🗳️ BY-ELECTIONS | The average turnout in Dublin Central is currently standing at 10.3% IN ORDER OF HIGHEST TURNOUT: Glasnevin NS - 13% St. Finbarrs NS - 12.75% Sean O’Casey - 10.7% Deaf Village - 9.2% St. Paul’s CBS - 7%

🗳️ BY-ELECTIONS | The average turnout in Galway West is currently standing at 10.1%

🚨 NEW | Former President Michael D. Higgins pictured outside polling station in Galway West with his wife Sabina, Labour leader Ivana Bacik, and Labour's candidate Helen Ogbu.

🗳️ BY-ELECTIONS | The average turnout in Dublin Central is currently standing at 3.26% IN ORDER OF HIGHEST TURNOUT: Glasnevin NS - 4.0% Sean O’Casey CC - 4.0% St. Finbarr’s NS Cabra - 3.9% Deaf Village Cabra - 2.4% St. Paul’s CBS Brunswick St - 2.0%

🗳️ BY-ELECTIONS | The average turnout in Galway West is currently standing at 3.9% IN ORDER OF HIGHEST TURNOUT: Maigh Cuilinn - 5% Cill Rónáin - 5% Westside - 5% Oranmore - 4% Knocknacarra - 4% Baile Chláir - 4% Clifden - 3% An Spidéal - 3% Salthill - 3% Doughiska - 3%

🚨 BREAKING | Several Cabinet ministers will reportedly tell Keir Starmer to resign tomorrow morning, Sky News and Bloomberg report.

🚨 BREAKING | Former minister, Catherine West, says she will launch a leadership challenge to Keir Starmer, if no cabinet minister comes forward by Monday.

🗳️ CURRENT SEAT COUNT IN SCOTLAND AS OF 5:15PM 🟨 SNP - 52 (-3) 🟦 CON - 4 (-1) 🟧 LIB DEM - 4 (N/C) 🟥 LAB - 2 (+2) 🟩 GREEN - 2 (+2) ➡️ REFORM - 0 (N/C) 64/129 seats reporting SNP currently 13 short of majority

🗳️ CURRENT SEAT COUNT IN ENGLAND AS OF 5PM ➡️ REFORM - 906 (+904) 🟧 LIB DEM - 558 (+69) 🟥 LAB - 538 (-696) 🟦 CON - 499 (-437) 🟩 GREEN - 267 (+192) 🟪 IND - 102 (-16) 87/136 councils reporting

🚨 PROJECTION | IREUKpolitics is projecting a Plaid Cymru government, with Rhun ap Iorwerth set to become First Minister. It is currently unclear if they will have either a minority or majority. This will mark the first handover of power in Wales since devolution.

🚨 BREAKING | Welsh Labour leader, Eluned Morgan, has become the first sitting First Minister of Wales to lose her seat.

🚨 PROJECTION | IREUKpolitics is projecting a SNP minority government in Scotland, with John Swinney remaining as First Minister.

🗳️ POLLING - GALWAY WEST Kyne (FG): 17% Thomas (INDIRL): 16% Ogbu (LAB): 12% Nic Fhionnlaoich (SD): 9% Keane (FF): 8% Cubbard (IND): 7% Lohan (SF): 7% Murphy (GRN): 6% Welby (IND): 6% Nugent (AÚ): 4% Garrity (IND): 3% Rooke (PBPS): 2% Cahill (IPP): 1% Conducted by Ipsos B&A for Irish Times/TG4

🗳️ Q: WHEN SHOULD MICHEÁL MARTIN RESIGN? RIGHT NOW - 46% NOVEMBER 2027 (Taoiseach-Tánaiste swap) - 38% AFTER NEXT ELECTION - 12% HE SHOULD NOT RESIGN - 4%

🗳️ CATHERINE CONNOLLY - APPROVAL APPROVE - 47% DISAPPROVE - 40% DON'T KNOW - 13% Conducted by Ireland Thinks and Sunday Independent (1-2 May 2026)

🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️ SF - 49 (+10) FF - 39 (-9) FG - 34 (-4) SD - 21 (+10) IND IRE - 13 (+9) LAB - 7 (-4) IND/OTHER - 6 (-11) AONTÚ - 5 (+3) GREEN - 0 (-1) PBP/S - 0 (-3)

🗳️ DÁIL ÉIREANN - POLLING SF - 22% (N/C) FF - 17% (-2) FG - 17% (N/C) IND/OTHER - 10% (N/C) SD - 9% (N/C) IND IRE - 9% (+3) AONTÚ - 7% (+1) LAB - 4% (-1) GREEN - 3% (N/C) PBP/S - 2% (-1) Conducted by Ireland Thinks and Sunday Independent (1-2 May 2026)

🚨 BREAKING | The by-elections in Dublin Central and Galway West have been approved by the Dáil for Friday 22nd May. Follow for the latest updates during the campaign.

🚨 BREAKING | The by-elections in Dublin Central and Galway West will be approved by the Dáil just before 10pm tonight. The two by-elections will be held on Friday 22nd May.

🚨 BREAKING | Independent Ireland leader, Michael Collins, has said the party is discussing with at least 12 councillors to defect. The party announced 642 people have applied for membership in the past two weeks.

FINAL RESULT OF THE CONFIDENCE VOTE TÁ - 92 NÍL - 78

🚨 BREAKING | The government have won the vote of no confidence

🚨 BREAKING | The vote of no confidence in the government is set to begin shortly.

🚨 BREAKING | Micheal Healy-Rae has resigned as a Junior Minister and will vote no confidence in the government.

CONFIDENCE VOTE TALLIES AS OF 5:30PM: ✅ CONFIDENCE - 88 (definitive numbers right now) ❎ NO CONFIDENCE - 76 🗳️ UNDECLARED - 9

🚨 BREAKING | The government have the numbers to win the no confidence motion tomorrow. Independent TDs Sean Canney, Marian Harkin, and Kevin ‘Boxer’ Moran will back the government, giving them the majority, unless any backbenchers rebel.

🚨 BREAKING | Danny Healy-Rae clashes with a protester at the Killarney protest

🚨 BREAKING | Fianna Fáil parliamentary party have been summoned to for a parliamentary party meeting in Leinster House tomorrow at 11am.

🚨 BREAKING | Labour will back the motion of no confidence in the government. This now brings the total votes against to 70, with 88 votes needed to pass.

🚨 BREAKING | Social Democrats will back the motion of no confidence in the government. The opposition have 56 votes, with the threshold of 88 required.

🚨 BREAKING | Sinn Féin, Aontú, and Independent Ireland will push a motion of no confidence in the government. They have 49 seats combined, with a threshold of 88 needed.

Vote HQ closes, political coverage moves to IREUKmedia and @ireukvote.bsky.social

🗳️ POLL IF REPLICATED IN ELECTION 🗳️ (Holborn and St. Pancras) INCUMBENT: 🟥 Keir Starmer (LAB) 🟩 GREEN: 33.6% (+23.1) 🟥 LAB: 30.5% (-18.4) 🟪 MIN: 10.6% (-8.3) ➡️ REFORM: 10.0% (+3.9) 🟧 LIB DEM: 8.8% (+3.0) 🟦 CON: 4.7% (-2.5) 🟪 OTHER: 1.8% (-0.8)

🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️ ➡️ REFORM: 262 (+257) 🟩 GREEN: 126 (+122) 🟧 LIB DEM: 86 (+14) 🟦 CON: 51 (-70) 🟨 SNP: 46 (+37) 🟥 LAB: 45 (-366) 🟪 IND/OTHER: 9 (+4) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 PLAID: 5 (+1) 🟫 WORKERS: 1 (+1)

🗳️ UK POLLING 🗳️ ➡️ REFORM: 23% (-1 from last YouGov poll) 🟩 GREEN: 21% (+4) 🟥 LAB: 16% (-2) 🟦 CON: 16% (-2) 🟧 LIB DEM: 14% (N/C) 🟨 SNP: 3% (-1) 🟪 IND/OTHER: 7% (+2) Conducted by YouGov (1-2 March 2026)

🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️ SF: 46 (+7) FF: 42 (-6) FG: 32 (-6) SD: 25 (+14) IND/OTHER: 7 (-10) LAB: 7 (-4) IND IRE: 6 (+2) GREEN: 4 (+3) AONTÚ: 4 (+2) PBP/S: 1 (-2)

🗳️ DÁIL ÉIREANN - Voting Intention (Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks) SF: 22% FF: 18% FG: 17% SD: 11% IND/OTHER: 11% AONTÚ: 6% IND IRE: 5% GREEN: 4% LAB: 4% PBP/S: 3%

🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️ SF: 49 (+10) FF: 42 (-6) FG: 36 (-2) SD: 22 (+11) IND/OTHER: 8 (-9) LAB: 8 (-3) IND IRE: 5 (+1) AONTÚ: 3 (+1) GREEN: 1 (N/C) PBP/S: 0 (-3)

🗳️ DÁIL ÉIREANN - Voting Intention (Business Post/Red C) SF: 23% FG: 18% FF: 17% IND/OTHER: 13% SD: 9% LAB: 5% AONTÚ: 5% IND IRE: 4% PBP/S: 3% GREEN: 3%

🚨 BREAKING | Morgan McSweeney has resigned as Chief of Staff to Keir Starmer.

🚨 NEW | Taoiseach Micheál Martin has vowed that he will lead Fianna Fáil into the next general election. He also insisted he won’t be stepping down as leader when Simon Harris becomes Taoiseach next year.

🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️ ➡️ REF - 336 (+331) 🟧 LIB DEM - 76 (+4) 🟦 CON - 72 (-49) 🟥 LAB - 67 (-344) 🟨 SNP - 42 (+33) 🟩 GREEN - 25 (+21) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 PLAID CYMRU - 8 (+4) 🟪 IND - 5 (N/C) 🟫 NI TOTAL SEATS - 18 (N/C) ⬛️ SPEAKER - 1 (N/C)

🚨 NEW | Fine Gael has opened the nomination process to select its candidate for the Galway West by-election. Nominations will remain open until next Thursday, Feb 12th, and the selection convention will take place in Salthill on Sunday Feb 22nd.

I highly doubt a by-election would be held on a Monday, but it would be funny.

🚨 BREAKING | The Irish Sun reports that the Galway West by-election looks set to be held on Monday 11th May.

🗳️ GOVERNMENT - APPROVAL RATING 🗳️ Approve: 28% Disapprove: 61% Don’t Know: 11% Conducted by @independent.ie and Ireland Thinks (January 2026)

🗳️ QUESTION: “Do you think the Government was right or wrong to vote against the EU trade deal with South America (Mercosur)?” Right: 57% Wrong: 25% Not Sure: 18% Conducted by @independent.ie and Ireland Thinks (January 2026)

🗳️ DUBLIN CENTRAL BY-ELECTION 🗳️ (CONFIRMED CANDIDATES SO FAR) Daniel Ennis (SD) Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin (PBP) Gerry Hutch (IND) Gillian Sherratt (SF) Ian Noel Smith (AON) Malachy Steenson (IND)

🚨 NEW | Gillian Sherratt, the mother of the late Harvey Morrison, will be Sinn Féin’s candidate for the Dublin Central by-election.

🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️ SF: 44 (+5) FF: 41 (-7) FG: 35 (-3) SD: 22 (+11) LAB: 9 (-2) IND IRE: 8 (+4) IND/OTHER: 7 (-10) PBP/S: 4 (+1) AONTÚ: 3 (+1) GREEN: 1 (N/C)