Back this Thursday. The latest on a push of Arctic air this weekend into the Eastern US, as well as a developing stormy pattern late next week in California. A lot of weather-related news from research to flood mitigation to share and an update on NOAA/NWS as well below or at theeyewall.com.

We have an update on Melissa’s aftermath in the Caribbean, plus a look back at an event that got kind of lost in the shuffle with Melissa: A deadly flash flooding event in New York City back on Thursday. Plus, a look at a forthcoming atmospheric river for the West. More below or at theeyewall.com.

We have the latest on Melissa’s next moves toward Bermuda and Newfoundland. Plus, some updates on information out of Jamaica, as well as a number of ways that you can directly help relief efforts in the Caribbean. Below or at theeyewall.com.

Melissa is the worst Atlantic storm you could imagine, and it’s making landfall in Jamaica as I write this. Very few places on the planet have experienced conditions like some portions of Jamaica will in the coming hours. Our thoughts are with the Caribbean. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

A sinking feeling as we look at Melissa this evening. Here’s an evening update and reaction to what it has done today. Link below or at theeyewall.com

Hurricane Melissa has crossed into category 5 intensity, and it remains forecast to be a historic, catastrophic storm for Jamaica. It will also be the strongest since Sandy, possibly on record in eastern Cuba. Details on what we know this AM in the post below or at theeyewall.com.

A true catastrophe is likely to unfold in Jamaica, as multiple days of rain followed by a direct hit from a top-end hurricane push the limits of what the country has seen historically. Details on the forecast, which aren’t much changed today below and at theeyewall.com.

Melissa is now a rapidly intensifying hurricane, and it is plausible that it will produce an almost unimaginably bad outcome for Jamaica over the next 48 hours. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

Tropical Storm Melissa’s forecast has undergone mostly cosmetic changes this morning. A damaging, severe hurricane with wide-ranging impacts in Haiti, Jamaica, and Cuba is likely. We continue to focus on heavy rainfall and multiple days of hurricane impacts in very vulnerable locations. #tsmelissa

Here is our evening update on Melissa, which looks increasingly likely to be a catastrophic storm for parts of the Caribbean. We explain how it should start to get its act together, where it will go, and how much rain we expect to see (a lot).

Here's a quick update on Tropical Melissa this morning, as conditions in Jamaica become an increasing concern. We'll have a more detailed update later today. #tsmelissa

Here's a quick post on why Melissa's lack of development in the near term is worse news in the long-term and what may happen in the coming days. Check below or theeyewall.com.

A Wednesday video update on TS Melissa, a very serious threat to the Caribbean.

A lot of us share some grave concerns about Melissa, particularly given where it will impact and where it will track -- but especially because of how damn slow it's going to move. Explained here or at theeyewall.com.

Invest 98L is on the cusp of becoming a named storm (Melissa). A major storm is possible in the Caribbean this week. We discuss how it will slow down and meander, as well as how serious the rainfall situation is (it’s serious) in today’s update below or at theeyewall.com

Tropical update for Monday? Tropical update for Monday.

Invest 98L looks healthy this AM. It may stay buried in the Caribbean -- or as AI modeling suggests, it may stall, intensify, and lift toward Hispaniola. 98L bears close watching in the Caribbean. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

We took a close look at Invest 98L in the Caribbean. It is worth close watching this week for portions of the central and SW Caribbean. Also, we dive in on a potentially significant change in the Lower 48 right before Halloween. Details in today’s post below or at theeyewall.com.

Caribbean odds of development are pretty stable this morning, but we look at the latest. We also discuss how weather balloon launch reductions may have impacted forecasts in Alaska this past weekend. Plus, good news (action by the state) & bad news (FEMA) in Texas in the wake of July’s flooding.

Today we look closer at Caribbean risks next week. We also have the latest on Alaska storm recovery and how you can help, flooding in Colorado as well as Mexico, and some interesting news from California on wildfire mitigation. Check it out! More below or at theeyewall.com.

Major flooding even higher than this weekend's is impacting Pagosa Springs, CO this AM after ~7 inches of rain in the mountains since Saturday. We also update the storm in California, a massive western Alaska storm and what may be next in the Caribbean:

Today, we dive in on the West, with more flooding in AZ/CO today, as well as severe weather in Los Angeles tonight. The East Coast nor’easter has met expectations in terms of wind and rain but less so in terms of tide levels. We discuss that and the latest on newly formed TS Lorenzo today.

Reported max wind gusts on the coasts of NJ & DE so far. 58 mph Barnegat Inlet, 56 mph Atlantic City Marina

Too many notes to fit in a microblog post, so here you go. Flash flood emergency earlier outside Phoenix, wettest day in PHX since 2018 and top 20 all-time, and tides high in Jersey but falling short of forecast so far in Atlantic City at least; higher in Cape May.

Active! We have the latest on coastal flooding for Jersey and NYC. Significant flooding, perhaps the worst in 100 years in parts of southwest CO overnight, with more rain coming tomorrow. And an early season winter storm in California with Sierra snow. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

C-SPAN 2 today at 2:40 CT, they will air my talk from the Galveston Historical Foundation on the 1900 Galveston Hurricane. www.c-span.org/event/americ...

For South Jersey and Delaware, it appears this will be the most significant coastal storm in 10 to 15 years. Major impacts, particularly from gusty winds, beach erosion, and coastal flooding. We explain impacts and the latest on active Western weather below or at theeyewall.com.

A whole heck of a lot to cover today on the coastal storm this weekend in the Mid-Atlantic. Impacts in NJ and Delaware could be the worst since January 2016 or Hurricane Sandy south of Long Beach Island. Expected impacts and more below and at theeyewall.com

Visit theeyewall.com for the latest on the two major weather stories over the next few days: A major east coast nor’easter (looking at you, Jersey friends) and a major rain event in the Desert. More to come on this.

Two major U.S. weather events will unfold in the coming days: A coastal storm in the East will whip up wind, surf, and rain from North Carolina to southern New England. In the Southwest, heavy rainfall with tropical moisture will lead to significant flash flooding concerns Friday and Saturday.

The latest on what we know about this weekend’s long-duration coastal storm off the Eastern Seaboard. Plus, an update on Jerry & Hurricane Priscilla's remnant moisture in the Desert Southwest this weekend as well with flooding potential. Lots to cover.

Tropical Storm Jerry has formed, but we think there are some more important issues to discuss in the weather. Details below.

Invest 95L is interesting but it seems unlikely to be a serious concern. Meanwhile, there is stuff to watch off the Southeast later this week or weekend. We explain, plus have more on potential rain in the Desert SW from Priscilla.

Invest 95L will likely develop this week in the Atlantic, though it should miss the islands we think. Meanwhile, on the other side of the continent, Priscilla in the E Pacific may eventually be a rainmaker in the Southwest. Details on what we know today below or at theeyewall.com

We have the latest on the disturbance near Florida, the next one in the Atlantic, and Storm Amy. We also look back at Humberto’s rapid intensification and the lessons we can apply to evacuations in the context of recent news from the Gulf Coast.

An update from Bermuda, which seems to have weathered Imelda fine. Next up, Storm Amy will hit the UK this weekend with Amber warnings for wind in Scotland. Two new tropical areas to watch, one in the central Atlantic next week, the other will be a rainmaker in Florida. Details on it all today.

In which @mattlanza.bsky.social discusses Imelda’s “robust backside.”

Imelda, now a hurricane will take aim at Bermuda tomorrow. It’s going to get a burst of help from the jet stream as it approaches Bermuda and begins to transition into a hybrid hurricane/extratropical storm. Details on how this will unfold and more today! Below or at theeyewall.com

Imelda’s forecast continues to confidently shift away from the U.S., but in the process, Bermuda is now at risk. Details on what we could expect to see in the coming days, the latest on Humberto, and a quick check on other weather across the country today below or at theeyewall.com

The latest on TD 9 this afternoon and its thankfully diminishing threat to the Southeast for now. Plus, we have another look at Humberto, which hit category 5 intensity on Saturday, the second storm this year, in the context of a marine heat wave below or at theeyewall.com

No one signed up to do hurricane forecasting because it’s easy. A hard forecast is normal, and this one for Tropical Depression 9 is worth a couple Excedrin. All the latest in our post:

Here is our evening update on Potential Tropical Cyclone 9, a system likely to become Imelda, hit the Bahamas, and then threaten the coastal Carolinas with very heavy rain. Details on the rainfall scenarios. #ncwx #scwx

I stop at a Buc-ee’s to use the fabulous restrooms and record a tropical update video!

We have the latest on Invest 94L and why it remains worth watching closely on the East Coast. Plus, we dive in on Gabrielle and impacts to the Azores and eventually Portugal and Spain. And there’s also Humberto as well. We take a look at all three today below or at theeyewall.com

Here’s a Wednesday evening update on newly formed Tropical Storm #Humberto and what’s new with Invest 94L. Spoiler alert: Don’t expect much clarity on Invest 94L’s forecast for another few days at least.

We have a full update on the twin Invests in the Atlantic and what we know (and more importantly don’t know) about them today. Plus, Gabrielle isn’t done yet, with hurricane impacts coming to the Azores. More below or at theeyewall.com

Hope you’re all surviving the rapture okay! Here’s a Tuesday evening video tropical update.

We’re beginning to look closer at newly minted Invests 93L and 94L in the SW Atlantic. The overall weather pattern is a mess with high uncertainty, but folks on the East Coast, Bahamas, Caribbean islands, and Bermuda should be keeping an eye on things. Details today:

Prefer a video tropical update? Gotcha covered. Gettin’ noisy out there folks.

It’s starting to actually look like September in the Atlantic. We have the latest on Gabrielle’s rapid intensification, as well as the two disturbances we’re watching and what they may do in the coming days. Read for more!