New study examines 20+ years of armed conflict data across Africa. Researchers @kushwaha.bsky.social and @spintheory.bsky.social identify three conflict archetypes, but also show that classification does not necessarily help to predict the severity of conflicts. Learn more: shorturl.at/81pkf

🦋🧪 New research out in Royal Society Open Science! We used #MachineLearning to discover that armed #conflict in #Africa sorts into three distinct types—and found a surprising warning about predicting #violence. 🧵 @royalsociety.org @csh.ac.at @kushwaha doi.org/10.1098/rsos...

🚨New Research Alert🚨 Are commonly used indicators useful when predicting armed conflicts? Our latest study challenges conventional wisdom! How many types of conflict exist according to data? And can we organize them into a meaningful hierarchical taxonomy?🦋💥 To find out: arxiv.org/pdf/2503.00265

What a whirlwind few months at CSH. But now we’re moved into our lovely new accommodations near Schloss Belvedere. This week we have a student from our summer internship program Shlok Shah visiting us again from Princeton. More science on armed conflict to come!

#CSH #DPG @kushwaha.bsky.social 2024 Spring Meeting