#Survivor49 confessionals/hr Savannah has 2.2x more than expected, the 7th highest at this point in the new era. Above her is a winner, a runner-up up and two 4th-place finishers 1. Aysha 2.8x 2. Charlie 2.5x 3. Carson 2.3x 4. Yam Yam 2.3x 5. Jesse 2.2x 6. David 2.2x 7. Savannah 2.2x

#Survivor49 Confessionals/hr - why are Rizo and The Kele tribe (almost) all near the top? - Rizo and Alex competed in the fight for supplies challenge - Rizo won and provided for his tribe - Kele lost and went to tribal Also, Rizo has the 5th highest cph after e1 in the new era

The confessional timing app is good to go for #Survivor49. It's borderline impossible for me to do this these days, so if you use it, let me know.

I've pulled together a table of career rounds played - a round is essentially a tribal council. If I've done this right Parvati is killing it. 5 seasons 81 rounds in total 66 rounds survived 2 rounds not survived (voted out) 3 Final tribal councils 10 rounds in limbo (EoE) 🧵 #Survivor

#SurvivorAU v The World was a fantastic season, and according to the mean IMDb rating it is the best out of all AU and US seasons. 🥇 AU S11 Aus v The World (9.0) 🥈 AU S09 Titans v Rebels (8.7) 🥉 AU S10 Brains v Brawn II (8.7) Take IMDb ratings with a grain of salt, though. Few more stats in the 🧵

I only recently heard about the #Survivor Margarita curse - the person who wins the Margarita at the Survivor Auction gets booted that episode. It's happened the last 4 times. 🤯 However, it has never happened in #SurvivorAU. Therefore, the only rational explanation is Probsty curses the Margarita

Good news for those in the incredibly niche intersection of #Rstats users and #Survivor fans - Aus v The World is now complete. Available on Git and CRAN 👍 Also available as xlsx or json. 💾 github.com/doehm/survivoR

Survival curves for #Alone season 12. It's hard to survive in the desert. This is the shortest season by a long way! Nathan won in 34 days. The second shortest season was S1 where Alan Kay won in 56 days. 6 tapped for health reasons, 3 for personal reasons #rstats #dataviz 💾 github.com/doehm/alone

#AlienEarth is very good, and have to give special mention to the episode end credits song choices: 1. Black Sabbath - The Mob Rules 2. Tool - Stinkfist 3. Metallica - Wherever I May Roam 4. Jane's Addiction - Ocean Size 5. Smashing Pumpkins - Cherub Rock So good! youtu.be/_QIm5dwd6ME?...

I've been listening to a lot of the latest Deftones album recently. Inspired to make a colour palette from the album cover. (made with eyedroppeR) #Rstats #dataviz

Finally, the model also says the odds are in Parv's favour. Probability of winning: 53% Parvati 23% Luke 13% Janine 12% Cirie #SurvivorAU

Granted this is not a standard season, but I imagine it's going to be between Luke and Parv, but Parv has the highest favourability with the jury #SurvivorAU

Final confessionals per hour (CPH) for Aus v The World. Parv is the only player above expectation. Luke is about even stevens. Janine is on 1.7. Out of the US and AU seasons, there have only been 3 winners with a lower CPH - Chris (US38), Natalie (US19), Liz (AU08) #survivor #SurvivorAU

Just sayin' #SurvivorAU

Do confessionals matter? As in, do they help us glean insight into who may win the season? The relationship is pretty clear actually - The higher the number of confessionals per hr, the higher the chance of winning. In which case, Parvati is looking good. #Survivor #SurvivorAU

I'd love to see a season where a shoe was a genuine idol. It would be complete chaos from that point on. You wouldn't know what's an idol shoe or fake shoe. There would probably be mass burning of shoes. #SurvivorAU

Crack the Skye is my favourite album of all time. Gave it a few spins today. RIP Brent Hinds.

I'm probably alone on this but 'days' is the least important measure of experience in #SurvivorAU. The number of Tribal Councils attended/avoided is better since that's when people leave the game. Here's a tally of TC history, including the last 3 episodes. Discussion in the thread. 1/

So, it seems this season is being called season 11 of #SurvivorAU rather than distinguishing it from the core series. It's kind of annoying from a data pov, but I've relabelled it AU11 rather than AW01. Not a hill I'm going to die on. Data is up: github.com/doehm/survivoR

#SurvivorAU Aus v The World confessionals per hour

A very good start to #SurvivorAU Aus v The World. 2 of the first 3 episodes make the top 5 highest rated episodes of all time. The top 2 episodes are largely due to King George 👑 S8 E7 - 9.6 S11 E2 - 9.5 ⭐ S3 E17 - 9.4 S5 E3 - 9.3 S11 E1 - 9.3 ⭐

Here's some insight into my life. I spend about 12 mins per day on social media, or 9.7% of the global average, apparently. 7 mins of that is on Bluesky posting #dataviz. The Bluesky global average is ~8 minutes (according to the app I used for the data).

The #Survivor confessional app is ready to go for Aus v the World. Unfortunately, it's not available online (yet), but installing the package from Git will allow you to run it locally. Let me know if you are using it. #SurvivorAU github.com/doehm/survivoR

Is Strava's fitness score really this bad? Two years ago I ran the Canberra Trail 100k in 10:49. Yesterday I ran it again in 10:32, a new PB. According to Strava's fitness score I'm about half as fit as I was. I'm no fitness guru but a higher score = fitter, right? #trailrunning

#Survivor Aus v The World - who's voted with who in past seasons? There are many votes connecting Sarah, Luke, David, and Janine. Early alliance, maybe? Shonee and George have voted with each other 9 times, but no one else, and there's some bad blood from HvV. Here's my prediction 👇 #SurvivorAU

Some quick stats on #survivor Aus v The World 🔥 Shonee has attended the most Tribal Councils 📝 King George has received the most votes ✅ Rob has the highest successful boot percentage 🧵 1/4 #SurvivorAU

The cast for #survivor Aus v The World has been added to the survivoR package. I've set the version_season as AW01, but may have to change it to AU11 if they start calling it the 11th season of #SurvivorAU github.com/doehm/survivoR #Rstats

#Survivor winners who play in all returnee seasons tend to get booted early. The average place in the following all returnee season for... Sole Survivors: 12th Those who finished in 2nd or 3rd place: 11th 4th-6th place: 8th 7th or lower: 9th Not significant results, but hard not to see a trend.

In #Survivor, the number of times players voted with each other is a key indicator of alliance strength and trust. In all returnee seasons, some players have played together, some haven't, and may already be starting at a disadvantage. Here's a short thread of vote history for #survivor50 🧵 1/

A little late, but here is a short wrap-up of #Alone Australia season 3. I don't think it was intended, but it's very fitting that they are all standing in water, given the insane flooding they endured over the 70+ days. gradientdescending.com/alone/storie...

Here's a short analysis of Season 50 players (in scrollytelling format), where I compare each player wrt to the different castaway scores. I also offer a prediction of who I think will win. 🔗 survivorstatsdb.com/posts/s50-st... #Survivor #Survivor50

The last release of {survivoR} included a big update to the castaway_scores table. Here's a new blog post explaining the score methodology and identifying the player over the last 48 seasons with the highest overall score. Any guesses? 🔗 gradientdescending.com/castaway-sco... 1/2 #Survivor

Good news - the latest update for {survivoR} is now on CRAN. It includes: - #Survivor48 data - Huge update to castaway_scores - new boot_order table - #Survivor50 cast More about the updates here gradientdescending.com/season-48-is... #Rstats

#AloneAustralia season 3 has wrapped up, so it's time to release v0.6 of {alone}. A few stats to come. Big thanks to @carlylevitz.bsky.social for help with the data. github.com/doehm/alone #Rstats #dataviz

Updated this returning castaways chart for #survivor50 - Most returnees from S2 (8), followed by S1 (6) and S28 (6) - Most cumulative returnees form S2 (14), followed by S13 (12) and S18 (9) - 0 returnees from S26, 39, 41, 43 - No returnees from S5 since S8 - No returnees from S9, S14 since S16

I think this means seasons 26, 39, 41, and 43 are now the only seasons where first-time players haven't/won't be returning for another season. #survivor50

#Survivor48 ranks 44th based on IMDb ratings. But don't read too much into it, only 0.004% of viewers leave a rating. Sure, it wasn't the most exciting season, but it wasn't bad. There were some very memorable moments. In some ways, I found the slow burn refreshing. 1/ #survivor

#survivor48 data is now complete and up on Git. As per usual, notice something not quite right, let me know. There are also links to the xlsx on the Git page for those inclined. Enjoy 👍 🔗 github.com/doehm/survivoR #Rstats #Survivor

Final #survivor48 votes with the jury It's all pretty close, but only two people on the jury voted for someone other than the person they shared the most votes with - Mary and Mitch. Right on expectation. #Survivor

Final #survivor48 confessionals/hr (cph) Sai ended up with the highest cph at 6.7. Chrissy had the lowest at 1.3 and 56% lower than expected. #survivor

#TidyTuesday week 19: Seismic Events at Mount Vesuvius 🌋 A quick one looking at the relationship between depth and duration magnitude. #Rstats #dataviz #ggplot2

Here's how the final 5 compare to previous winners wrt confessionals/hr and confessional time. Joe, Kamilla, and Mitch have a similar position to Erika, Maryanne, and Gabler. Eva and Kyle are more similarly positioned to Kenzie and Rachel. More interesting than informative. #survivor48 #survivor

#survivor48 votes with the jury I reckon this season is going to be a toss up but here's how the votes with the jury are shaping up. Shauhin has voted with Kamilla, Kyle, and Joe 6 times each. #survivor

#survivor48 confessionals Shauhin ranked 30/144 in the new era and 200/875 overall. #survivor

#survivor48 chances of winning By the numbers, Joe and Eva have the best chances heading into the finale. #survivor

This is a great article, great #dataviz, and I like the trend. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...

E5 ranks 22/660 (8.8) E11 ranks 660/660 (4.3) I think the E11 rating reflects less on the quality of the episode, but more on the fandom. #survivor48 #survivor

#survivor48 confessionals/hr 16/47 players have won with a cph lower than 4. Mitch, Joe, Kamilla, and Shauhin all have a cph lower than 4. #survivor

#survivor48 votes with the jury Every player has shared exactly 10 votes with the jury. This has never happened before. #survivor

#survivor48 chances of winning at the final 6 This is actually pretty wild. Eva, Kamilla, Shauhin, and Joe all have the same probability of winning from here (just ignore the rounding errors). #survivor