Our analysis of data from the front lines in Ukraine suggests Russia is suffering its heaviest losses of the conflict so far. We use satellites to track the fighting: www.economist.com/interactive/...

Whether a specific ceasefire will hold can be very hard to tell. But data on masses of them, researchers told me, reveal some factors that tend to be correlated with success. I had a look at 2,203 declared since 1989: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

To track the Israel-Iran war, @economist.com, I think uniquely, monitors 208 strategic sites in Iran for abnormal thermal activity. It can be hard to know how much maps of confirmed strikes may miss. We find broad overlap, but not perfect. www.economist.com/interactive/...

Russia has attacked along virtually the entire front in the past week, and especially heavily in the past few days. But essentially no shift in the front lines. www.economist.com/interactive/...

Our cover this week is about girls. The news is good: I find that the enormous global shortfall of baby girls has seen a stunning decline. www.economist.com/leaders/2025...

Our poll of Ukraine is now in (N=1000). Mr Zelensky approval at >70%, very few want elections before peace. But also suggests 58% will not want Ukraine to concede territory, and that many also expect the war to end within the year -> www.economist.com/europe/2025/... by @olliecarroll.bsky.social

In 2024, Russia seized less than half a percent of Ukrainian land at the cost of about 100,000 lives, new estimates of casualties and my calculations suggest. My take on the latest data: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

Recommend this for those interested in my work or how I think about it: oxfordpoliticalreview.com/2025/02/28/t...

The impact of the latest round of tariffs on US imports from China depends on what the alternatives are. If you thought most of these imported goods are easy to get from elsewhere, I'd think again www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

What makes ceasefires, such as the one between Israel and Hamas, more likely to succeed? The experts I talked to and data from 2000+ recent halts in fighting suggest monitoring, politics and a strong start are key: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

It is the season for giving in many countries. I had a look at what the data can and cannot tell about doing good well: www.economist.com/finance-and-...

Context re events in South Korea (Yoon Suk-Yeol at ~15% per latest Morning Consult data) pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/glo...

How many Ukrainian soldiers have died defending the country? I collected all the data I could find, and found that this suggests the answer is at a minimum 60k, but probably many more. www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

What does Elon Musk's online activity reveal about him? Going through nearly 40,000 posts over the past decade, and the policies implied or suggested in them, @ainsliejstone.bsky.social and I found a changed man

What would it cost to end coal power, and what would be gained? I used data on all known coal power plants (present and future), co2-reabsorption modelling and much more to get an answer www.economist.com/interactive/...

Hello again world. Will try to post here sometimes. Next: what it would cost to end coal.

hello world