Matt Carlson
@slowandsteadied.bsky.social
📤 17
📥 17
📝 12
Amateur HK punter, using data to figure out which horses will run a much-the-best third.
Happy Valley 1/8 Once again time for the only Happy Valley group race of the year. And I never have any idea how to cap it... Really don't have many opinions late in this card, but the early looks ok. Best of luck all.
#HKracing
11 months ago
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Sha Tin 1/5 Been floated on one big winner a card the past few, hopefully we keep it rolling. Like this card a fair bit, mostly because the odds on Zac are completely off the rails. Huge opportunities all night on regression to his mean. Best of luck.
#HKRacing
12 months ago
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Sha Tin 1/1 - Lucky Start Great card to ring in the new year, although one that may look a bit light on prices. Will try to catch one in the last with Steps Ahead hoping to start things on the right foot. Best of luck all and Happy New Year.
#HKRacing
12 months ago
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Sha Tin 12/29 Another one where nothing really stood out. Biggest play probably through Rising From Ashes R9 hoping he takes to the surface. Small elsewhere. Best of luck all.
#HKRacing
12 months ago
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Happy Valley 12/26 Post-Christmas hangover card, handicapping may be suspect. In that vein, taking a swing at Beauty Thunder to hit the board R2 to keep the run of longshots going. Layoff, class drop, decent trials, currently 50-1...maybe. Good luck all
#HKracing
12 months ago
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Sha Tin 12/22 Tough card. Value feels like it's out there but sometimes a bad sign when your picks are that far off market. Best bet R7 on Magnificent Nine. Beer bet with
@cherrydrank.bsky.social
R1 most important of the night though. Best of luck all.
#HKracing
12 months ago
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Sha Tin 12/18 Still zero idea how to cap dirt. Best of luck.
#HKracing
12 months ago
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Sha Tin 12/15 Not much trust in anything tonight but taking some swings. Taking a chance on Currahee R3 hoping he's found the right course and distance at low weight. Best of luck all.
#HKracing
about 1 year ago
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Sha Tin 12/8 -
#HKIR
Favorite day of the racing year. Just a fantastic card to try to stay up and watch top to bottom. First 5 races may chalk out, but the late has some opportunity. Probably not playing those P3s - high risk, low reward, bad structure... gl all.
#HKRacing
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
Matt Carlson
On The Wrong Lead
about 1 year ago
It's HKIR at Sha Tin this weekend!
@cherrydrank.bsky.social
and
@slowandsteadied.bsky.social
talk about the 4 Group 1 races on this week's episode of You've Gotta Be Sha Tin-ing Me.
youtu.be/SVZn2X3JonA
#HKIR
#HKracing
#HorseRacing
#RacingSky
loading . . .
You've Gotta Be Sha Tin-ing Me Ep. 35: HKIR Group 1 Races
YouTube video by On the Wrong Lead
https://youtu.be/SVZn2X3JonA
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Happy Valley 12/4 - International Jockeys' Championship Favorite week of the year seeing the international jockeys and horses match up. Tough card as always, biggest play is probably Can't Go Wong R5. Best of luck all.
#HKracing
about 1 year ago
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Sha Tin 11/30 I have no idea how to handicap dirt here, other than to say that data suggests no one else does either. Taking some swings and moving on. No pick 3's tonight. Biggest play R4 in Aca Power. Best of luck all.
#HKracing
about 1 year ago
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Happy Valley 11/27
#HKracing
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
Matt Carlson
On The Wrong Lead
about 1 year ago
Check out the latest episode of You've Gotta Be Sha Tin-ing Me with
@cherrydrank.bsky.social
and Matt Carlson. We talk the Late Pick 3 at Sha Tin on 11/24 and make a few best bets in Races 2 and 3 on the card.
#HKracing
#horseracing
#horseracingtips
youtu.be/DpIER39WBYI?...
loading . . .
You've Gotta Be Sha Tin-ing Me Ep. 34: Sha Tin Late Pick 3 11/24/24
YouTube video by On the Wrong Lead
https://youtu.be/DpIER39WBYI?si=4UdyguKHvqWrGrrD
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