New Spanish edition of Third Millennium Thinking! There are Italian, German, Chinese, and several other editions out now, and editions in Portugese, Russian, Japanese, Vietnamese, Ukranian and a few other languages soon. Still no interest from the French; pardon moi for badmouthing post-modernism.

ChatGPT 4o feels my pain. (And yes, I somehow felt compelled to share my inner musings with it, and I always thank AI programs.)

After trying to give them the benefit of the doubt for a few months, I'm finally cancelling my @washingtonpost.com subscription. So sad.

Whoa. This is huge.

The older I get, the less cleverness resembles either knowledge or wisdom, which seem much harder to come by.

ChatGPT now seems to mention things it learned about me in previous queries (e.g., that I'm using Quarto for a new book project). This immediately makes it both more useful for me, but also slightly...um, terrifying. 🫣

{Bra-zil, ian} -- {ver-sion, of our} -- {book is, published}! (Punctuation placed to facilitate reading to a clave beat)

Seems like a good time to find out what cottagecore is all about, with ~4 yrs worth of videos on YouTube.

Excellent idea in "Third Millennium Thinking" @robmaccoun.bsky.social to encourage government to copy science and oblige policymakers to express confidence intervals around their factual statements, captured here h/t @ppfideas.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=2GW_...

The Onion's Supreme Court brief is a must read.

Bob and Julia are always fun to talk with, and Julia and I got to compare notes (before the show) about King Gizzard and the Wizard Lizard.

The good news: If trained to be evil, this AI may have just faked being evil, temporarily, to make the best of a bad situation. The bad news: Of course it *would* say that, if it really had become evil. Gulp.

This is a serious problem; the system runs on perceived legitimacy.

I'm delighted that Third Millennium Thinking is included in Behavioral Scientist's Notable Books of 2024. behavioralscientist.org/behavioral-s...

New paper in The Critical Review of Social Science Studies cites me for an imaginary paper: "MacCoun, R. J. (2006). Moral decision making and the psychology of conflict. Social Psychology Quarterly, 69(4), 334-350." No such paper. Curious to see if it gets cited in the future now that it "exists."

In the old neighborhood, I would have been alarmed that I follow more people than follow me. A new neighborhood calls for new norms: Following interesting others is something to celebrate. 👋

I regularly invite my students to ponder the puzzle of how humans often violate Bayes theorem and yet tiny bumblebee brains are capable of optimal Bayesian foraging. This paper might offer the solution: psycnet.apa.org/record/2023-... @bayesandbounds.bsky.social

On Thanksgiving afternoon, I happened to relisten to Joni Mitchell's "Down to You". For some reason, it has been playing in my head non-stop ever since. Perhaps I should be concerned, but it has remained glorious the whole time.

Hey, we're in German too, with a bilingual title.

This place is an American treasure. www.gofundme.com/f/help-secur...

I'm very excited that our book will come out soon in China!

Just last night, I was telling an audience how important it is to protect the integrity and continuity of federal data collection efforts (economic, public health, criminal justice, etc.), so I was heartened by this morning's lovely NYT essay: www.nytimes.com/2024/12/06/b...

I'm looking forward to our book event at the Exploratorium After Dark this Thursday. It's a wonderful place and if you go, you get the whole museum to yourself before and after our event (i.e., no school field trips to compete with). www.exploratorium.edu/visit/calend...

Wow. My curated Bluesky feed is so different from my old feed-that-shall-not-be-mentioned. A big dose of beautiful art, nature, and science, and then some policy stuff that is about ideas, evidence, and problem solving. I don't even feel the need to make this post wry or clever.

fivebooks.com/category/new... Nice to see our Third Millennium Thinking getting a nod here.

On Saturday, we had a fun reunion of the team that in 2009-2015 published projections of effects of cannabis legalization in CA and several other states. With Jonathan Caulkins, Gregory Midgette, Beau Kilmer, Rosalie Pacula, Rosanna Smart, and Peter Reuter. (Working on new paper; watch this space!)

"You're my blue sky, you're my sunny day Lord, you know it makes me high When you turn your love my way Turn your love my way, yeah".