Three years into the world’s most dramatic humanitarian crisis, there is still no clear way out of #Sudan’s war. Beyond internal fighting, regional rivalries & external interventions are increasingly shaping #conflict & prospects for #peace My latest for #ISPI www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...

📌 Iran war → Horn of #Africa? New #NAI interview: shifting attention creates space for regional actors and raises escalation risks across the region. 🎥 youtu.be/6JWHeDOGvVI?...

📌 My take @theconversation.com : how US-Iran war could reshape Iranian politics in the medium–long term, with spillovers for the #RedSea and the Horn of #Africa. 👉 theconversation.com/iran-war-fal... #Iran #Geopolitics

📌New article in #Ethnopolitics with Giulio Levorato! We examine how local actors in #Colombia and #Somalia develop organised, long-term strategies to manage violence, and introduce the concept of #conflict management from #below. 🔗Free access: www.tandfonline.com/eprint/ZRWKF...

📌Rare earths are becoming a key #geopolitical asset. With @riccardogasco.bsky.social, we analyze #Türkiye’s potential role for the #EU in securing #critical raw #materials. #ISPI online 👇 www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicaz...

📌 #Israel-Somaliland: strategic shift in the Red Sea? Israel’s recognition of #Somaliland signals more than diplomacy It reflects strategic, economic, and security calculations with major implications for the #region My take @OrionPolicyIns 👇 orionpolicy.org/israels-reco...

🚨New issue of @MidEastPolicy out now!📘 Among many excellent contributions, my #article looks at the new #security #configuration of the #RedSea—and what it means for #regional order and #global dynamics. A must-read issue👇 #Yemen #Sudan #Somalia #Somaliland #Israel #Gaza

New Middle East Policy analyzes rebuilding failed states, Saudi gains with Trump, new Red Sea order, Turkey-Israel conflict in Syria, Israel peace movement, Erdogan’s challenges. Bugra Sari, Guilain Denoeux, Robert Springborg, @fededonelli.bsky.social, more. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/14754967...

#CFP #EISA Workshop #2026 🚨 Co-organising with May Darwich a workshop in Izmir: Hybrid #Security in a #Fractured World: The #RedSea and Beyond (WS CB) 📅 Submissions open: 12 Jan ⏰ Deadline: 10 Feb Submission🔗 eisa-net.org/ewis-2026/ab... #EISA #CFP #RedSea #SecurityStudies

With the US backing a new Israel-Iran war, Middle East Policy issues its new journal, exploring the new regional order, the Israel peace movement, Turkey’s domestic struggles. With Guilain Denoeux, Robert Springborg, @fededonelli.bsky.social, many more onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/14754967/2025/32/4

📌 #Djibouti’s constitutional change isn’t a technicality. It enables another #Guelleh term in a state central to #global #shipping and hosting numerous foreign bases. Democratic #backsliding here has real #geopolitical #costs My latest @theconversation.com 👇 theconversation.com/djiboutis-de...

The #RedSea has become one of the key arenas where #global power shifts are taking shape In my latest piece for @theconversation.com I explain why this region is now central to understanding changes in the #international #order theconversation.com/global-power...

📍 ⛴ From #Sudan’s war to Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, land and #sea insecurities are now intertwined. In my new piece for Orion Policy Institute, I explore why the Red Sea has become a strategic hinge of regional and #global #competition. 👉 orionpolicy.org/bridging-lan...

📌🇮🇹🇪🇹Can #Ethiopia be the linchpin of @GiorgiaMeloni 's #MatteiPlan in Eastern #Africa? #Italy is betting big — but the risks may rival the opportunities. My latest for @OrionPolicyIns : orionpolicy.org/betting-on-a... #Africa #EU #Geopolitics

📢 New #Issue Online! 👉 Focus on Understanding #GulfStates' foreign aid, dissecting narratives and politices of #EU #Geoeconomic turn, and more! 🔗 Read it here: shorturl.at/Pt4Ma @fededonelli.bsky.social @yzdzakiyeh.bsky.social

📌 #Uganda to deploy 4–6k troops to #Somalia under a bilateral deal—another sign of growing "forum shopping" in #African #security States are bypassing multilateral mandates for more flexible options With @giuliolevorato.bsky.social 👇 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... #Africa #IR #peacebuilding

📌Nearly 2 years into #Sudan’s #civil #war, Middle Eastern #actors continue to fuel the #conflict. In my latest for @theconversation.com, I explore how their interventions and interests impact the #battlefield & peace efforts—crucial for the #RedSea & beyond. theconversation.com/middle-easte...

📌 France's withdrawal from Chad marks a turning point. As N'Djamena looks to #Russia, Turkey & #Hungary for new alliances, the regional balance is shifting. But Hungary’s role remains ambiguous—what does its growing involvement mean for Africa’s future? 🔎 Read more: orionpolicy.org/from-paris-t...

A very insightful workshop at University of Naples L'Orientale on #informality where yesterday I presented a paper w/t @fededonelli.bsky.social on policy approaches to #ConflictManagement from below. We brought the two novel cases of #Colombia Indigenous Guard 🇨🇴 and #Somalia Ma'awisley militias 🇸🇴

📌Is #Türkiye’s #Africa policy a sign of a #foreign policy shift? In our latest #Geopolitics #open access #article, Brendon Cannon & I argue that #geopolitical #imagination & #national #role offer a deeper lens. Read more on Türkiye’s role in the #Sahel! 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

📌How do #SaudiArabia & the #UAE shape Sudan’s #political & #security landscape? My #article with Abigail Kabandula explores their growing #influence using the #FBIC #index. Read more on their #strategic maneuvers amid Sudan’s ongoing #war. Pdf: www.tandfonline.com/eprint/I8SF5...

🎙️ Just joined MICHAEL NWANKPA on the #Conflict & #Development in #Africa #podcast! We discussed #Ethiopia-#Somalia relations, Ankara's declaration, and the role of regional & extra-regional #actors in the wider #redsea region. Listen: open.spotify.com/episode/4Kpw...

📌Big moves in #aerospace & #defense #industry! Why did #Turkish giant Baykar, famed for #TB2 #drones, acquire Italy's Piaggio Aereospace? What’s the impact on the market? I discussed this with Volker Pabst for NZZ! nzz.ch/internationa...

📌Thrilled to share my analysis in the #ISPI & #Atlantic Council dossier on #Egypt-#Turkiye relations! I explore their impact on the #RedSea region—a key arena for #regional & #global #competition. Discover the dossier👇 www.ispionline.it/en/publicati... #Africa #security #Somalia

📌How are recent developments in #Syria reshaping #regional #dynamics? My two cents for #ISPI on the implications for #Türkiye. 🔗 www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...

📌 Trump's return to the White House sparks big questions for #Africa. How will #Trump 2.0 tackle climate change, #terrorism, & development? Will his past term shape new #policies or lead to #surprises? My latest Orion Policy Institute’s commentary: orionpolicy.org/trump-2-0-af... #IR #Africa #US

📌Honored to deliver a lecture at Somali National University in #Mogadishu - the first by a visiting scholar since the civil war. A historic moment, fostering cooperation with UniTrieste. Here's to #resilience and #future collaboration!🇸🇴🇮🇹 #Somalia #Italy #EU

📌Happy to share my #OpenAccess article with Altea Pericoli published by International Spectator #Foreign #Aid, #Identities & #Interests: #Qatar & #UAE in #Sudan How do #Gulf aid #strategies intertwine domestic, #regional & #global dynamics in Sudan's crises? 🖇️ www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

📌Quoted in Sole24ore by Alberto Magnani about the #Somaliland elections, and what Trump's victory could mean for the #Horn of #Africa! #Somaliland #Geopolitics #Trump #USA 24plus.ilsole24ore.com/art/somalila...

📌Happy to share my first Rabdan piece where I analyse #Ethiopia's quest for a #sea outlet & the implications of #MoU with #Somaliland Key developments in the #RedSea that could shape future #geopolitics. #Ethiopia #Somalia #Geopolitics #Africa ra.ac.ae/en/research/...

📌Excited to share my latest #article, co-authored Giulio Levorato Published by the Journal #Intervention and #Statebuilding , it challenges simplistic views and urges dialogue for progress in #peacebuilding. Enjoy reading! 👇 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....