Free Hit Or Miss? | GW13 @fplpricey.bsky.social & I analyse the chip landscape looking at FH setups, TC, BB & WC options in GW13 🍟 Plus City/Thiago/Rogers/Minteh/Murillo in FvF + being zen on ROTATION RISK fear in the upcoming #FPL carnage 💥 ❤️/♻️ appreciated bluesky! open.spotify.com/episode/59jc...

Up to 450k, 8th green arrow in a row. 31 points off top 100k.

38% of the top 100k had VDV for his zero points

Those EOs

Areola on a nine pointer after conceding two! 10 saves, an assist, and two bonus!

Two great picks here in my GW1 team. Still have Andersen and will be getting Anderson soon I think

Anderson's third attacking return from 2.9 xGI; on course for seventh DC return for 12. Bargain at 5.3m.

Have rolled the FT, Gabriel on bench for now. With Andersen/Senesi/Lacroix starting I’m happy with the defence. Going with VVD would have priced me out of Enzo to Bruno next week, and waiting a week means I can think about Konate or Thiaw for GW13…

If you're looking for a City defender, Gvardiol is by far the least likely to come off the bench for a one pointer. In 72 City appearances in the EPL, only three were off the bench - and one of those was his first game. He has either started or completely missed the last 45 City EPL games.

Anyone else looking at the mid-priced and cheaper mids and thinking 'a fourth defender will likely match them or even outscore them'? Yet I have five mids - and will probably will continue to roll the dice.

Currently 109,256 teams in the 'Top 1% league'. Only one is in the current top 100. I'm 687k overall, and am in the top 22% of this league. (To be in the top 1% of the 1% league would mean a current OR of 47k.)

If nothing changes, seventh green arrow in a row (from 7.7m), and now 40 points off the top 100k

OK, Gordon to: - Enzo for two weeks - Minteh - Szoboszlai even though I may bench him for Senesi - roll to get through the IB (and lose value) What would you do?

Is anyone doing Gordon to Szoboszlai? Lots of talk about getting Minteh (who I do like) and need for Liverpool players from GW12, so wondering if I just go a week early.

I have given zero thought to double Palace defence. But Lacroix is on 50 points after 10 games with a single attacking return. Richards has 44 points with no attacking returns and no bonus. Now, they won't get clean sheets in 40% of their games going ahead, but even so....

Now approaching my favourite time of the FPL year. Enough games played that patterns have emerged, and we can identity food picks. Looking at a dozen or so SGW starting ahead, with nine in half and half. Sensible decisions and ranks will 🚀 as other teams unravel.

Been weighing up Bruno or Mbeumo. Basically, they're both excellent so I'm going with my love for Bryan. After 9 games, he's second for NPxGI and is nailed with 86 minuted per start. He's just a great pick!

FPL accounts on X complaining about the costs of being a landlord. I don't often get into politics on here, but nothing will ever convince me that being a landlord is anything other than sucking blood from the disadvantaged.

If you were picking a Liverpool asset to get in GW12, would you go for Gakpo or Szoboszlai? T

Sold Pedro last night to avoid the price drop; will use to the money to move Caicedo to to either Bruno or Mbeumo: if the former, I'll have zero itb (hence the early move) and can't do Gordon to Gakpo in GW12.....

Live from Palace against Liverpool

Amazing how much more likely a BGW feels now compared to when Palace drew Liverpool in the league cup back in September

As it stands, 46 points to top 100k 57 to top 50k

Crazy week. Not a single return from attackers, yet I’m currently on a GW rank of 700k (should go down considerably as I’ve got no one in the last game)

What's the most useful metric for thinking about Defcon returns? Percentage of returns? Total DCs piled up? minutes per DC? I've had a quick look at the top 5 for minutes per DC, and looked at their Median DC average....

The expansion of European football plus the five subs rule really does ruin FPL. How many legitimate attacking picks, in xMins terms, are there from the six UCL teams?

The bad place totally losing its shit over the non-assist for Semenyo. 1) it’s not an assist according to the new rules as although inadvertant touches count, they don’t if a defender subsequently touches the ball; 2) imagine being that angry about 3 more points for a 90+% EO player.

Original plan for King to either Sarr/Paqueta/Minteh and BB8, but the Caicedo flag is worrying me. Should I just roll and wait for another week for BB? That said, in the long term I think all three of the above are good picks

Fish and Chip shops that use spray bottles for vinegar should be shut down.

Would you BB this week with Caicedo and hope he starts, or hold fire?

No, you’re alright, Belle & Sebastian - this what came up when I clicked on a Stalls ticket for them playing the Albert Hall

How many does Pedro score on this run? How many times will Caicedo hit 12 DCs?

350k Green arrow to 2.5m but the gap to the top 100k increased slightly to 70 points.

Obviously outcomes etc, but after loads of back and forth it stings that I didn’t do ‘DEFCON monster’ VVD to Gabriel. The fact that the latter for the extra two in a match like today feels huge. Fully expected scores like today’s but assumed it would have been a four rather than eight point swing.

Apparently Bowen hasn't had a single 'Big Chance' this season

Surely Admin finds a Caicedo DefCon and BPS down the back of the sofa taking him to 5 points.

I know there's been two red cards, but that's two matches with 90 minutes and 0.0 xG and a combined 0.07 xGI for João Pedro.

So, what we’ve learned? 1)Villa and Forest assets really are in the bin. 2)Everyone’s getting Haaland. 3) Bruno is a blindingly obvious pick (who I don’t have). (Con’d)

My back line is on an absolute mad one

There are 109,267 people in the Top 1% league, meaning around 5k teams from last year’s top 114k haven’t registered. I’m currently 100,084 in the league and 7m OR 😂

On WC. Yes it’s a terrible week but with two injuries and price changes here I am. This has 0.0 ITB and I would have been 0.7 short of this if I had waited until today.

How many points is a J. Pedro goal worth considering his BP potential? What about Gyokeres considering he got two BP when he braced and zero when scoring at the weekend?

Of the 18 midfielders who cost 6m or more and have four starts, Salah ranks 14th for minutes per non-penalty xGI.

It’s Mondays like this, when I’ve had a crap GW, that I realise just how much I enjoyed @alwayscheatingfpl.bsky.social

Walsh’s team is living rent free in my head

I feel like this might be able to reposted at some point during every Man Utd game under this manager

With Wood, Diouf, and Watkins all due to drop either last night or very soon I lost my nerve and hit the WC. Was close last week. Not an ideal week but if I wait I’d have no money!

Diouf dropping: mad to see for a defender with two attacking returns and a CS in three games.

Me with no attacking returns at all seeing Andersen’s DEFCON points