Tom Crowley
@tomiscrowley.bsky.social
📤 1854
📥 168
📝 103
ABC federal political reporter
The millennial disdain for the Coalition got even worse in 2025, according to the first glimpse of the Australian election study. A primary of 21 and a 2PP of 64-36 is an “existential” problem as the party debates net zero, says Simon Jackman.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
loading . . .
New figures show only one in five millennials voted for the Coalition in 2025
As Liberals prepare to fly to Canberra to hash out their net zero stance, results from the Australian Election Study suggest those under 45 have continued to drift away from the Coalition.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11-11/millennials-gen-z-voters-continued-shift-away-from-coalition/105993530
about 2 months ago
3
16
6
Going in deep on the troubled HAFF. It will shake the tag that it hasn’t built any new homes (from scratch) eventually. But it’ll still be an excruciating process, like building anything in Australia. Loads of never-before-seen detail to chew on:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
loading . . .
The PM wants to build homes like the one he grew up in. These days, it's harder
It takes a long time to build anything at all in Australia's dysfunctional housing market, even for the federal government, but Labor's social housing fund is inching towards an impact.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-05/labor-housing-affordability-future-fund-off-to-slow-start/105852480
3 months ago
3
25
14
More details this morning from Treasury’s briefing headings, including the full set on housing for you to read for yourself. Among the opportunities identified: reviewing Commonwealth Rent Assistance
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
loading . . .
Support payment for renters on Treasury's housing options list
Labor has been given several policy options to expand on its housing agenda after Jim Chalmers acknowledged yesterday its signature target was not on track.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07-15/support-payment-for-renters-on-treasury-housing-options/105531242
6 months ago
1
1
2
A rare insight into what Treasury really thinks, all thanks to an email mishap. Raise taxes and cut spending if you want to fix the budget. Your housing target won’t be met. And be prepared for a US dollar crisis. My report with Dan Ziffer:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
loading . . .
Treasury advises Labor to consider higher taxes and a new housing target
A series of subheadings accidentally sent to the ABC by Treasury reveals extensive detail about its frank advice to the re-elected Albanese government.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07-14/raise-taxes-lower-housing-target-treasury-advises-labor/105504538
6 months ago
2
11
3
It’s no small thing that the treasurer sees a window of opportunity to reform tax, and there is no shortage of problems he could fix. But he must be willing to create losers, and that’s always been the hard part. My analysis for your Saturday morning.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...
loading . . .
Jim Chalmers wants to pick a fight on tax — and time is of the essence
There was no mistaking the impression that the treasurer is emboldened by the election result and wants to seize his moment.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06-21/jim-chalmers-paul-keating-tax-reform-productivity/105438768
7 months ago
5
22
6
I’m thinking of getting involved in some discords, are there good ones floating around? I vaguely recall some being mentioned in these circles.
7 months ago
0
2
3
A number of markers laid by Bragg in his interview with me, which you can both read and watch here. A very substantial shift underway on housing and a quiet but firm rinsing of the Sukkar strategy.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
loading . . .
Liberals to shift housing focus from buyer incentives and urban sprawl
Andrew Bragg also promises a focus on small businesses and private sector investment in his newly created productivity and deregulation shadow portfolios.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05-30/liberals-too-focused-on-homebuyer-help-and-urban-sprawl/105354280?utm_source=abc_news_app&utm_medium=content_shared&utm_campaign=abc_news_app&utm_content=safari
7 months ago
4
6
2
A close look at the suburban results. In mid-affluent areas, massive primary swings towards Labor, not just where they won but in Cook, Mitchell, Berowra. In outer suburban areas, Dutton's all-consuming obsession, third party splintering did not help him a jot.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
loading . . .
Liberals on brink of near-total wipe-out in Australia's suburbs
The election result is a tale of two cities — Labor has picked up healthy swings on first preferences in affluent areas but there are signs of discontent in the outer suburbs.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05-05/how-the-liberals-lost-the-cities/105251160
8 months ago
0
3
2
This was a real pleasure!
add a skeleton here at some point
8 months ago
0
2
0
Updates on about 60 seats here with sentiment from across the camps. The baseline expectation is a moderate Labor loss in Victoria and a wash elsewhere.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
loading . . .
Here's the state of play in dozens of seats that could decide the election
While there is broad agreement that Peter Dutton has a narrower path to victory than Anthony Albanese, campaigners are bracing for the unexpected.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-28/state-of-the-federal-election-race/105221660
8 months ago
1
2
3
The list of seats where work from home is likely to be most prevalent reads like a shopping list of marginals My anatomy of a backflip:
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
loading . . .
How Dutton's work-from-home crackdown came undone
Jane Hume joked that the private sector might follow the Liberals in cracking down on work from home, but the party ran into trouble when voters came to fear the same.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-08/work-from-home-created-trouble-in-dozens-of-seats/105146686
9 months ago
0
8
5
reposted by
Tom Crowley
Stephen Kirchner
9 months ago
Nice chart from Macrobond putting tomorrow's tariffs in historical perspective. Eight decades worth of trade liberalisation efforts already binned by Trump.
0
3
2
My take from last night’s budget coverage on the fiscal big picture after a full term of Labor budgets.
loading . . .
9 months ago
0
3
0
Suffice it to say I was less than impressed by the tone of estimates this week, even by estimates standards. So I wrote about it.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03...
loading . . .
Treasury came armed with a warning. Politicians dragged them into the mud
Frank and fearless advice about how Australia should navigate Trump's tariffs was lost in the din of election season.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03-02/treasury-came-armed-with-a-warning-politicians-dragged-them-mud/104995418
10 months ago
0
7
4
My contribution to the ABC’s series Untangling the Housing Crisis is an examination of the hard evidence. A solution is not as far away as many think.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02...
loading . . .
A fix to the housing crisis could be close. Can politics deliver it?
However desperate the situation might seem, cities around the world have shown that a housing crisis can be solved quickly with sufficient political will.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02-11/can-politics-deliver-a-solution-to-the-housing-crisis/104888710
11 months ago
3
10
4
Solid haul at the Lifeline Book Fair
11 months ago
1
7
0
Technodeudalism 🤟🏽
11 months ago
1
13
11
🤨
add a skeleton here at some point
11 months ago
1
8
3
Anybody seen a good long read on why hyper online left young people get feverish about random things and deify them a la Putricia? Not sneering at it, just feel there’s some insight there that eludes me. Like why is the PROTECT HER AT ALL COSTS bit so left coded? No reason why it has to be but it is
11 months ago
1
1
0
What Caught My Eye going to be an all-timer in Rd 1
12 months ago
0
0
0
Lot of very cursed ads kicking around on The Other Website these days, but this gentleman wants to make sure you're familiar with your major thirds and minor sixths.
12 months ago
0
3
0
Upon further reflection this movie would also have been improved by casting everyone except Ralph Fiennes as a muppet
add a skeleton here at some point
12 months ago
1
7
0
Saw conclave. Needed an electoral analyst type. What were the preference flows from Adeyemi? How crucial was the orthodox bloc with the different hats. Etc.
12 months ago
1
6
1
Jobs vacancies tick up in November, with most of it in the private sector (yes, seasonally adjusted)
www.abs.gov.au/statistics/l...
loading . . .
Job Vacancies, Australia, November 2024
Results of the quarterly Job Vacancies Survey containing estimates of job vacancies classified by industry, sector and state/territory.
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/jobs/job-vacancies-australia/latest-release
12 months ago
1
4
2
Labor's candidate for Leichhardt doubling down on The Repacholi Stratagem (preselect Big Units). Could be a game changer.
12 months ago
1
7
2
Ah, the sounds of summer. Test cricket on the radio, chirping of cicadas in the evening, announcement that the Bruce Highway is still being upgraded.
12 months ago
2
11
2
Got through a bit over half of these which is pretty good going I think! The Judt rocked, as did Power Without Glory.
add a skeleton here at some point
12 months ago
0
1
0
This pic goes so hard
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 year ago
2
7
0
Pulse check on Gavaskar?
about 1 year ago
1
16
2
DiDi it’s 11am
about 1 year ago
0
1
0
Siraj shushing a crowd that is mostly Indian fans cheering for him
about 1 year ago
0
12
4
I’ve watched the Sunil Gavaskar commentary sook up so many times now I’ve lost count
about 1 year ago
0
4
0
Wage-price Labuschpiral consolidates strong Aussie start
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 year ago
1
7
0
Another year passes and I remain irredeemably shithouse at present wrapping. Measuring, cutting, shaping, taping, one unmitigated nightmare. 2/3 look fine but conceal mangled horrors within. Merry Christmas.
about 1 year ago
0
5
0
Magnificent cultural artefact this. Not a lick of anything even slightly left of field, every choice somehow more mainstream than the last. And yet you can’t deny they are, indeed, bangers and you’d be singing along unselfconsciously. If that isn’t Warnie.
about 1 year ago
7
39
16
With the out of the office on and the 🍹 awaiting, I’m also marking one year at the ABC. It’s still a thrill and a privilege. I’m a true believer in rigorous, fair public broadcasting and hope you’ve derived a public good from my work! Thanks to all on here from whom I continue to learn a great deal.
about 1 year ago
2
14
2
Simply having a wonderful Christmastime (ABS maps has added the new electorate boundaries)
about 1 year ago
1
6
0
Counting the drones on the New Jersey skyline they've all come to look for America
about 1 year ago
1
9
0
You'd better believe I'm excited for my annual summer break book binge. Here's my list. Skews towards political non fiction because counterintuitively it's only when I'm away from work that I want to read that stuff. But there's a mix. Share yours pls! I'll report back with reviews.
about 1 year ago
1
10
3
The true meaning of Christmas is Bob Dylan singing O Come All Ye Faithful in Latin
open.spotify.com/track/6iTQd6...
loading . . .
O' Come All Ye Faithful (Adeste Fideles)
Bob Dylan · Christmas In The Heart · Song · 2009
https://open.spotify.com/track/6iTQd62fps9kn7zsQp3gHS?si=aphayUUuSHm4R7qA34A62g&context=spotify%3Aalbum%3A6Ylr6c6snKHzMBaZHXHEWm
about 1 year ago
0
3
1
There’s a strange and serene beauty to some of these. Why are they… so moving?
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 year ago
2
21
4
reposted by
Tom Crowley
Alison Reeve
about 1 year ago
The Coalition's preferred scenario has a slower shift towards electric vehicles and all-electric homes, which means less demand for electricity. So consumers may be spending less on electricity, but they will be spending more on gas and petrol.
add a skeleton here at some point
1
29
15
Peter Dutton's nuclear proposal relies on a smaller economy and higher emissions, and would cost more than $300 billion, per his long-awaited costing. Coal would stay longer to fill the gap before nuclear plants arrive in 12 years' time at the earliest.
www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
loading . . .
Coalition's nuclear costings assume smaller economy and higher emissions
Peter Dutton is today revealing long-awaited details of his nuclear power proposal.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12-13/coalition-says-nuclear-option-cheaper-than-renewables/104720926
about 1 year ago
2
2
3
reposted by
Tom Crowley
Aron Lund
about 1 year ago
Sitcom idea: The Office, but about when a young go-getter mujahed arrives to take over a dilapidated Baathist ministry full of work-shy, scheming nepotism hires.
add a skeleton here at some point
6
178
63
Opening a book on Chalmers RBA Board appointments. Taking submissions (this is not a real thing): Jeff Borland $1.50 Cherelle Murphy $3.50 Stephen Koukoulas $5.20 Angela Jackson $6.00 Craig Emerson $9.00 Nicki Hutley $21.00 Zac Gross $51.00 Richard Holden $51.00 Steve Hamilton $1001.00
about 1 year ago
12
30
3
Bluesky has the juice
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 year ago
0
8
1
Annual entreaty not to be a grinch about Spotify wrapped, it’s nice when people share their music tastes! Tell me about yours
about 1 year ago
1
2
0
Andrew Leigh announcing that donations under $2 can be tax deductible if you keep the receipt, which in the nicest possible way is something that only Andrew Leigh would actually bother to do.
about 1 year ago
1
17
4
Ron’s been splinched
about 1 year ago
0
1
0
And now it is over!
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 year ago
1
2
1
Load more
feeds!
log in