . . . NEWSOM ISN'T WINNING YOUNG MALE VOTERS -- TRUMP AND THE GOP ARE LOSING THEM We're being told that Gavin Newsom has cracked the bro code. Newsweek reports:
> California Governor Gavin Newsom holds an early edge over Vice President JD Vance among young male voters for the 2028 presidency, according to new polling from a Republican-affiliated firm.
>
> The latest League of American Workers/TIPP survey, conducted October 22-28, shows that among young men, 38 percent would vote for Newsom compared to 33 percent for Vance.
Newsom's success is said to be the result of his outreach to young men and partial embrace of the right:
> ... Newsom has sought to improve his party's image with young men, launching a podcast where he has interviewed leading MAGA figures like the late Charlie Kirk and Steve Bannon.
>
> He has also publicly criticized his party on some issues. In his conversation with conservative commentator Kirk, Newsom criticized how the Democratic Party has handled debates over transgender rights.
Mediaite also credits Newsom's rightward moves for his success in this poll, as well as his Trump-like social media presence:
> Newsom got a lot of heat from his fellow Democrats for his podcast chats with controversial figures on the right, but a new poll shows he seems to be making headway with a demographic where the left lost ground to President Donald Trump and MAGA Republicans: young men.
>
> The governor was undeterred by the criticism, saying that Democrats needed to “get out of our own damn bubble” on a May episode of his podcast. Over the past few months, Newsom has also taken a notably sharper and snarkier tone on his social media, blasting Trump and other key Republicans with a seemingly endless wave of memes, parodies, and mockery written in caps lock to mimic one of the president’s personal writing foibles.
But you have to read several paragraphs into the Mediaite story to see even a hint of what's really going on: President Trump and his party have lost young men.
> Trump (38% approval, 52% disapproval, and 10% unsure) and Vance (34% approval, 45% disapproval, and 21% unsure) were underwater with young men, but Newsom was viewed more favorably (36% approval, 32% disapproval, and 32% unsure).
That's the real story here: Young men are now noticeably less Republican and more Democratic -- and young _women_ are _very, very_ Democratic.
The poll results are here, in three spreadsheets. Among young men, it's not just Newsom who's seen favorably -- they want Democrats to control Congress by a 44%-34% margin, and if you include leaners, they're Democratic by a 46%-40% margin.
And they also approve of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's job performance by a 36%-27% margin. Even Kamala Harris gets a positive score on job performance (43%-39%), while Marco Rubio and Robert Kennedy Jr. are slightly underwater (28%-34% and 37%-40%, respectively).
But we should also be focusing on the massive rejection of the GOP by young women. We saw that in the exit polls Tuesday: 82% of female voters aged 18-29 voted for Abigail Spanberger in Virginia, 81% voted for Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey, 82% for Zohran Mamdani in New York City, and 85% for California redistricting. (The numbers for young men weren't shabby: 58% for Spanberger, 57% for Sherrill, 65% for Mamdani, and 76% for the California redistricting.)
In the TIPP survey, Newsom beats Vance among young women 47%-25%. Trump's job approval is an abysmal 24%-66%, while Vance's is 22%-56%. RFK Jr. is at 22%-48%. Marco Rubio is at 14%-30%. Newsom is at 31%-21% and AOC is at 34%-18%. Harris is at an impressive 56%-27%.
Young women want Democrats to control Congress by a whopping 56%-25% margin.
These young women don't see themselves as fire-breathing leftists -- 41% call themselves moderate, 35% liberal, and 18% conservative. (Among the young men, 45% say they're moderate, 27% liberal, and 22% conservative.)
So my takeaway is this: The GOP is dead to young women -- and is also struggling with young men. The 2024 election was an anomaly. https://nomoremister.blogspot.com/2025/11/newsom-isnt-winning-young-male-voters.html
